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Republican · Idaho Senate, district 7

Serving since Dec 1, 2022ID 2025–26 session

Portrait of Cindy Carlson, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
$10.5K
in itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle, in the bottom quarter of State Senate Republicans

The median for State Senate Republicans is $46.2K. Ranks 742nd of 936, where 1st raised the most. 19 itemized donors.

Itemized contributions reported to the state in the 2026 cycle, ranked among State Senate Republicans. State filings leave small gifts out, and totals depend on whether the seat is up this cycle.

At a glance

5 measures against State Senate Republicans. Carlson sits at +0.52 on the CSIP scale, more conservative than 74% of State Senate Republicans. 89% of Carlson’s itemized money in the 2026 cycle came from Idaho, in the bottom half of State Senate Republicans.

The measures on which Carlson sits furthest from the middle of State Senate Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Party unity

95.3%

Idaho Senate average 87% · ranks 8th of 35 · 82 votes against the majority of Idaho Senate Republicans

Itemized, 2026

$10.5K

State Senate Republicans’ median $46.2K · ranks 742nd of 936

CSIP ideology

+0.52

More conservative than 74% of State Senate Republicans · ± 0.03

From Idaho, 2026

89%

Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 586th of 860 State Senate Republicans

Attendance

98.7%

Idaho Senate average 97.3% · ranks 14th of 35 · 704 roll calls

Statements

No statements in this window

Peer group: State Senate Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Carlson, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Carlson is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Carlson says

No statements for the ID 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.

Back to topNext: Policy

Policy

No policy statements for the ID 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.

Back to topNext: Ideology

Ideology

Carlson sits at +0.52 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more conservative than 74% of State Senate Republicans. Approximate range +0.49 to +0.56, which understates the uncertainty; from 170 donors and 522 roll calls.

CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

+0.52

CSIP ideal point

Approximate range +0.49 to +0.56. From 170 donors and 522 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

← More liberalMore conservative →0Carlson +0.5State Senate Republicans +0.4Idaho Senate +0.1All State Senate +0.1

The outlined dot is Carlson, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Carlson’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

Where Carlson sits

Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

−2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State Senate Republicansmedian +0.4Carlson +0.5Idaho Senatemedian +0.1All State Senatemedian +0.1
Show the data
Carlson's CSIP score of +0.52 placed against State Senate Republicans, Idaho Senate, All State Senate.
GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Carlson
State Senate Republicans1083+0.474%
Idaho Senate35+0.174%
All State Senate1909+0.185%
How to read the strips

Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Carlson in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Carlson.

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Carlson reported $10.5K in the 2026 cycle, 23% of the State Senate Republicans’ median of $46.2K. State filings report no small-donation total. 89% of itemized individual money came from Idaho.

Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

Election cycle
$10.5K

itemized in the 2026 cycle

From 19 itemized donors. State Senate Republicans’ median $46.2K.

Where the money came from

Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)Individuals (itemized): $6,590 (62.8%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)PACs and other committees: $2,900 (27.6%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)Party committees: $1,000 (9.5%)
  • Individuals (itemized)63 squares$6,590
  • PACs and other committees28 squares$2,900
  • Party committees9 squares$1,000
Show the data
Sources of Carlson's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
SourceAmountShare
Individuals (itemized)$6,59062.8%
PACs and other committees$2,90027.6%
Party committees$1,0009.5%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

Receipts by cycle

Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State Senate Republicans’ median for 2026.

2022 cycle: $27.1K$27.1K20222024 cycle: $31.3K$31.3K20242026 cycle: $10.5K$10.5K2026State Senate Republicans median $46.2K
Show the data
Carlson's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State Senate Republicans median.
ItemValue
2022 cycle$27.1K
2024 cycle$31.3K
2026 cycle$10.5K

Top donor states, 2026

Itemized contributions by donor state. 89% came from Idaho.

  1. Idaho$5,890
  2. Oregon$400
  3. Oklahoma$300

Small donations

State filings report no total for small gifts.

Not reported in state filings.

Where itemized donors live

Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

Alaska: no dataAKMaine: no dataMEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: no dataWAIdaho: $5,890IDMontana: no dataMTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: no dataMNIllinois: no dataILWisconsin: no dataWIMichigan: no dataMINew York: no dataNYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: no dataMAOregon: $400ORNevada: no dataNVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: no dataIAIndiana: no dataINOhio: no dataOHPennsylvania: no dataPANew Jersey: no dataNJConnecticut: no dataCTCalifornia: no dataCAUtah: no dataUTColorado: no dataCONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: no dataMOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: no dataVAMaryland: no dataMDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: no dataAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: no dataTNNorth Carolina: no dataNCSouth Carolina: no dataSCDistrict of Columbia: no dataDCOklahoma: $300OKLouisiana: no dataLAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: no dataALGeorgia: no dataGAHawaii: no dataHITexas: no dataTXFlorida: no dataFL
Show the data
Carlson's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
StateValue
Idaho$5,890
Oregon$400
Oklahoma$300
AlaskaNo data
MaineNo data
VermontNo data
New HampshireNo data
WashingtonNo data
MontanaNo data
North DakotaNo data
MinnesotaNo data
IllinoisNo data
WisconsinNo data
MichiganNo data
New YorkNo data
Rhode IslandNo data
MassachusettsNo data
NevadaNo data
WyomingNo data
South DakotaNo data
IowaNo data
IndianaNo data
OhioNo data
PennsylvaniaNo data
New JerseyNo data
ConnecticutNo data
CaliforniaNo data
UtahNo data
ColoradoNo data
NebraskaNo data
MissouriNo data
KentuckyNo data
West VirginiaNo data
VirginiaNo data
MarylandNo data
DelawareNo data
ArizonaNo data
New MexicoNo data
KansasNo data
ArkansasNo data
TennesseeNo data
North CarolinaNo data
South CarolinaNo data
District of ColumbiaNo data
LouisianaNo data
MississippiNo data
AlabamaNo data
GeorgiaNo data
HawaiiNo data
TexasNo data
FloridaNo data
19

itemized donors

People who gave more than $200

89%

from Idaho

Of itemized individual dollars

How to read the map

Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Idaho. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

Top donor occupations

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

No occupations reported.

Top committees

PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

  1. SENATE REPUBLICAN PAC OF IDAHO$1,000
  2. GEM STATE LEGACY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$500
  3. IDAHO CATTLE PAC$500
  4. IDAHO CHARTER SCHOOL PAC$500
  5. IDAHO FARM BUREAU FEDERATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$500

Top employers

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

No employers reported.

Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

Back to topNext: Votes

Votes

Carlson voted with the majority of Idaho Senate Republicans on 95.3% of party-line votes and missed 1.3% of 704 roll calls. Idaho Senate on average: 87% party unity, 97.3% attendance. Across all roll calls, Carlson voted against the majority of Idaho Senate Republicans 82 times.

704 roll calls Carlson could vote on in the ID 2025–26 session, compared with Idaho Senate. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Carlson voted with the majority of Idaho Senate Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

82

votes against the majority of Idaho Senate Republicans

Party unity 95.3%, Idaho Senate average 87%, ranks 8th of 35. 704 roll calls in the ID 2025–26 session.

Attendance and party unity

The thick bar is Carlson, the thin grey bar the Idaho Senate average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

80%100%
Carlson
Peers
Rank
Attendance
98.7%
97.3%
14th of 35
Party unity
95.3%
87%
8th of 35
Show the data
Carlson's attendance and party unity against Idaho Senate.
RowCarlsonPeers
Attendance98.7%97.3%
Party unity95.3%87%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

Key votes

25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the ID 2025–26 session

Key votes
Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
Apr 2, 2026
H 974
APPROPRIATIONS – IDAHO STATE POLICE – Relates to the appropriation to the Idaho State Police for fiscal year 2027.
Rules Suspended (2/3 Vote Read in full as required) – Read third time in full –
YeaWith majoritypassD 4–0 · R 29–0Democrats 4 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 29 yea, 0 naybecame law
Apr 2, 2026
H 972
APPROPRIATIONS – HEALTH AND WELFARE – DIVISION OF WELFARE – Relates to the appropriation to the Department of Health and Welfare for fiscal year 2027.
Rules Suspended (2/3 Vote Read in full as required) – Read third time in full –
YeaWith majoritypassD 4–0 · R 21–8Democrats 4 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 21 yea, 8 naybecame law · party crossover
Apr 2, 2026
H 973
APPROPRIATIONS – MILITARY DIVISION – Relates to the appropriation to the Military Division for fiscal year 2026.
Rules Suspended (2/3 Vote Read in full as required) – Read third time in full –
YeaWith majoritypassD 5–0 · R 24–2Democrats 5 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 24 yea, 2 naybecame law
Apr 2, 2026
H 959
TAXATION – Amends and adds to existing law to provide for an initiative petition to raise or lower the property tax budgets for fire protection districts and ambulance service districts and to revise provisions regarding certain property tax budget limits.
Rules Suspended (2/3 Vote Read in full as required) – Read third time in full –
YeaWith majoritypassD 4–0 · R 29–0Democrats 4 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 29 yea, 0 naybecame law
Apr 2, 2026
H 896
SPECIAL PROCEEDINGS – Adds to existing law to establish provisions regarding compliance with the law.
Read third time in full –
YeaAgainst majorityfailD 0–6 · R 8–21Democrats 0 yea, 6 nay; Republicans 8 yea, 21 nayparty crossover
How key votes are chosen

Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

Votes most often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Carlson most often

  1. Ben ToewsR670 shared votes89%
  2. Doug OkuniewiczR688 shared votes89%
  3. Todd LakeyR679 shared votes88%
  4. Carl BjerkeR610 shared votes87%
  5. Doug RicksR694 shared votes86%

Votes least often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Carlson least often

  1. Melissa WintrowD687 shared votes68%
  2. Carrie SemmelrothD648 shared votes69%
  3. Ron TaylorD677 shared votes70%
  4. Ali RabeD393 shared votes71%
  5. James RuchtiD627 shared votes71%
How to read the agreement lists

The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

Full voting record

ID 2025–26 session, loads in batches

Back to topNext: Legislation

Legislation

No bills for the ID 2025–26 session.No sponsored or cosponsored bills are recorded for this official in this time window.

Back to topNext: Online

Online

A site that has not changed in 90 days. Carlson’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

The lab crawls Carlson’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Carlson posts with a vision model.

Websites

How to read the counts

“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

Images Carlson posted

No images from Carlson’s posts have been described.

About the descriptions

Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

State floor speeches

No transcribed state floor speeches are matched to this legislator yet.

Floor speeches

Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

The headline

The headline is the measure on which Carlson is most unusual among State Senate Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

Identifiers

Profile id
4f02e826-da06-4286-8aaf-b89ef3f659bc
Open States
ocd-person/4f02e826-da06-4286-8aaf-b89ef3f659bc

Bulk files with the same data for every official:

Freshness of this profile’s data

  • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
  • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
  • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
  • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
  • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
  • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
  • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

How the measures work

What politicians say
Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
Extreme labels
A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
Policy areas and agreement
Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology (CSIP)
Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
Campaign money
Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
Votes and key votes
Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
Peers and ranks
Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

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