100% of 10 sponsored bills got out of committee; the average for the Arkansas House is 56%. Ranks 2nd of 81, where 1st is the highest share.
The share of bills Tosh sponsored that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, ranked within the Arkansas House. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position as well as effort.
At a glance
4 measures against State House Republicans. Tosh sits at +0.13 on the CSIP scale, more liberal than 84% of State House Republicans. 87% of Tosh’s itemized money in the 2022 cycle came from Arkansas, in the bottom quarter of State House Republicans.
The measures on which Tosh sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Out of committee
Arkansas House average 56% · ranks 2nd of 81
CSIP ideology
More liberal than 84% of State House Republicans · ± 0.03
From Arkansas, 2022
Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 18th of 21 State House Republicans
Itemized, 2022
State House Republicans’ median $1,620 · ranks 7th of 24
Statements
Bills sponsored
and 32 cosponsored
Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Tosh, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Tosh is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Tosh says
No statements for the AR 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.
Policy
No policy statements for the AR 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.
Ideology
Tosh sits at +0.13 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more liberal than 84% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.10 to +0.15, which understates the uncertainty; from 12 donors and 846 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range +0.10 to +0.15. From 12 donors and 846 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Tosh, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Tosh’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Tosh sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Tosh |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Republicans | 2917 | +0.4 | 15% |
| Arkansas House | 97 | +0.1 | 58% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 53% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Tosh in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Tosh.
Money
Tosh reported $23.6K in the 2022 cycle, 14.6 times the State House Republicans’ median of $1,620. State filings report no small-donation total. 87% of itemized individual money came from Arkansas.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
itemized in the 2022 cycle
From 9 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $1,620.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2022 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)17 squares$3,956
- PACs and other committees83 squares$19.7K
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $3,956 | 16.8% |
| PACs and other committees | $19.7K | 83.2% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2022. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2022.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2020 cycle | $53.7K |
| 2022 cycle | $23.6K |
Top donor states, 2022
Itemized contributions by donor state. 87% came from Arkansas.
- Arkansas$3,456
- Missouri$500
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| Arkansas | $3,456 |
| Missouri | $500 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| California | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
from Arkansas
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Arkansas. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2022 cycle.
- LOBBYIST$800 3 donors
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2022 cycle.
- ACTION COMMITTEE FOR RURAL ELECTRIFICATION$2,900
- ARKANSAS HEALTH CARE - HOUSE PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE$2,900
- ARKANSAS DENTAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$1,500
- LEGENDS FOR ARKANSAS PAC$1,500
- ARKANSAS REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$1,000
Top employers
Itemized, 2022 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
No roll-call votes for the AR 2025–26 session.No roll-call votes are recorded for this official in this time window.
Legislation
Tosh sponsored 10 bills in the AR 2025–26 session; 10 became law. Cosponsored 32 others. 100% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Arkansas House average 56%; 2nd of 81).
The bills Tosh sponsored and cosponsored in the AR 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the AR 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Cosponsored | 32 | 32 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Tosh sponsored, ochre blocks bills Tosh cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
of sponsored bills got out of committee
Arkansas House average 56%. Ranks 2nd of 81.
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Tosh, by number of shared bills in the AR 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Breanne Davis3
- Matt Brown3
- Dave Wallace3
- Ashley Hudson2
- Steve Unger2
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Tosh’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HB 1001 | TO REDUCE THE INCOME TAX RATES FOR INDIVIDUALS, TRUSTS, ESTATES, AND CORPORATIONS. | Cosponsor | May 1, 2026 | Became law | Taxation(model) | Notification that HB1001 is now Act 1 May 6, 2026 |
| HB 1079 | AN ACT FOR THE DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTIONS - DIVISION OF CORRECTION APPROPRIATION FOR THE 2026-2027 FISCAL YEAR. | Sponsor | Apr 8, 2026 | Became law | Crime and Law Enforcement(model) | Notification that HB1079 is now Act 64 Apr 22, 2026 |
| HB 1988 | TO AMEND THE LAW CONCERNING THE DISTRIBUTION OF AUTO AUCTION FEES FOR SALVAGE-TITLED OR PARTS-ONLY TITLED VEHICLES; AND TO AMEND THE PURPOSE FOR WHICH AUTO AUCTION FEES MAY BE USED. | Sponsor | Apr 3, 2025 | Became law | Transportation and Public Works(model) | Notification that HB1988 is now Act 930 Apr 21, 2025 |
| SB 560 | TO DECREASE THE BASE CONTRIBUTION RATE; TO INCREASE THE ADMINISTRATIVE ASSESSMENT RATE; TO INCREASE FUNDING FOR THE SKILLED WORKFORCE IN THIS STATE; AND TO AMEND THE DIVISION OF WORKFORCE SERVICES TRAINING TRUST FUND. | Sponsor | Mar 24, 2025 | Became law | Labor and Employment(model) | Notification that SB560 is now Act 740 Apr 18, 2025 |
| SB 535 | TO CREATE A SALES AND USE TAX EXEMPTION FOR THE ARKANSAS MUSEUM OF FINE ARTS AND THE ARKANSAS MUSEUM OF FINE ARTS FOUNDATION. | Cosponsor | Mar 20, 2025 | Became law | Taxation(model) | Notification that SB535 is now Act 781 Apr 18, 2025 |
Online
A site that changed 3 times in 90 days. Tosh’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Tosh’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Tosh posts with a vision model.
Websites
- 1
pages crawled
3changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
- Facebookwww.facebook.com/dwight.tosh
- Instagramwww.instagram.com/dwighttosh/
- Emaildwight.tosh@arkansashouse.org
Images Tosh posted
No images from Tosh’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
43 turns, Mar 2, 2021 to Apr 15, 2025
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Tosh is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- 38a8f4c9-1138-461c-a8a1-ac853c79d3ca
- Open States
- ocd-person/38a8f4c9-1138-461c-a8a1-ac853c79d3ca
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab