Skip to content

Democrat · Illinois House, district 7

Serving since Jan 11, 2013IL 2025–26 session

Portrait of Chris Welch, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
94%
of sponsored bills got out of committee, the highest of 116 in the Illinois House

94% of 32 sponsored bills got out of committee; the average for the Illinois House is 44%. Ranks 1st of 116, where 1st is the highest share.

The share of bills Welch sponsored that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, ranked within the Illinois House. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position as well as effort.

At a glance

6 measures against State House Democrats. Welch reported $15.8M in the 2026 cycle, in the top 5% of State House Democrats (median $40.4K). 22% of Welch’s statements discuss policy, in the bottom quarter of State House Democrats (average 39%).

The measures on which Welch sits furthest from the middle of State House Democrats, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Out of committee

94%

Illinois House average 44% · ranks 1st of 116

Itemized, 2026

$15.8M

State House Democrats’ median $40.4K · ranks 2nd of 2,082

Party unity

100%

Illinois House average 96.7% · ranks 20th of 116 · 0 votes against the majority of Illinois House Democrats

Policy discussion

22%

State House Democrats average 39% · ranks 615th of 764

Policy criticism

1.8%

State House Democrats average 10% · ranks 612th of 764

CSIP ideology

−0.87

More liberal than 81% of State House Democrats · ± 0.07

Peer group: State House Democrats. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Welch, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Welch is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Welch says

Welch attacks opponents personally about as often as the median State House Democrat. Personal attacks in 0.2% of 865 statements, against 2.5% for the average State House Democrat; 390th of 764.

An AI model reads each of Welch’s 865 statements in the IL 2025–26 session (865 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Democrats and ranked among them.

Kinds of statement

Share of statements carrying each label, the IL 2025–26 session

0%80%
Welch
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion188 statements
22%
39%
615th of 764
Credit claiming145 statements
17%
14%
288th of 764
Policy criticism16 statements
2%
10%
612th of 764
Bipartisanship6 statements
1%
3%
552nd of 764
Personal attacks2 statements
0%
3%
390th of 764
Show the data
Welch's share of statements in each category against the State House Democrats average.
RowWelchPeers
Policy discussion22%39%
Credit claiming17%14%
Policy criticism2%10%
Bipartisanship1%3%
Personal attacks0%3%
865

statements classified

865 posts on X.

posts on X: 865 (100.0%)posts on X 865
Show the data
Welch's statements by source
PartValue
posts on X865
How to read the bars

The thick bar is Welch; the thin grey bar is the average State House Democrats. A longer thick bar means Welch does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.

Extreme labels

Welch used extreme labels in 0.4% of statements, 36% of the peer average. 3 statements, most often aimed at Republicans; peers 1.0%.

    Who gets the labels

    Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements

    1. Republicans1
    2. Trump1
    3. Trump administration1
    What an extreme label is

    Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.

    Month by month

    Share of statements per month, the IL 2025–26 session

    Statements2025-01: 202025-02: 202025-03: 192025-04: 212025-05: 382025-06: 642025-07: 392025-08: 502025-09: 392025-10: 202025-11: 302025-12: 402026-01: 512026-02: 602026-03: 642026-04: 582026-05: 572026-06: 692026-07: 282026-08: 232026-09: 332026-10: 22peak 69 · Jun ’26Personal attackspeak 2.0% · Jan ’26 · latest 0.0%Personal attacks, 2025-01: 0.0% of 20Personal attacks, 2025-02: 0.0% of 20Personal attacks, 2025-03: 0.0% of 19Personal attacks, 2025-04: 0.0% of 21Personal attacks, 2025-05: 0.0% of 38Personal attacks, 2025-06: 0.0% of 64Personal attacks, 2025-07: 0.0% of 39Personal attacks, 2025-08: 0.0% of 50Personal attacks, 2025-09: 0.0% of 39Personal attacks, 2025-10: 0.0% of 20Personal attacks, 2025-11: 0.0% of 30Personal attacks, 2025-12: 0.0% of 40Personal attacks, 2026-01: 2.0% of 51Personal attacks, 2026-02: 0.0% of 60Personal attacks, 2026-03: 0.0% of 64Personal attacks, 2026-04: 1.7% of 58Personal attacks, 2026-05: 0.0% of 57Personal attacks, 2026-06: 0.0% of 69Personal attacks, 2026-07: 0.0% of 28Personal attacks, 2026-08: 0.0% of 23Personal attacks, 2026-09: 0.0% of 33Personal attacks, 2026-10: 0.0% of 22Policy criticismpeak 30.0% · Oct ’25 · latest 0.0%Policy criticism, 2025-01: 0.0% of 20Policy criticism, 2025-02: 5.0% of 20Policy criticism, 2025-03: 0.0% of 19Policy criticism, 2025-04: 0.0% of 21Policy criticism, 2025-05: 2.6% of 38Policy criticism, 2025-06: 0.0% of 64Policy criticism, 2025-07: 0.0% of 39Policy criticism, 2025-08: 4.0% of 50Policy criticism, 2025-09: 0.0% of 39Policy criticism, 2025-10: 30.0% of 20Policy criticism, 2025-11: 3.3% of 30Policy criticism, 2025-12: 0.0% of 40Policy criticism, 2026-01: 0.0% of 51Policy criticism, 2026-02: 0.0% of 60Policy criticism, 2026-03: 3.1% of 64Policy criticism, 2026-04: 3.5% of 58Policy criticism, 2026-05: 0.0% of 57Policy criticism, 2026-06: 1.5% of 69Policy criticism, 2026-07: 0.0% of 28Policy criticism, 2026-08: 0.0% of 23Policy criticism, 2026-09: 0.0% of 33Policy criticism, 2026-10: 0.0% of 22Policy discussionpeak 65.2% · Aug ’26 · latest 40.9%Policy discussion, 2025-01: 15.0% of 20Policy discussion, 2025-02: 15.0% of 20Policy discussion, 2025-03: 15.8% of 19Policy discussion, 2025-04: 19.1% of 21Policy discussion, 2025-05: 15.8% of 38Policy discussion, 2025-06: 14.1% of 64Policy discussion, 2025-07: 7.7% of 39Policy discussion, 2025-08: 18.0% of 50Policy discussion, 2025-09: 7.7% of 39Policy discussion, 2025-10: 45.0% of 20Policy discussion, 2025-11: 26.7% of 30Policy discussion, 2025-12: 25.0% of 40Policy discussion, 2026-01: 29.4% of 51Policy discussion, 2026-02: 16.7% of 60Policy discussion, 2026-03: 12.5% of 64Policy discussion, 2026-04: 36.2% of 58Policy discussion, 2026-05: 19.3% of 57Policy discussion, 2026-06: 18.8% of 69Policy discussion, 2026-07: 10.7% of 28Policy discussion, 2026-08: 65.2% of 23Policy discussion, 2026-09: 39.4% of 33Policy discussion, 2026-10: 40.9% of 22Bipartisanshippeak 5.1% · Sep ’25 · latest 0.0%Bipartisanship, 2025-01: 0.0% of 20Bipartisanship, 2025-02: 5.0% of 20Bipartisanship, 2025-03: 0.0% of 19Bipartisanship, 2025-04: 0.0% of 21Bipartisanship, 2025-05: 0.0% of 38Bipartisanship, 2025-06: 0.0% of 64Bipartisanship, 2025-07: 0.0% of 39Bipartisanship, 2025-08: 2.0% of 50Bipartisanship, 2025-09: 5.1% of 39Bipartisanship, 2025-10: 0.0% of 20Bipartisanship, 2025-11: 0.0% of 30Bipartisanship, 2025-12: 0.0% of 40Bipartisanship, 2026-01: 0.0% of 51Bipartisanship, 2026-02: 0.0% of 60Bipartisanship, 2026-03: 0.0% of 64Bipartisanship, 2026-04: 0.0% of 58Bipartisanship, 2026-05: 0.0% of 57Bipartisanship, 2026-06: 2.9% of 69Bipartisanship, 2026-07: 0.0% of 28Bipartisanship, 2026-08: 0.0% of 23Bipartisanship, 2026-09: 0.0% of 33Bipartisanship, 2026-10: 0.0% of 22Credit claimingpeak 45.0% · Jan ’25 · latest 4.5%Credit claiming, 2025-01: 45.0% of 20Credit claiming, 2025-02: 10.0% of 20Credit claiming, 2025-03: 10.5% of 19Credit claiming, 2025-04: 14.3% of 21Credit claiming, 2025-05: 5.3% of 38Credit claiming, 2025-06: 6.3% of 64Credit claiming, 2025-07: 5.1% of 39Credit claiming, 2025-08: 12.0% of 50Credit claiming, 2025-09: 23.1% of 39Credit claiming, 2025-10: 15.0% of 20Credit claiming, 2025-11: 26.7% of 30Credit claiming, 2025-12: 15.0% of 40Credit claiming, 2026-01: 23.5% of 51Credit claiming, 2026-02: 20.0% of 60Credit claiming, 2026-03: 14.1% of 64Credit claiming, 2026-04: 22.4% of 58Credit claiming, 2026-05: 7.0% of 57Credit claiming, 2026-06: 18.8% of 69Credit claiming, 2026-07: 14.3% of 28Credit claiming, 2026-08: 43.5% of 23Credit claiming, 2026-09: 33.3% of 33Credit claiming, 2026-10: 4.5% of 22Extreme labelspeak 5.0% · Oct ’25 · latest 0.0%Extreme labels, 2025-01: 0.0% of 20Extreme labels, 2025-02: 0.0% of 20Extreme labels, 2025-03: 0.0% of 19Extreme labels, 2025-04: 0.0% of 21Extreme labels, 2025-05: 0.0% of 38Extreme labels, 2025-06: 0.0% of 64Extreme labels, 2025-07: 0.0% of 39Extreme labels, 2025-08: 2.0% of 50Extreme labels, 2025-09: 0.0% of 39Extreme labels, 2025-10: 5.0% of 20Extreme labels, 2025-11: 3.3% of 30Extreme labels, 2025-12: 0.0% of 40Extreme labels, 2026-01: 0.0% of 51Extreme labels, 2026-02: 0.0% of 60Extreme labels, 2026-03: 0.0% of 64Extreme labels, 2026-04: 0.0% of 58Extreme labels, 2026-05: 0.0% of 57Extreme labels, 2026-06: 0.0% of 69Extreme labels, 2026-07: 0.0% of 28Extreme labels, 2026-08: 0.0% of 23Extreme labels, 2026-09: 0.0% of 33Extreme labels, 2026-10: 0.0% of 22Jan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
    Show the data
    Monthly rates for Welch, each row shaded against its own peak, with statement volume. Months with fewer than 10 statements are left blank.
    ColumnStatementsPersonal attacksPolicy criticismPolicy discussionBipartisanshipCredit claimingExtreme labels
    Jan ’25200.0%0.0%15.0%0.0%45.0%0.0%
    Feb ’25200.0%5.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0.0%
    Mar ’25190.0%0.0%15.8%0.0%10.5%0.0%
    Apr ’25210.0%0.0%19.1%0.0%14.3%0.0%
    May ’25380.0%2.6%15.8%0.0%5.3%0.0%
    Jun ’25640.0%0.0%14.1%0.0%6.3%0.0%
    Jul ’25390.0%0.0%7.7%0.0%5.1%0.0%
    Aug ’25500.0%4.0%18.0%2.0%12.0%2.0%
    Sep ’25390.0%0.0%7.7%5.1%23.1%0.0%
    Oct ’25200.0%30.0%45.0%0.0%15.0%5.0%
    Nov ’25300.0%3.3%26.7%0.0%26.7%3.3%
    Dec ’25400.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%15.0%0.0%
    Jan ’26512.0%0.0%29.4%0.0%23.5%0.0%
    Feb ’26600.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%20.0%0.0%
    Mar ’26640.0%3.1%12.5%0.0%14.1%0.0%
    Apr ’26581.7%3.5%36.2%0.0%22.4%0.0%
    May ’26570.0%0.0%19.3%0.0%7.0%0.0%
    Jun ’26690.0%1.5%18.8%2.9%18.8%0.0%
    Jul ’26280.0%0.0%10.7%0.0%14.3%0.0%
    Aug ’26230.0%0.0%65.2%0.0%43.5%0.0%
    Sep ’26330.0%0.0%39.4%0.0%33.3%0.0%
    Oct ’26220.0%0.0%40.9%0.0%4.5%0.0%
    How to read the strips

    Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the IL 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%.

    In Welch’s words

    Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned

    Policy criticism

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Jun 7, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy criticism; policy discussion; credit claiming; Economics and Public Finance · Source

    Personal attacks

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Apr 23, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · personal attacks; policy discussion; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues; target: Donald Trump, Washington Republicans · Source

    Extreme label

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Nov 6, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; credit claiming; Armed Forces and National Security; extreme label “extreme” aimed at Trump · Source

    Examples by category

    Up to five recent statements in each category

    Category

    Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

    1. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · policy discussion · Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues · target: Donald Trump, Washington RepublicansSource

    2. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · policy discussion · Law · International Affairs · Economics and Public Finance · target: Donald TrumpSource

    All 865 statements

    Newest first, the IL 2025–26 session

    The full feed

    Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 865 posts on X.

    Back to topNext: Policy

    Policy

    Government Operations and Politics is what Welch talks about most: 29% of policy statements, 1.9 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.62 on a 0–1 scale (State House Democrats average 0.54; 125th of 503).

    Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Welch talks about. The bills Welch sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.

    What Welch talks about

    Share of policy statements by area, the IL 2025–26 session

    0%35%
    Welch
    Peers
    Government Operations and Politics55 statements
    29%
    15%
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues38 statements
    20%
    10%
    Economics and Public Finance25 statements
    13%
    11%
    Labor and Employment14 statements
    7%
    6%
    Commerce13 statements
    7%
    3%
    Show the data
    Policy areas Welch talks about, as a share of policy statements, against the State House Democrats average.
    RowWelchPeers
    Government Operations and Politics29%15%
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues20%10%
    Economics and Public Finance13%11%
    Labor and Employment7%6%
    Commerce7%3%
    How to read the bars

    The thick bar is the share of Welch’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Democrats. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

    Talks about · legislates on

    Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State House Democrats averages.

    Talks aboutLegislates onGovernment Operations andPoliticsGovernment Operations and Politics, talks about: 29% (State House Democrats 15%)29%Government Operations and Politics, legislates on: 13% (State House Democrats 8%)13%Civil Rights and Liberties,Minority IssuesCivil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 10%)20%Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, legislates on: 4% (State House Democrats 4%)4%Economics and Public FinanceEconomics and Public Finance, talks about: 13% (State House Democrats 11%)13%Economics and Public Finance, legislates on: 8% (State House Democrats 2%)8%Labor and EmploymentLabor and Employment, talks about: 7% (State House Democrats 6%)7%Labor and Employment, legislates on: 4% (State House Democrats 6%)4%CommerceCommerce, talks about: 7% (State House Democrats 3%)7%Commerce, legislates on: 2% (State House Democrats 4%)2%
    Show the data
    Welch's share of statements against share of bills in each policy area.
    AreaTalks aboutState House Democrats, talks aboutLegislates onState House Democrats, legislates on
    Government Operations and Politics29%15%13%8%
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues20%10%4%4%
    Economics and Public Finance13%11%8%2%
    Labor and Employment7%6%4%6%
    Commerce7%3%2%4%
    0.62

    talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1

    State House Democrats average 0.54. Ranks 125th of 503.

    What agreement means, and what it doesn’t

    Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Welch legislates on exactly the areas Welch talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Welch sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

    Back to topNext: Ideology

    Ideology

    Welch sits at −0.87 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more liberal than 81% of State House Democrats. Approximate range −0.94 to −0.80, which understates the uncertainty; from 687 donors and 579 roll calls.

    CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

    −0.87

    CSIP ideal point

    Approximate range −0.94 to −0.80. From 687 donors and 579 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

    ← More liberalMore conservative →0Welch −0.9State House Democrats −0.6Illinois House −0.5All State House +0.1

    The outlined dot is Welch, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Welch’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

    Where Welch sits

    Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

    −2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State House Democratsmedian −0.6Welch −0.9Illinois Housemedian −0.5All State Housemedian +0.1
    Show the data
    Welch's CSIP score of −0.87 placed against State House Democrats, Illinois House, All State House.
    GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Welch
    State House Democrats2392−0.619%
    Illinois House118−0.53%
    All State House5324+0.18%
    How to read the strips

    Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Welch in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Welch.

    Back to topNext: Money

    Money

    Welch reported $15.8M in the 2026 cycle, 391.0 times the State House Democrats’ median of $40.4K. State filings report no small-donation total. 95% of itemized individual money came from Illinois.

    Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

    Election cycle
    $15.8M

    itemized in the 2026 cycle

    From 237 itemized donors. State House Democrats’ median $40.4K.

    Where the money came from

    Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

    Individuals (itemized): $425.3K (2.7%)Individuals (itemized): $425.3K (2.7%)Individuals (itemized): $425.3K (2.7%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)PACs and other committees: $12.0M (76.2%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)Party committees: $3.3M (21.1%)
    • Individuals (itemized)3 squares$425.3K
    • PACs and other committees76 squares$12.0M
    • Party committees21 squares$3.3M
    Show the data
    Sources of Welch's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
    SourceAmountShare
    Individuals (itemized)$425.3K2.7%
    PACs and other committees$12.0M76.2%
    Party committees$3.3M21.1%
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

    Receipts by cycle

    Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Democrats’ median for 2026.

    2020 cycle: $419.5K$419.5K20202022 cycle: $16.8M$16.8M20222024 cycle: $11.7M$11.7M20242026 cycle: $15.8M$15.8M2026State House Democrats median $40.4K
    Show the data
    Welch's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State House Democrats median.
    ItemValue
    2020 cycle$419.5K
    2022 cycle$16.8M
    2024 cycle$11.7M
    2026 cycle$15.8M

    Top donor states, 2026

    Itemized contributions by donor state. 95% came from Illinois.

    1. Illinois$401.9K
    2. Puerto Rico$6,000
    3. New York$5,000
    4. California$3,000
    5. Maryland$2,500

    Small donations

    State filings report no total for small gifts.

    Not reported in state filings.

    Where itemized donors live

    Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

    Alaska: no dataAKMaine: no dataMEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: no dataWAIdaho: no dataIDMontana: no dataMTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: no dataMNIllinois: $401.9KILWisconsin: $1,500WIMichigan: $250MINew York: $5,000NYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: $1,650MAOregon: no dataORNevada: no dataNVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: $1,000IAIndiana: no dataINOhio: no dataOHPennsylvania: no dataPANew Jersey: no dataNJConnecticut: no dataCTCalifornia: $3,000CAUtah: no dataUTColorado: no dataCONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: no dataMOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: no dataVAMaryland: $2,500MDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: no dataAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: no dataTNNorth Carolina: no dataNCSouth Carolina: no dataSCDistrict of Columbia: $1,000DCOklahoma: no dataOKLouisiana: no dataLAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: no dataALGeorgia: no dataGAHawaii: no dataHITexas: no dataTXFlorida: $500FL
    Show the data
    Welch's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
    StateValue
    Illinois$401.9K
    New York$5,000
    California$3,000
    Maryland$2,500
    Massachusetts$1,650
    Wisconsin$1,500
    Iowa$1,000
    District of Columbia$1,000
    Florida$500
    Michigan$250
    AlaskaNo data
    MaineNo data
    VermontNo data
    New HampshireNo data
    WashingtonNo data
    IdahoNo data
    MontanaNo data
    North DakotaNo data
    MinnesotaNo data
    Rhode IslandNo data
    OregonNo data
    NevadaNo data
    WyomingNo data
    South DakotaNo data
    IndianaNo data
    OhioNo data
    PennsylvaniaNo data
    New JerseyNo data
    ConnecticutNo data
    UtahNo data
    ColoradoNo data
    NebraskaNo data
    MissouriNo data
    KentuckyNo data
    West VirginiaNo data
    VirginiaNo data
    DelawareNo data
    ArizonaNo data
    New MexicoNo data
    KansasNo data
    ArkansasNo data
    TennesseeNo data
    North CarolinaNo data
    South CarolinaNo data
    OklahomaNo data
    LouisianaNo data
    MississippiNo data
    AlabamaNo data
    GeorgiaNo data
    HawaiiNo data
    TexasNo data
    237

    itemized donors

    People who gave more than $200

    95%

    from Illinois

    Of itemized individual dollars

    How to read the map

    Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Illinois. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

    Top donor occupations

    Itemized, 2026 cycle.

    1. CEO$109.5K 8 donors
    2. ATTORNEY$74.3K 15 donors
    3. LOBBYIST$31.0K 8 donors
    4. EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR$14.5K 4 donors
    5. NOT EMPLOYED$8,600 4 donors

    Top committees

    PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

    1. CHICAGO LAND OPERATORS JOINT LABOR-MANAGEMENT PAC$3.5M
    2. DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF ILLINOIS$3.3M
    3. LIUNA CHICAGO LABORERS' DISTRICT COUNCIL PAC$1.2M
    4. CARPENTRY ADVANCEMENT PAC FUND$654.4K
    5. SPORTS BETTING ALLIANCE$530.0K

    Top employers

    Itemized, 2026 cycle.

    No employers reported.

    Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

    Back to topNext: Votes

    Votes

    Welch voted with the majority of Illinois House Democrats on 100% of party-line votes and missed 0.8% of 1,468 roll calls. Illinois House on average: 96.7% party unity, 92.6% attendance. Across all roll calls, Welch never voted against the majority of Illinois House Democrats.

    1,468 roll calls Welch could vote on in the IL 2025–26 session, compared with Illinois House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Welch voted with the majority of Illinois House Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

    0

    votes against the majority of Illinois House Democrats

    Party unity 100%, Illinois House average 96.7%, ranks 20th of 116. 1,468 roll calls in the IL 2025–26 session.

    Attendance and party unity

    The thick bar is Welch, the thin grey bar the Illinois House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

    80%100%
    Welch
    Peers
    Rank
    Attendance
    99.1%
    92.6%
    25th of 116
    Party unity
    100%
    96.7%
    20th of 116
    Show the data
    Welch's attendance and party unity against Illinois House.
    RowWelchPeers
    Attendance99.1%92.6%
    Party unity100%96.7%
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

    Key votes

    Roll calls the lab flags as key

    No votes in this window met the key-vote rules.

    How key votes are chosen

    Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

    Votes most often with

    The colleagues who voted the same way as Welch most often

    1. Eva-Dina DelgadoD1,233 shared votes100%
    2. Nabeela SyedD1,271 shared votes100%
    3. Michelle MussmanD1,452 shared votes100%
    4. Bob RitaD1,434 shared votes100%
    5. Abdelnasser RashidD1,449 shared votes100%

    Votes least often with

    The colleagues who voted the same way as Welch least often

    1. Chris MillerR1,342 shared votes57%
    2. Brad HalbrookR1,370 shared votes58%
    3. Blaine WilhourR1,322 shared votes59%
    4. Adam NiemergR1,386 shared votes60%
    5. Tom WeberR1,444 shared votes60%
    How to read the agreement lists

    The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

    Full voting record

    IL 2025–26 session, loads in batches

    Back to topNext: Legislation

    Legislation

    Welch sponsored 32 bills in the IL 2025–26 session; 2 became law. Cosponsored 117 others. 94% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Illinois House average 44%; 1st of 116).

    The bills Welch sponsored and cosponsored in the IL 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

    Bills by stage

    Counts for the IL 2025–26 session

    Sponsored32 billsSponsored, Introduced: 3232Sponsored, In committee: 3232Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 3030Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 44Sponsored, Became law: 22Cosponsored117 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 117117Cosponsored, In committee: 116116Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 9494Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 5454Cosponsored, Became law: 4646IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
    Show the data
    Bills Welch sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
    RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
    Sponsored32323042
    Cosponsored117116945446
    How to read the blocks

    Ink blocks are bills Welch sponsored, ochre blocks bills Welch cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

    94%

    of sponsored bills got out of committee

    Illinois House average 44%. Ranks 1st of 116.

    Cosponsorship partners

    Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Welch, by number of shared bills in the IL 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

    1. Mike Crawford23
    2. Camille Lilly22
    3. Lisa Davis19
    4. Yolonda Morris19
    5. Sharon Chung16
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Welch’s bills; the toggle shows more.

    Bill list

    Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

    Bills sponsored and cosponsored
    HB 5796$FY 2027 BUDGETSponsorMay 30, 2026In committeeEconomics and Public Finance(model)Referred to Rules Committee May 30, 2026
    HR 934CARIBBEAN AMERICAN MONTHSponsorMay 26, 2026Passed one chamberUnassignedResolution Adopted Jun 1, 2026
    HJRCA 28CONAMEND-REDISTRICTINGSponsorApr 20, 2026Passed one chamberGovernment Operations and Politics(model)Referred to Assignments Apr 28, 2026
    HJRCA 27CONAMEND-REDISTRICTINGSponsorApr 17, 2026In committeeGovernment Operations and Politics(model)Rule 19(b) / Re-referred to Rules Committee Jul 1, 2026
    HR 822CONGRATS-BYRON BRAZIER, D.MIN.SponsorApr 16, 2026Passed one chamberUnassignedResolution Adopted Apr 17, 2026

    Back to topNext: Online

    Online

    A site that has not changed in 90 days. Welch’s official site had 0 pages when last crawled.

    The lab crawls Welch’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Welch posts with a vision model.

    Websites

    How to read the counts

    “Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

    Images Welch posted

    No images from Welch’s posts have been described.

    About the descriptions

    Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

    State floor speeches

    380 turns, Jan 12, 2023 to May 20, 2026

    Floor speeches

    Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

    Back to topNext: Methods and sources

    Methods and sources

    How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

    The headline

    The headline is the measure on which Welch is most unusual among State House Democrats, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

    The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

    A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

    Identifiers

    Profile id
    00cc6415-b2a7-45ab-8f69-be5c3ca6752a
    Open States
    ocd-person/00cc6415-b2a7-45ab-8f69-be5c3ca6752a

    Bulk files with the same data for every official:

    Freshness of this profile’s data

    • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
    • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
    • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
    • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
    • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
    • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
    • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

    How the measures work

    What politicians say
    Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
    Extreme labels
    A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
    Policy areas and agreement
    Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
    Ideology (CSIP)
    Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
    Campaign money
    Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
    Votes and key votes
    Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
    Peers and ranks
    Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

    America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

    Back to top