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Republican · Arizona House, district 17

Serving since Jan 9, 2023AZ 2025–26 session

Portrait of Rachel Keshel, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
10%
of statements discuss policy, in the bottom quarter of State House Republicans

10% of 1,212 statements discuss policy (123 statements); the average for State House Republicans is 32%. Ranks 696th of 791, where 1st is the highest rate.

An AI model reads each of Keshel’s posts on X and marks whether it discusses a specific policy. The rate is the share of statements marked; it is compared with the average among State House Republicans and ranked against the same group.

At a glance

6 measures against State House Republicans. Keshel sits at +0.64 on the CSIP scale, more conservative than 89% of State House Republicans. 72% of Keshel’s itemized money in the 2026 cycle came from Arizona, in the bottom quarter of State House Republicans.

The measures on which Keshel sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Policy discussion

10%

State House Republicans average 32% · ranks 696th of 791

CSIP ideology

+0.64

More conservative than 89% of State House Republicans · ± 0.04

From Arizona, 2026

72%

Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 2029th of 2,335 State House Republicans

Party unity

90.4%

Arizona House average 93.3% · ranks 51st of 60 · 304 votes against the majority of Arizona House Republicans

Personal attacks

5.9%

State House Republicans average 2.9% · ranks 136th of 791

Credit claiming

2.5%

State House Republicans average 13% · ranks 648th of 791

Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Keshel, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Keshel is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Keshel says

Keshel claims credit less than 81% of State House Republicans. Credit claiming in 2.5% of 1,212 statements, against 13% for the average State House Republican; 648th of 791.

An AI model reads each of Keshel’s 1,212 statements in the AZ 2025–26 session (1,212 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Republicans and ranked among them.

Kinds of statement

Share of statements carrying each label, the AZ 2025–26 session

0%80%
Keshel
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion123 statements
10%
32%
696th of 791
Personal attacks71 statements
6%
3%
136th of 791
Policy criticism42 statements
3%
9%
527th of 791
Credit claiming30 statements
2%
13%
648th of 791
Bipartisanship11 statements
1%
2%
420th of 791
Show the data
Keshel's share of statements in each category against the State House Republicans average.
RowKeshelPeers
Policy discussion10%32%
Personal attacks6%3%
Policy criticism3%9%
Credit claiming2%13%
Bipartisanship1%2%
1,212

statements classified

1,212 posts on X.

posts on X: 1,212 (100.0%)posts on X 1,212
Show the data
Keshel's statements by source
PartValue
posts on X1,212
How to read the bars

The thick bar is Keshel; the thin grey bar is the average State House Republicans. A longer thick bar means Keshel does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.

Extreme labels

Keshel used extreme labels in 1.8% of statements, above the peer average. 22 statements, most often aimed at Democrat party; peers 1.4%.

  1. “radical”3
  2. “MAGA”2
  3. “woke”2
  4. “fascist”1

Who gets the labels

Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements

  1. Democrat party2
  2. Democrats2
  3. MAGA2
  4. AZMAGA1001
  5. benmccomposer1
What an extreme label is

Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.

Month by month

Share of statements per month, the AZ 2025–26 session

Statements2025-01: 532025-02: 492025-03: 242025-04: 682025-05: 352025-06: 812025-07: 382025-08: 642025-09: 1452025-10: 332025-11: 452025-12: 582026-01: 492026-02: 722026-03: 642026-04: 1012026-05: 292026-06: 972026-07: 352026-08: 142026-09: 132026-10: 45peak 145 · Sep ’25Personal attackspeak 13.1% · Sep ’25 · latest 6.7%Personal attacks, 2025-01: 5.7% of 53Personal attacks, 2025-02: 10.2% of 49Personal attacks, 2025-03: 0.0% of 24Personal attacks, 2025-04: 2.9% of 68Personal attacks, 2025-05: 2.9% of 35Personal attacks, 2025-06: 3.7% of 81Personal attacks, 2025-07: 0.0% of 38Personal attacks, 2025-08: 3.1% of 64Personal attacks, 2025-09: 13.1% of 145Personal attacks, 2025-10: 9.1% of 33Personal attacks, 2025-11: 8.9% of 45Personal attacks, 2025-12: 5.2% of 58Personal attacks, 2026-01: 10.2% of 49Personal attacks, 2026-02: 4.2% of 72Personal attacks, 2026-03: 4.7% of 64Personal attacks, 2026-04: 6.9% of 101Personal attacks, 2026-05: 0.0% of 29Personal attacks, 2026-06: 3.1% of 97Personal attacks, 2026-07: 5.7% of 35Personal attacks, 2026-08: 0.0% of 14Personal attacks, 2026-09: 0.0% of 13Personal attacks, 2026-10: 6.7% of 45Policy criticismpeak 10.9% · Aug ’25 · latest 0.0%Policy criticism, 2025-01: 9.4% of 53Policy criticism, 2025-02: 4.1% of 49Policy criticism, 2025-03: 4.2% of 24Policy criticism, 2025-04: 5.9% of 68Policy criticism, 2025-05: 2.9% of 35Policy criticism, 2025-06: 3.7% of 81Policy criticism, 2025-07: 5.3% of 38Policy criticism, 2025-08: 10.9% of 64Policy criticism, 2025-09: 3.5% of 145Policy criticism, 2025-10: 0.0% of 33Policy criticism, 2025-11: 0.0% of 45Policy criticism, 2025-12: 3.5% of 58Policy criticism, 2026-01: 8.2% of 49Policy criticism, 2026-02: 2.8% of 72Policy criticism, 2026-03: 0.0% of 64Policy criticism, 2026-04: 1.0% of 101Policy criticism, 2026-05: 0.0% of 29Policy criticism, 2026-06: 2.1% of 97Policy criticism, 2026-07: 0.0% of 35Policy criticism, 2026-08: 0.0% of 14Policy criticism, 2026-09: 7.7% of 13Policy criticism, 2026-10: 0.0% of 45Policy discussionpeak 26.5% · Jan ’26 · latest 24.4%Policy discussion, 2025-01: 20.8% of 53Policy discussion, 2025-02: 18.4% of 49Policy discussion, 2025-03: 12.5% of 24Policy discussion, 2025-04: 10.3% of 68Policy discussion, 2025-05: 2.9% of 35Policy discussion, 2025-06: 6.2% of 81Policy discussion, 2025-07: 7.9% of 38Policy discussion, 2025-08: 12.5% of 64Policy discussion, 2025-09: 6.2% of 145Policy discussion, 2025-10: 0.0% of 33Policy discussion, 2025-11: 0.0% of 45Policy discussion, 2025-12: 13.8% of 58Policy discussion, 2026-01: 26.5% of 49Policy discussion, 2026-02: 6.9% of 72Policy discussion, 2026-03: 3.1% of 64Policy discussion, 2026-04: 8.9% of 101Policy discussion, 2026-05: 17.2% of 29Policy discussion, 2026-06: 6.2% of 97Policy discussion, 2026-07: 8.6% of 35Policy discussion, 2026-08: 21.4% of 14Policy discussion, 2026-09: 15.4% of 13Policy discussion, 2026-10: 24.4% of 45Bipartisanshippeak 7.1% · Aug ’26 · latest 0.0%Bipartisanship, 2025-01: 0.0% of 53Bipartisanship, 2025-02: 2.0% of 49Bipartisanship, 2025-03: 0.0% of 24Bipartisanship, 2025-04: 0.0% of 68Bipartisanship, 2025-05: 0.0% of 35Bipartisanship, 2025-06: 1.2% of 81Bipartisanship, 2025-07: 5.3% of 38Bipartisanship, 2025-08: 4.7% of 64Bipartisanship, 2025-09: 0.7% of 145Bipartisanship, 2025-10: 0.0% of 33Bipartisanship, 2025-11: 0.0% of 45Bipartisanship, 2025-12: 0.0% of 58Bipartisanship, 2026-01: 0.0% of 49Bipartisanship, 2026-02: 1.4% of 72Bipartisanship, 2026-03: 0.0% of 64Bipartisanship, 2026-04: 1.0% of 101Bipartisanship, 2026-05: 0.0% of 29Bipartisanship, 2026-06: 0.0% of 97Bipartisanship, 2026-07: 0.0% of 35Bipartisanship, 2026-08: 7.1% of 14Bipartisanship, 2026-09: 0.0% of 13Bipartisanship, 2026-10: 0.0% of 45Credit claimingpeak 14.3% · Feb ’25 · latest 2.2%Credit claiming, 2025-01: 1.9% of 53Credit claiming, 2025-02: 14.3% of 49Credit claiming, 2025-03: 0.0% of 24Credit claiming, 2025-04: 1.5% of 68Credit claiming, 2025-05: 2.9% of 35Credit claiming, 2025-06: 1.2% of 81Credit claiming, 2025-07: 0.0% of 38Credit claiming, 2025-08: 1.6% of 64Credit claiming, 2025-09: 2.1% of 145Credit claiming, 2025-10: 0.0% of 33Credit claiming, 2025-11: 0.0% of 45Credit claiming, 2025-12: 5.2% of 58Credit claiming, 2026-01: 0.0% of 49Credit claiming, 2026-02: 4.2% of 72Credit claiming, 2026-03: 4.7% of 64Credit claiming, 2026-04: 1.0% of 101Credit claiming, 2026-05: 0.0% of 29Credit claiming, 2026-06: 2.1% of 97Credit claiming, 2026-07: 2.9% of 35Credit claiming, 2026-08: 7.1% of 14Credit claiming, 2026-09: 0.0% of 13Credit claiming, 2026-10: 2.2% of 45Extreme labelspeak 4.8% · Sep ’25 · latest 0.0%Extreme labels, 2025-01: 0.0% of 53Extreme labels, 2025-02: 0.0% of 49Extreme labels, 2025-03: 4.2% of 24Extreme labels, 2025-04: 0.0% of 68Extreme labels, 2025-05: 2.9% of 35Extreme labels, 2025-06: 0.0% of 81Extreme labels, 2025-07: 2.6% of 38Extreme labels, 2025-08: 3.1% of 64Extreme labels, 2025-09: 4.8% of 145Extreme labels, 2025-10: 0.0% of 33Extreme labels, 2025-11: 4.4% of 45Extreme labels, 2025-12: 1.7% of 58Extreme labels, 2026-01: 0.0% of 49Extreme labels, 2026-02: 1.4% of 72Extreme labels, 2026-03: 3.1% of 64Extreme labels, 2026-04: 0.0% of 101Extreme labels, 2026-05: 3.5% of 29Extreme labels, 2026-06: 2.1% of 97Extreme labels, 2026-07: 2.9% of 35Extreme labels, 2026-08: 0.0% of 14Extreme labels, 2026-09: 0.0% of 13Extreme labels, 2026-10: 0.0% of 45Jan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
Show the data
Monthly rates for Keshel, each row shaded against its own peak, with statement volume. Months with fewer than 10 statements are left blank.
ColumnStatementsPersonal attacksPolicy criticismPolicy discussionBipartisanshipCredit claimingExtreme labels
Jan ’25535.7%9.4%20.8%0.0%1.9%0.0%
Feb ’254910.2%4.1%18.4%2.0%14.3%0.0%
Mar ’25240.0%4.2%12.5%0.0%0.0%4.2%
Apr ’25682.9%5.9%10.3%0.0%1.5%0.0%
May ’25352.9%2.9%2.9%0.0%2.9%2.9%
Jun ’25813.7%3.7%6.2%1.2%1.2%0.0%
Jul ’25380.0%5.3%7.9%5.3%0.0%2.6%
Aug ’25643.1%10.9%12.5%4.7%1.6%3.1%
Sep ’2514513.1%3.5%6.2%0.7%2.1%4.8%
Oct ’25339.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Nov ’25458.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.4%
Dec ’25585.2%3.5%13.8%0.0%5.2%1.7%
Jan ’264910.2%8.2%26.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Feb ’26724.2%2.8%6.9%1.4%4.2%1.4%
Mar ’26644.7%0.0%3.1%0.0%4.7%3.1%
Apr ’261016.9%1.0%8.9%1.0%1.0%0.0%
May ’26290.0%0.0%17.2%0.0%0.0%3.5%
Jun ’26973.1%2.1%6.2%0.0%2.1%2.1%
Jul ’26355.7%0.0%8.6%0.0%2.9%2.9%
Aug ’26140.0%0.0%21.4%7.1%7.1%0.0%
Sep ’26130.0%7.7%15.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Oct ’26456.7%0.0%24.4%0.0%2.2%0.0%
How to read the strips

Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the AZ 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%.

In Keshel’s words

Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned

Policy discussion

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Oct 26, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Government Operations and Politics · Source

Credit claiming

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Oct 19, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · personal attacks; policy discussion; credit claiming; Public Lands and Natural Resources; Government Operations and Politics; target: Kris Reichert · Source

Extreme label

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Jul 16, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · extreme label “MAGA” aimed at MAGA · Source

Examples by category

Up to five recent statements in each category

Category

Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

  1. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · policy discussion · credit claiming · Public Lands and Natural Resources · Government Operations and Politics · target: Kris ReichertSource

  2. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · policy discussion · Government Operations and Politics · target: Gary SnyderSource

  3. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: RachelSource

  4. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacksSource

  5. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: unspecifiedSource

All 1,212 statements

Newest first, the AZ 2025–26 session

The full feed

Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 1,212 posts on X.

Back to topNext: Policy

Policy

Government Operations and Politics is what Keshel talks about most: 50% of policy statements, 2.8 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.56 on a 0–1 scale (State House Republicans average 0.53; 198th of 504).

Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Keshel talks about. The bills Keshel sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.

What Keshel talks about

Share of policy statements by area, the AZ 2025–26 session

0%55%
Keshel
Peers
Government Operations and Politics60 statements
50%
18%
Law13 statements
11%
3%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues11 statements
9%
6%
Families11 statements
9%
4%
Education7 statements
6%
15%
Show the data
Policy areas Keshel talks about, as a share of policy statements, against the State House Republicans average.
RowKeshelPeers
Government Operations and Politics50%18%
Law11%3%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues9%6%
Families9%4%
Education6%15%
How to read the bars

The thick bar is the share of Keshel’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

Talks about · legislates on

Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 55%. Grey ticks are the State House Republicans averages.

Talks aboutLegislates onGovernment Operations andPoliticsGovernment Operations and Politics, talks about: 50% (State House Republicans 18%)50%Government Operations and Politics, legislates on: 18% (State House Republicans 12%)18%LawLaw, talks about: 11% (State House Republicans 3%)11%Law, legislates on: 7% (State House Republicans 3%)7%Civil Rights and Liberties,Minority IssuesCivil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, talks about: 9% (State House Republicans 6%)9%Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, legislates on: 10% (State House Republicans 4%)10%FamiliesFamilies, talks about: 9% (State House Republicans 4%)9%Families, legislates on: 13% (State House Republicans 2%)13%EducationEducation, talks about: 6% (State House Republicans 15%)6%Education, legislates on: 9% (State House Republicans 9%)9%
Show the data
Keshel's share of statements against share of bills in each policy area.
AreaTalks aboutState House Republicans, talks aboutLegislates onState House Republicans, legislates on
Government Operations and Politics50%18%18%12%
Law11%3%7%3%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues9%6%10%4%
Families9%4%13%2%
Education6%15%9%9%
0.56

talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1

State House Republicans average 0.53. Ranks 198th of 504.

What agreement means, and what it doesn’t

Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Keshel legislates on exactly the areas Keshel talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Keshel sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

Back to topNext: Ideology

Ideology

Keshel sits at +0.64 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more conservative than 89% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.60 to +0.67, which understates the uncertainty; from 647 donors and 583 roll calls.

CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

+0.64

CSIP ideal point

Approximate range +0.60 to +0.67. From 647 donors and 583 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

← More liberalMore conservative →0Keshel +0.6State House Republicans +0.4Arizona House +0.2All State House +0.1

The outlined dot is Keshel, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Keshel’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

Where Keshel sits

Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

−2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State House Republicansmedian +0.4Keshel +0.6Arizona Housemedian +0.2All State Housemedian +0.1
Show the data
Keshel's CSIP score of +0.64 placed against State House Republicans, Arizona House, All State House.
GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Keshel
State House Republicans2917+0.489%
Arizona House60+0.293%
All State House5324+0.194%
How to read the strips

Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Keshel in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Keshel.

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Keshel reported $98.1K in the 2026 cycle, 2.9 times the State House Republicans’ median of $33.7K. State filings report no small-donation total. 72% of itemized individual money came from Arizona.

Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

Election cycle
$98.1K

itemized in the 2026 cycle

From 251 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $33.7K.

Where the money came from

Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)Individuals (itemized): $77.9K (79.5%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)PACs and other committees: $13.2K (13.4%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)Party committees: $7,000 (7.1%)
  • Individuals (itemized)80 squares$77.9K
  • PACs and other committees13 squares$13.2K
  • Party committees7 squares$7,000
Show the data
Sources of Keshel's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
SourceAmountShare
Individuals (itemized)$77.9K79.5%
PACs and other committees$13.2K13.4%
Party committees$7,0007.1%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

Receipts by cycle

Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2026.

2022 cycle: $59.1K$59.1K20222024 cycle: $147.7K$147.7K20242026 cycle: $98.1K$98.1K2026State House Republicans median $33.7K
Show the data
Keshel's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State House Republicans median.
ItemValue
2022 cycle$59.1K
2024 cycle$147.7K
2026 cycle$98.1K

Top donor states, 2026

Itemized contributions by donor state. 72% came from Arizona.

  1. Arizona$56.4K
  2. Arkansas$5,020
  3. Florida$3,735
  4. Texas$2,250
  5. California$2,135

Small donations

State filings report no total for small gifts.

Not reported in state filings.

Where itemized donors live

Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

Alaska: no dataAKMaine: $150MEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: $1,115WAIdaho: $25IDMontana: $50MTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: $50MNIllinois: $154ILWisconsin: $100WIMichigan: $1,351MINew York: $150NYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: $260MAOregon: no dataORNevada: $400NVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: $35IAIndiana: $245INOhio: $250OHPennsylvania: $282PANew Jersey: $35NJConnecticut: no dataCTCalifornia: $2,135CAUtah: $80UTColorado: $100CONebraska: $135NEMissouri: $160MOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: $100WVVirginia: $1,250VAMaryland: $175MDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: $56.4KAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: $50KSArkansas: $5,020ARTennessee: $155TNNorth Carolina: $295NCSouth Carolina: $35SCDistrict of Columbia: no dataDCOklahoma: no dataOKLouisiana: $160LAMississippi: $50MSAlabama: $20ALGeorgia: $950GAHawaii: no dataHITexas: $2,250TXFlorida: $3,735FL
Show the data
Keshel's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
StateValue
Arizona$56.4K
Arkansas$5,020
Florida$3,735
Texas$2,250
California$2,135
Michigan$1,351
Virginia$1,250
Washington$1,115
Georgia$950
Nevada$400
North Carolina$295
Pennsylvania$282
Massachusetts$260
Ohio$250
Indiana$245
Maryland$175
Missouri$160
Louisiana$160
Tennessee$155
Illinois$154
Maine$150
New York$150
Nebraska$135
Wisconsin$100
Colorado$100
West Virginia$100
Utah$80
Montana$50
Minnesota$50
Kansas$50
Mississippi$50
Iowa$35
New Jersey$35
South Carolina$35
Idaho$25
Alabama$20
AlaskaNo data
VermontNo data
New HampshireNo data
North DakotaNo data
Rhode IslandNo data
OregonNo data
WyomingNo data
South DakotaNo data
ConnecticutNo data
KentuckyNo data
DelawareNo data
New MexicoNo data
District of ColumbiaNo data
OklahomaNo data
HawaiiNo data
251

itemized donors

People who gave more than $200

72%

from Arizona

Of itemized individual dollars

How to read the map

Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Arizona. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

Top donor occupations

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. RETIRED$38.8K 146 donors
  2. HOMEMAKER$5,470 5 donors
  3. OWNER$2,733 8 donors
  4. ENGINEER$1,150 5 donors
  5. CONSULTANT$685 6 donors

Top committees

PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

  1. FREEDOM CLUB PAC$10.0K
  2. GOP LEGISLATIVE DISTRICT 17 COMMITTEE$4,000
  3. PINAL COUNTY REPUBLICAN COMMITTEE LLC$3,000
  4. SADDLEBROOKE RANCH CONSERVATIVES$2,000
  5. PINNACLE WEST PAC [PAC - 1016]$500

Top employers

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

No employers reported.

Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

Back to topNext: Votes

Votes

Keshel voted with the majority of Arizona House Republicans on 90.4% of party-line votes and missed 5.9% of 1,672 roll calls. Arizona House on average: 93.3% party unity, 93.0% attendance. Across all roll calls, Keshel voted against the majority of Arizona House Republicans 304 times.

1,672 roll calls Keshel could vote on in the AZ 2025–26 session, compared with Arizona House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Keshel voted with the majority of Arizona House Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

304

votes against the majority of Arizona House Republicans

Party unity 90.4%, Arizona House average 93.3%, ranks 51st of 60. 1,672 roll calls in the AZ 2025–26 session.

Attendance and party unity

The thick bar is Keshel, the thin grey bar the Arizona House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

80%100%
Keshel
Peers
Rank
Attendance
94.0%
93.0%
36th of 60
Party unity
90.4%
93.3%
51st of 60
Show the data
Keshel's attendance and party unity against Arizona House.
RowKeshelPeers
Attendance94.0%93.0%
Party unity90.4%93.3%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

Key votes

25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the AZ 2025–26 session

Key votes
Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2040
minimum wage; exception; homeless
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 0–22 · R 31–0Democrats 0 yea, 22 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naymuch discussed
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2397
homeowners' associations; property covenants; disclosures
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 17–5 · R 30–0Democrats 17 yea, 5 nay; Republicans 30 yea, 0 naybecame law · party crossover
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2321
DCS; credit freeze; consumer reporting
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 2–20 · R 31–0Democrats 2 yea, 20 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naybecame law
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2398
watercraft; insurance requirements; penalties
failed to pass
NayAgainst majorityfailD 2–20 · R 19–12Democrats 2 yea, 20 nay; Republicans 19 yea, 12 nayparty crossover
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2406
department of veterans' services; study
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 5–17 · R 31–0Democrats 5 yea, 17 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naybecame law · party crossover
How key votes are chosen

Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

Votes most often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Keshel most often

  1. Joseph ChaplikR719 shared votes95%
  2. Ralph HeapR1,539 shared votes94%
  3. Laurin HendrixR1,248 shared votes93%
  4. Justin OlsonR1,572 shared votes93%
  5. Michael WayR1,505 shared votes93%

Votes least often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Keshel least often

  1. Mariana SandovalD1,536 shared votes33%
  2. Quantá CrewsD1,349 shared votes33%
  3. Cesar AguilarD1,443 shared votes34%
  4. Anna AbeytiaD1,189 shared votes34%
  5. Aaron MárquezD1,537 shared votes34%
How to read the agreement lists

The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

Full voting record

AZ 2025–26 session, loads in batches

Back to topNext: Legislation

Legislation

Keshel sponsored 53 bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; 1 became law. Cosponsored 125 others. 53% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Arizona House average 34%; 20th of 56).

The bills Keshel sponsored and cosponsored in the AZ 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

Bills by stage

Counts for the AZ 2025–26 session

Sponsored53 billsSponsored, Introduced: 5353Sponsored, In committee: 3030Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 2828Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 1313Sponsored, Became law: 11Cosponsored125 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 125125Cosponsored, In committee: 8282Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 7676Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 4848Cosponsored, Became law: 77IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
Show the data
Bills Keshel sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
Sponsored533028131
Cosponsored1258276487
How to read the blocks

Ink blocks are bills Keshel sponsored, ochre blocks bills Keshel cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

53%

of sponsored bills got out of committee

Arizona House average 34%. Ranks 20th of 56.

Cosponsorship partners

Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Keshel, by number of shared bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

  1. Lisa Fink60
  2. Alex Kolodin43
  3. David Marshall43
  4. Ralph Heap36
  5. Leo Biasiucci34
What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Keshel’s bills; the toggle shows more.

Bill list

Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

Bills sponsored and cosponsored
HB 2275technical correction; midwivesSponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedHealth(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HB 2276technical correction; obstructing governmental operationsSponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedCrime and Law Enforcement(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HB 2839municipal tax; exemption; foodCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedTaxation(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2063Yvonne Fedderson; death resolutionCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedUnassignedHouse First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2018municipal tax; exemption; foodCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedTaxation(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026

Back to topNext: Online

Online

A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Keshel’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

The lab crawls Keshel’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Keshel posts with a vision model.

Websites

How to read the counts

“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

Images Keshel posted

No images from Keshel’s posts have been described.

About the descriptions

Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

State floor speeches

90 turns, Jan 9, 2023 to Jun 12, 2026

Floor speeches

Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

The headline

The headline is the measure on which Keshel is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

Identifiers

Profile id
11b313a8-0f20-4d81-8060-4ec7e65f1a29
Open States
ocd-person/11b313a8-0f20-4d81-8060-4ec7e65f1a29

Bulk files with the same data for every official:

Freshness of this profile’s data

  • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
  • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
  • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
  • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
  • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
  • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
  • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

How the measures work

What politicians say
Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
Extreme labels
A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
Policy areas and agreement
Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology (CSIP)
Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
Campaign money
Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
Votes and key votes
Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
Peers and ranks
Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

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