Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 20, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; International Affairs; Armed Forces and National Security · Source
3.9×
the State House Democrat rate of personal attacks
9.8% of 711 statements contain a personal attack (70 statements); the average for State House Democrats is 2.5%. Ranks 54th of 764, where 1st is the highest rate.
An AI model reads each of Arbit’s posts on X and marks whether it attacks a person’s character, integrity or loyalty. The rate is the share of statements marked; it is compared with the average among State House Democrats and ranked against the same group.
At a glance
6 measures against State House Democrats. 10% of Arbit’s statements discuss policy, in the bottom tenth of State House Democrats (average 39%). 6.7% of the 30 bills Arbit sponsored got out of committee, in the bottom tenth of the Michigan House.
The measures on which Arbit sits furthest from the middle of State House Democrats, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Personal attacks
9.8%
State House Democrats average 2.5% · ranks 54th of 764
Policy discussion
10%
State House Democrats average 39% · ranks 704th of 764
Out of committee
6.7%
Michigan House average 32% · ranks 100th of 107
Credit claiming
1.0%
State House Democrats average 14% · ranks 682nd of 764
Extreme labels
2.7%
State House Democrats average 1.0% · ranks 79th of 764
CSIP ideology
−0.59
Left of 0, the centre of the scale · ± 0.04
Peer group: State House Democrats. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Arbit, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Arbit is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Arbit says
Arbit claims credit less than 89% of State House Democrats. Credit claiming in 1.0% of 711 statements, against 14% for the average State House Democrat; 682nd of 764.
An AI model reads each of Arbit’s 711 statements in the MI 2025–26 session (711 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Democrats and ranked among them.
Kinds of statement
Share of statements carrying each label, the MI 2025–26 session
0%80%
Arbit
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion72 statements
10%
39%
704th of 764
Personal attacks70 statements
10%
3%
54th of 764
Policy criticism26 statements
4%
10%
540th of 764
Credit claiming7 statements
1%
14%
682nd of 764
Bipartisanship5 statements
1%
3%
550th of 764
Show the data
| Row | Arbit | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Policy discussion | 10% | 39% |
| Personal attacks | 10% | 3% |
| Policy criticism | 4% | 10% |
| Credit claiming | 1% | 14% |
| Bipartisanship | 1% | 3% |
711
statements classified
711 posts on X.
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 711 |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is Arbit; the thin grey bar is the average State House Democrats. A longer thick bar means Arbit does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Extreme labels
Arbit used extreme labels in 2.7% of statements, 2.8 times the peer average. 19 statements, most often aimed at MAGA; peers 1.0%.
- “extreme”5
- “MAGA”4
- “fascist”4
- “far left”3
- “radical”2
Who gets the labels
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
- MAGA3
- far left2
- Republican Party2
- Trump2
- Black guy1
What an extreme label is
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Month by month
Share of statements per month, the MI 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Column | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming | Extreme labels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan ’25 | 4 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Feb ’25 | 40 | 17.5% | 10.0% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% |
| Mar ’25 | 20 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Apr ’25 | 46 | 8.7% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| May ’25 | 24 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jun ’25 | 37 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’25 | 40 | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% |
| Aug ’25 | 24 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sep ’25 | 32 | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.1% |
| Oct ’25 | 58 | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% |
| Nov ’25 | 47 | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% |
| Dec ’25 | 9 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jan ’26 | 32 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Feb ’26 | 22 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 9.1% |
| Mar ’26 | 50 | 10.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% |
| Apr ’26 | 9 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| May ’26 | 38 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jun ’26 | 19 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’26 | 6 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Aug ’26 | 39 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Sep ’26 | 31 | 12.9% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% |
| Oct ’26 | 84 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
How to read the strips
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the MI 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 4 months are hatched here.
In Arbit’s words
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Credit claiming
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 20, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · credit claiming · Source
Extreme label
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 8, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues; Government Operations and Politics; extreme label “extreme” aimed at JD Vance, GOP, Donald Trump · Source
Examples by category
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: Elon MuskSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: Aaron WelkinsSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacksSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · policy discussion · International Affairs · target: presidentSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · policy discussion · International Affairs · target: Donald TrumpSource
All 711 statements
Newest first, the MI 2025–26 session
The full feed
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 711 posts on X.
Policy
Government Operations and Politics is what Arbit talks about most: 24% of policy statements, above the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.42 on a 0–1 scale (State House Democrats average 0.54; 427th of 503).
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Arbit talks about. The bills Arbit sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
What Arbit talks about
Share of policy statements by area, the MI 2025–26 session
0%35%
Arbit
Peers
Government Operations and Politics17 statements
24%
15%
International Affairs16 statements
22%
1%
Economics and Public Finance14 statements
19%
11%
Foreign Trade and International Finance13 statements
18%
1%
Armed Forces and National Security8 statements
11%
3%
Show the data
| Row | Arbit | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Government Operations and Politics | 24% | 15% |
| International Affairs | 22% | 1% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 19% | 11% |
| Foreign Trade and International Finance | 18% | 1% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 11% | 3% |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is the share of Arbit’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Democrats. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Talks about · legislates on
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State House Democrats averages.
Show the data
| Area | Talks about | State House Democrats, talks about | Legislates on | State House Democrats, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Operations and Politics | 24% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| International Affairs | 22% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 19% | 11% | 2% | 2% |
| Foreign Trade and International Finance | 18% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 11% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
0.42
talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1
State House Democrats average 0.54. Ranks 427th of 503.
What agreement means, and what it doesn’t
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Arbit legislates on exactly the areas Arbit talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Arbit sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology
Arbit sits at −0.59 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more conservative than 55% of State House Democrats. Approximate range −0.63 to −0.55, which understates the uncertainty; from 1,211 donors and 571 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
−0.59
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range −0.63 to −0.55. From 1,211 donors and 571 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Arbit, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Arbit’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Arbit sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
State House Democrats2,392 · median −0.6
Michigan House110 · median +0.4
All State House5,324 · median +0.1
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Arbit |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Democrats | 2392 | −0.6 | 55% |
| Michigan House | 110 | +0.4 | 36% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 25% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Arbit in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Arbit.
Money
Arbit reported $69.3K in the 2026 cycle, above the State House Democrats’ median of $40.4K. State filings report no small-donation total. 84% of itemized individual money came from Michigan.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
$69.3K
itemized in the 2026 cycle
From 225 itemized donors. State House Democrats’ median $40.4K.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)95 squares$66.1K
- PACs and other committees5 squares$3,250
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $66.1K | 95.3% |
| PACs and other committees | $3,250 | 4.7% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Democrats’ median for 2026.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2022 cycle | $255.1K |
| 2024 cycle | $113.8K |
| 2026 cycle | $69.3K |
Top donor states, 2026
Itemized contributions by donor state. 84% came from Michigan.
- Michigan$55.3K
- District of Columbia$1,792
- Wisconsin$1,325
- New York$540
- Connecticut$133
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| Michigan | $55.3K |
| District of Columbia | $1,792 |
| Wisconsin | $1,325 |
| New York | $540 |
| Connecticut | $133 |
| Illinois | $100 |
| California | $77 |
| Pennsylvania | $25 |
| Texas | $12 |
| Maryland | $4 |
| Virginia | $3 |
| New Jersey | $2 |
| Washington | $1 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Florida | No data |
225
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
84%
from Michigan
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Michigan. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
- NOT EMPLOYED$20.6K 75 donors
- ATTORNEY$6,795 10 donors
- PHYSICIAN$3,675 12 donors
- LAWYER$2,985 5 donors
- CONSULTANT$2,623 8 donors
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.
- MICHIGAN LABORERS POLITICAL LEAGUE$1,000
- REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF MICHIGAN$1,000
- MICHIGAN EDUCATION ASSOCIATION PAC$500
- PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCATES OF MI$500
- MICHIGAN DOCTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$250
Top employers
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
- STATE OF MICHIGAN$12.4K 14 donors
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
Arbit voted with the majority of Michigan House Democrats on 88% of party-line votes and missed none of 669 roll calls. Michigan House on average: 93.2% party unity, 99.9% attendance. Across all roll calls, Arbit voted against the majority of Michigan House Democrats 65 times.
669 roll calls Arbit could vote on in the MI 2025–26 session, compared with Michigan House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Arbit voted with the majority of Michigan House Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
65
votes against the majority of Michigan House Democrats
Party unity 88%, Michigan House average 93.2%, ranks 93rd of 110. 669 roll calls in the MI 2025–26 session.
Attendance and party unity
The thick bar is Arbit, the thin grey bar the Michigan House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.
80%100%
Arbit
Peers
Rank
Attendance
100%
99.9%
55th of 110
Party unity
88%
93.2%
93rd of 110
Show the data
| Row | Arbit | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 100% | 99.9% |
| Party unity | 88% | 93.2% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
Key votes
25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the MI 2025–26 session
| Party split (yea–nay) | Why it’s key | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | HB 6302 Education: school districts; requirement to display an American flag in classrooms; provide for. Amends sec. 1347 of 1976 PA 451 (MCL 380.1347). passed; given immediate effect Roll Call #374 Yeas 76 Nays 27 Excused 0 Not Voting 7 | Nay | With majority | pass | D 20–26 · R 56–1Democrats 20 yea, 26 nay; Republicans 56 yea, 1 nay | party crossover |
| Sep 23, 2026 | HB 6259 Criminal procedure: sentencing guidelines; sentencing guidelines for criminal sexual conduct; modify. Amends sec. 16y, ch. XVII of 1927 PA 175 (MCL 777.16y). TIE BAR WITH: HB 6261'26, HB 6262'26 passed; given immediate effect Roll Call #375 Yeas 77 Nays 26 Excused 0 Not Voting 7 | Yea | Against majority | pass | D 21–25 · R 56–1Democrats 21 yea, 25 nay; Republicans 56 yea, 1 nay | party crossover |
| Sep 23, 2026 | HB 6260 Crimes: criminal sexual conduct; penalties for criminal sexual conduct in the first degree; modify. Amends sec. 520b of 1931 PA 328 (MCL 750.520b). passed; given immediate effect Roll Call #376 Yeas 79 Nays 24 Excused 0 Not Voting 7 | Yea | — | pass | D 23–23 · R 56–1Democrats 23 yea, 23 nay; Republicans 56 yea, 1 nay | party crossover |
| Sep 23, 2026 | HB 6282 Public employees and officers: ethics; moratorium on former legislators accepting employment with an entity that receives a grant from the utility consumer participation board; provide for. Creates new act. passed; given immediate effect Roll Call #373 Yeas 88 Nays 15 Excused 0 Not Voting 7 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 32–14 · R 56–1Democrats 32 yea, 14 nay; Republicans 56 yea, 1 nay | party crossover |
| Sep 23, 2026 | HB 6262 Crimes: criminal sexual conduct; penalties for criminal sexual conduct in the third degree; modify. Amends sec. 520d of 1931 PA 328 (MCL 750.520d). passed; given immediate effect Roll Call #378 Yeas 77 Nays 26 Excused 0 Not Voting 7 | Yea | Against majority | pass | D 21–25 · R 56–1Democrats 21 yea, 25 nay; Republicans 56 yea, 1 nay | party crossover |
How key votes are chosen
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
Votes most often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Arbit most often
- Stephen WoodenD594 shared votes91%
- John FitzgeraldD669 shared votes90%
- Jaz MartusD669 shared votes90%
- Ranjeev PuriD669 shared votes90%
- Penelope TsernoglouD669 shared votes90%
Votes least often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Arbit least often
- Steve CarraR669 shared votes42%
- Jim DeSanaR636 shared votes56%
- Jaime GreeneR593 shared votes57%
- Joseph FoxR655 shared votes58%
- Donni SteeleR669 shared votes60%
How to read the agreement lists
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
Full voting record
MI 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Legislation
Arbit sponsored 30 bills in the MI 2025–26 session; none became law. Cosponsored 373 others. 6.7% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Michigan House average 32%; 100th of 107).
The bills Arbit sponsored and cosponsored in the MI 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the MI 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 30 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cosponsored | 373 | 373 | 51 | 6 | 6 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Arbit sponsored, ochre blocks bills Arbit cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
6.7%
of sponsored bills got out of committee
Michigan House average 32%. Ranks 100th of 107.
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Arbit, by number of shared bills in the MI 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Carrie Rheingans174
- Sharon MacDonell154
- Natalie Price143
- Jason Morgan128
- Matt Longjohn115
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Arbit’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HB 6385 | Energy: alternative sources; limits on generation capacity; raise. Amends sec. 173 of 2008 PA 295 (MCL 460.1173). TIE BAR WITH: HB 6386'26 | Cosponsor | Sep 24, 2026 | In committee | Energy(model) | bill electronically reproduced 09/24/2026 Sep 29, 2026 |
| HB 6386 | Energy: alternative sources; limits on generation capacity; raise. Amends sec. 5 of 2008 PA 295 (MCL 460.1005). TIE BAR WITH: HB 6385'26 | Cosponsor | Sep 24, 2026 | In committee | Energy(model) | bill electronically reproduced 09/24/2026 Sep 29, 2026 |
| HB 6416 | Sales tax: exemptions; sharing of information regarding certain exemptions; provide for. Amends sec. 4ee of 1933 PA 167 (MCL 205.54ee). | Sponsor | Sep 24, 2026 | In committee | Taxation(model) | bill electronically reproduced 09/24/2026 Sep 29, 2026 |
| HB 6415 | Use tax: exemptions; sharing of information regarding certain exemptions; provide for. Amends sec. 4cc of 1937 PA 94 (MCL 205.94cc). | Cosponsor | Sep 24, 2026 | In committee | Taxation(model) | bill electronically reproduced 09/24/2026 Sep 29, 2026 |
| HB 6344 | State management: purchasing; contracts for information technology projects; require to include provision that allows the state agency to select the infrastructure. Amends 1984 PA 431 (MCL 18.1101 - 18.1594) by adding sec. 261g. | Cosponsor | Sep 23, 2026 | In committee | Government Operations and Politics(model) | bill electronically reproduced 09/23/2026 Sep 24, 2026 |
Online
A site that has not changed in 90 days. Arbit’s official site had 0 pages when last crawled.
The lab crawls Arbit’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Arbit posts with a vision model.
Websites
- 0
pages crawled
0changes in 90 days
- 15
pages crawled
6changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
- XNoahArbit
- Facebookwww.facebook.com/noaharbit/
- Instagramwww.instagram.com/narbit/?hl=en
- LinkedInwww.linkedin.com/in/narbit/
- Emailnoaharbit@house.mi.gov
Images Arbit posted
No images from Arbit’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
No transcribed state floor speeches are matched to this legislator yet.
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Arbit is most unusual among State House Democrats, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- 3b59f672-58f4-4d87-8b6e-6f9cc63a4d4c
- Open States
- ocd-person/3b59f672-58f4-4d87-8b6e-6f9cc63a4d4c
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab