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Democrat · Florida House, district 62

Serving since Nov 8, 2022FL 2025–26 session

Portrait of Michele Rayner, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
18%
of sponsored bills got out of committee, in the bottom tenth of the Florida House

18% of 17 sponsored bills got out of committee; the average for the Florida House is 56%. Ranks 103rd of 110, where 1st is the highest share.

The share of bills Rayner sponsored that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, ranked within the Florida House. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position as well as effort.

At a glance

6 measures against the Florida House. Rayner missed 14% of 817 roll calls, attendance in the bottom quarter of the Florida House (average 94.0%). Rayner reported $133.2K in the 2026 cycle, in the top quarter of State House Democrats (median $40.4K).

The measures on which Rayner sits furthest from the middle of the Florida House, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Out of committee

18%

Florida House average 56% · ranks 103rd of 110

Attendance

86%

Florida House average 94.0% · ranks 103rd of 116 · 817 roll calls

Itemized, 2026

$133.2K

State House Democrats’ median $40.4K · ranks 410th of 2,082

From Florida, 2026

83%

Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 1456th of 1,983 State House Democrats

CSIP ideology

−0.71

More liberal than 63% of State House Democrats · ± 0.04

Party unity

97.7%

Florida House average 94.7% · ranks 65th of 116 · 39 votes against the majority of Florida House Democrats

Peer group: Florida House. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Rayner, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Rayner is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Rayner says

Rayner claims credit less than 95% of State House Democrats. Credit claiming in 0% of 52 statements, against 14% for the average State House Democrat; 729th of 764.

An AI model reads each of Rayner’s 52 statements in the FL 2025–26 session (52 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Democrats and ranked among them.

Kinds of statement

Share of statements carrying each label, the FL 2025–26 session

0%80%
Rayner
Peers
Rank
Personal attacks5 statements
10%
3%
55th of 764
Policy discussion5 statements
10%
39%
707th of 764
Policy criticism3 statements
6%
10%
452nd of 764
Bipartisanship0 statements
0%
3%
676th of 764
Credit claiming0 statements
0%
14%
729th of 764
Show the data
Rayner's share of statements in each category against the State House Democrats average.
RowRaynerPeers
Personal attacks10%3%
Policy discussion10%39%
Policy criticism6%10%
Bipartisanship0%3%
Credit claiming0%14%
52

statements classified

52 posts on X.

posts on X: 52 (100.0%)posts on X 52
Show the data
Rayner's statements by source
PartValue
posts on X52
How to read the bars

The thick bar is Rayner; the thin grey bar is the average State House Democrats. A longer thick bar means Rayner does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.

Extreme labels

Rayner used extreme labels in 1.9% of statements, 2.0 times the peer average. 1 statement; peers 1.0%.

    Who gets the labels

    Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements

    No targets recorded.

    What an extreme label is

    Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.

    Month by month

    Share of statements per month, the FL 2025–26 session

    Statements2025-01: 42025-02: 52025-03: 32025-04: 22025-05: 12025-06: 02025-07: 122025-08: 02025-09: 12025-10: 02025-11: 12025-12: 12026-01: 12026-02: 12026-03: 22026-04: 32026-05: 02026-06: 22026-07: 02026-08: 82026-09: 12026-10: 4peak 12 · Jul ’25Personal attackspeak 0.0% · Jul ’25 · latest 0.0%Personal attacks, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-07: 0.0% of 12Personal attacks, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticismpeak 16.7% · Jul ’25 · latest 16.7%Policy criticism, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-07: 16.7% of 12Policy criticism, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussionpeak 25.0% · Jul ’25 · latest 25.0%Policy discussion, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-07: 25.0% of 12Policy discussion, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanshippeak 0.0% · Jul ’25 · latest 0.0%Bipartisanship, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-07: 0.0% of 12Bipartisanship, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claimingpeak 0.0% · Jul ’25 · latest 0.0%Credit claiming, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-07: 0.0% of 12Credit claiming, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labelspeak 8.3% · Jul ’25 · latest 8.3%Extreme labels, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-07: 8.3% of 12Extreme labels, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Jan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
    Show the data
    Monthly rates for Rayner, each row shaded against its own peak, with statement volume. Months with fewer than 10 statements are left blank.
    ColumnStatementsPersonal attacksPolicy criticismPolicy discussionBipartisanshipCredit claimingExtreme labels
    Jan ’254— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Feb ’255— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Mar ’253— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Apr ’252— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    May ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Jun ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Jul ’25120.0%16.7%25.0%0.0%0.0%8.3%
    Aug ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Sep ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Oct ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Nov ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Dec ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Jan ’261— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Feb ’261— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Mar ’262— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Apr ’263— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    May ’260— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Jun ’262— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Jul ’260— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Aug ’268— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Sep ’261— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    Oct ’264— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
    How to read the strips

    Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the FL 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 21 months are hatched here; 5 of them have no statements.

    In Rayner’s words

    Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned

    Personal attacks

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Oct 2, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · personal attacks; target: Byron Donalds · Source

    Policy discussion

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Oct 2, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · personal attacks; policy discussion; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues; target: AShirvell · Source

    Extreme label

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    Jul 3, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy criticism; policy discussion; Immigration; Government Operations and Politics; extreme label “extreme” · Source

    Examples by category

    Up to five recent statements in each category

    Category

    Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

    1. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · target: Byron DonaldsSource

    2. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · policy discussion · Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues · target: AShirvellSource

    3. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · target: AndrewSource

    4. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacks · target: Byron DonaldsSource

    5. Posts on X (state legislators)

      The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

      personal attacksSource

    All 52 statements

    Newest first, the FL 2025–26 session

    The full feed

    Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 52 posts on X.

    Back to topNext: Policy

    Policy

    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues is what Rayner talks about most: 20% of policy statements, 2.0 times the peer share. Peers give it 9.8%. Agreement with legislation needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

    Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Rayner talks about. The bills Rayner sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.

    What Rayner talks about

    Share of policy statements by area, the FL 2025–26 session

    0%35%
    Rayner
    Peers
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues1 statements
    20%
    10%
    Emergency Management1 statements
    20%
    4%
    Environmental Protection1 statements
    20%
    3%
    Government Operations and Politics1 statements
    20%
    15%
    Immigration1 statements
    20%
    4%
    Show the data
    Policy areas Rayner talks about, as a share of policy statements, against the State House Democrats average.
    RowRaynerPeers
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues20%10%
    Emergency Management20%4%
    Environmental Protection20%3%
    Government Operations and Politics20%15%
    Immigration20%4%
    How to read the bars

    The thick bar is the share of Rayner’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Democrats. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

    Talks about · legislates on

    Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State House Democrats averages.

    Talks aboutLegislates onCivil Rights and Liberties,Minority IssuesCivil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 10%)20%Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, legislates on: 6% (State House Democrats 4%)6%Emergency ManagementEmergency Management, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 4%)20%Emergency Management, legislates on: 1% (State House Democrats 1%)1%Environmental ProtectionEnvironmental Protection, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 3%)20%Environmental Protection, legislates on: 1% (State House Democrats 4%)1%Government Operations andPoliticsGovernment Operations and Politics, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 15%)20%Government Operations and Politics, legislates on: 6% (State House Democrats 8%)6%ImmigrationImmigration, talks about: 20% (State House Democrats 4%)20%Immigration, legislates on: 0% (State House Democrats 1%)0%
    Show the data
    Rayner's share of statements against share of bills in each policy area.
    AreaTalks aboutState House Democrats, talks aboutLegislates onState House Democrats, legislates on
    Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues20%10%6%4%
    Emergency Management20%4%1%1%
    Environmental Protection20%3%1%4%
    Government Operations and Politics20%15%6%8%
    Immigration20%4%0%1%

    No agreement score.Needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills in the window.

    What agreement means, and what it doesn’t

    Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Rayner legislates on exactly the areas Rayner talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Rayner sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

    Back to topNext: Ideology

    Ideology

    Rayner sits at −0.71 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more liberal than 63% of State House Democrats. Approximate range −0.74 to −0.67, which understates the uncertainty; from 1,752 donors and 410 roll calls.

    CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

    −0.71

    CSIP ideal point

    Approximate range −0.74 to −0.67. From 1,752 donors and 410 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

    ← More liberalMore conservative →0Rayner −0.7State House Democrats −0.6Florida House +0.4All State House +0.1

    The outlined dot is Rayner, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Rayner’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

    Where Rayner sits

    Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

    −2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State House Democratsmedian −0.6Rayner −0.7Florida Housemedian +0.4All State Housemedian +0.1
    Show the data
    Rayner's CSIP score of −0.71 placed against State House Democrats, Florida House, All State House.
    GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Rayner
    State House Democrats2392−0.637%
    Florida House116+0.43%
    All State House5324+0.117%
    How to read the strips

    Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Rayner in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Rayner.

    Back to topNext: Money

    Money

    Rayner reported $133.2K in the 2026 cycle, 3.3 times the State House Democrats’ median of $40.4K. State filings report no small-donation total. 83% of itemized individual money came from Florida.

    Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

    Election cycle
    $133.2K

    itemized in the 2026 cycle

    From 616 itemized donors. State House Democrats’ median $40.4K.

    Where the money came from

    Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

    Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)Individuals (itemized): $91.2K (68.4%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)PACs and other committees: $27.5K (20.7%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)Party committees: $14.5K (10.9%)
    • Individuals (itemized)68 squares$91.2K
    • PACs and other committees21 squares$27.5K
    • Party committees11 squares$14.5K
    Show the data
    Sources of Rayner's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
    SourceAmountShare
    Individuals (itemized)$91.2K68.4%
    PACs and other committees$27.5K20.7%
    Party committees$14.5K10.9%
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

    Receipts by cycle

    Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Democrats’ median for 2026.

    2022 cycle: $142.2K$142.2K20222024 cycle: $28.5K$28.5K20242026 cycle: $133.2K$133.2K2026State House Democrats median $40.4K
    Show the data
    Rayner's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State House Democrats median.
    ItemValue
    2022 cycle$142.2K
    2024 cycle$28.5K
    2026 cycle$133.2K

    Top donor states, 2026

    Itemized contributions by donor state. 83% came from Florida.

    1. Florida$75.5K
    2. New York$3,352
    3. Missouri$2,010
    4. District of Columbia$1,250
    5. Maryland$1,085

    Small donations

    State filings report no total for small gifts.

    Not reported in state filings.

    Where itemized donors live

    Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

    Alaska: no dataAKMaine: $125MEVermont: $55VTNew Hampshire: $140NHWashington: $352WAIdaho: no dataIDMontana: $55MTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: $155MNIllinois: $965ILWisconsin: $115WIMichigan: $185MINew York: $3,352NYRhode Island: $105RIMassachusetts: $215MAOregon: $310ORNevada: $85NVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: $100SDIowa: no dataIAIndiana: $45INOhio: $105OHPennsylvania: $130PANew Jersey: $255NJConnecticut: $400CTCalifornia: $997CAUtah: no dataUTColorado: $140CONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: $2,010MOKentucky: $45KYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: $55VAMaryland: $1,085MDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: $575AZNew Mexico: $30NMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: $270TNNorth Carolina: $660NCSouth Carolina: $45SCDistrict of Columbia: $1,250DCOklahoma: $10OKLouisiana: $78LAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: $25ALGeorgia: $638GAHawaii: no dataHITexas: $295TXFlorida: $75.5KFL
    Show the data
    Rayner's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
    StateValue
    Florida$75.5K
    New York$3,352
    Missouri$2,010
    District of Columbia$1,250
    Maryland$1,085
    California$997
    Illinois$965
    North Carolina$660
    Georgia$638
    Arizona$575
    Connecticut$400
    Washington$352
    Oregon$310
    Texas$295
    Tennessee$270
    New Jersey$255
    Massachusetts$215
    Michigan$185
    Minnesota$155
    New Hampshire$140
    Colorado$140
    Pennsylvania$130
    Maine$125
    Wisconsin$115
    Rhode Island$105
    Ohio$105
    South Dakota$100
    Nevada$85
    Louisiana$78
    Vermont$55
    Montana$55
    Virginia$55
    Indiana$45
    Kentucky$45
    South Carolina$45
    New Mexico$30
    Alabama$25
    Oklahoma$10
    AlaskaNo data
    IdahoNo data
    North DakotaNo data
    WyomingNo data
    IowaNo data
    UtahNo data
    NebraskaNo data
    West VirginiaNo data
    DelawareNo data
    KansasNo data
    ArkansasNo data
    MississippiNo data
    HawaiiNo data
    616

    itemized donors

    People who gave more than $200

    83%

    from Florida

    Of itemized individual dollars

    How to read the map

    Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Florida. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

    Top donor occupations

    Itemized, 2026 cycle.

    1. ATTORNEY$11.5K 26 donors
    2. RETIRED$8,250 10 donors
    3. CONSULTANT$4,000 8 donors
    4. NOT EMPLOYED$3,770 8 donors
    5. LAWYER$2,600 9 donors

    Top committees

    PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

    1. FLORIDA DEMOCRATIC LEGISLATIVE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE$14.5K
    2. ACCOUNTABLE MIAMI-DADE$1,000
    3. BRIGHT FUTURE TAMPA BAY$1,000
    4. CHIROPAC II PC$1,000
    5. CHIROPAC PC$1,000

    Top employers

    Itemized, 2026 cycle.

    No employers reported.

    Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

    Back to topNext: Votes

    Votes

    Rayner voted with the majority of Florida House Democrats on 97.7% of party-line votes and missed 14% of 817 roll calls. Florida House on average: 94.7% party unity, 94.0% attendance. Across all roll calls, Rayner voted against the majority of Florida House Democrats 39 times.

    817 roll calls Rayner could vote on in the FL 2025–26 session, compared with Florida House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Rayner voted with the majority of Florida House Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

    39

    votes against the majority of Florida House Democrats

    Party unity 97.7%, Florida House average 94.7%, ranks 65th of 116. 817 roll calls in the FL 2025–26 session.

    Attendance and party unity

    The thick bar is Rayner, the thin grey bar the Florida House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

    80%100%
    Rayner
    Peers
    Rank
    Attendance
    86%
    94.0%
    103rd of 116
    Party unity
    97.7%
    94.7%
    65th of 116
    Show the data
    Rayner's attendance and party unity against Florida House.
    RowRaynerPeers
    Attendance86%94.0%
    Party unity97.7%94.7%
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

    Key votes

    25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the FL 2025–26 session

    Key votes
    Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
    Jun 2, 2026
    SB 4F
    Property Tax Administration
    Passage, Third Reading
    NayWith majoritypassD 1–26 · R 74–1Democrats 1 yea, 26 nay; Republicans 74 yea, 1 naybecame law
    May 12, 2026
    HB 5501E
    Documentary Stamp Tax Distributions
    Passage, Third Reading
    YeaWith majoritypassD 24–3 · R 79–0Democrats 24 yea, 3 nay; Republicans 79 yea, 0 nayparty crossover
    May 12, 2026
    HB 5001E
    General Appropriations Act
    Passage, Third Reading
    YeaWith majoritypassD 19–8 · R 79–0Democrats 19 yea, 8 nay; Republicans 79 yea, 0 nayparty crossover
    May 12, 2026
    HB 5003E
    Implementing the 2026-2027 General Appropriations Act
    Passage, Third Reading
    YeaWith majoritypassD 14–12 · R 78–1Democrats 14 yea, 12 nay; Republicans 78 yea, 1 nayparty crossover
    May 12, 2026
    SB 2508E
    State Agency Law Enforcement Radio System
    Passage, Third Reading
    NayAgainst majoritypassD 25–3 · R 78–0Democrats 25 yea, 3 nay; Republicans 78 yea, 0 nayparty crossover
    How key votes are chosen

    Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

    Votes most often with

    The colleagues who voted the same way as Rayner most often

    1. Dianne Hart-LowmanD677 shared votes98%
    2. LaVon Bracy DavisD312 shared votes97%
    3. Joe CaselloD286 shared votes96%
    4. Ashley GanttD678 shared votes96%
    5. Rita HarrisD690 shared votes96%

    Votes least often with

    The colleagues who voted the same way as Rayner least often

    1. Brian HodgersR393 shared votes70%
    2. Nathan BoylesR389 shared votes72%
    3. Kiyan MichaelR457 shared votes74%
    4. Dave SmithR361 shared votes75%
    5. Jessica BakerR656 shared votes75%
    How to read the agreement lists

    The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

    Full voting record

    FL 2025–26 session, loads in batches

    Back to topNext: Legislation

    Legislation

    Rayner sponsored 17 bills in the FL 2025–26 session; none became law. Cosponsored 12 others. 18% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Florida House average 56%; 103rd of 110).

    The bills Rayner sponsored and cosponsored in the FL 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

    Bills by stage

    Counts for the FL 2025–26 session

    Sponsored17 billsSponsored, Introduced: 1717Sponsored, In committee: 1717Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 11Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 00Sponsored, Became law: 00Cosponsored12 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 1212Cosponsored, In committee: 1212Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 44Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 33Cosponsored, Became law: 33IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
    Show the data
    Bills Rayner sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
    RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
    Sponsored1717100
    Cosponsored1212433
    How to read the blocks

    Ink blocks are bills Rayner sponsored, ochre blocks bills Rayner cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

    18%

    of sponsored bills got out of committee

    Florida House average 56%. Ranks 103rd of 110.

    Cosponsorship partners

    Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Rayner, by number of shared bills in the FL 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

    1. Dotie Joseph6
    2. Daryl Campbell5
    3. Johanna López4
    4. Ashley Gantt4
    5. Anna Eskamani4
    What this means, and what it doesn’t

    The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Rayner’s bills; the toggle shows more.

    Bill list

    Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

    Bills sponsored and cosponsored
    HB 1355Rent Reporting to Credit Reporting AgenciesSponsorJan 9, 2026In committeeFinance and Financial Sector(model)Died in Civil Justice & Claims Subcommittee Mar 13, 2026
    HB 1353Harassment and CyberstalkingSponsorJan 9, 2026In committeeCrime and Law Enforcement(model)Died in Criminal Justice Subcommittee Mar 13, 2026
    HB 1523Food Waste ReductionSponsorJan 9, 2026In committeeAgriculture and Food(model)Died in Education Administration Subcommittee Mar 13, 2026
    HB 1127Victims of ViolenceSponsorJan 7, 2026In committeeCrime and Law Enforcement(model)Died in Criminal Justice Subcommittee Mar 13, 2026
    HB 1019Perfluoroalkyl and Polyfluoroalkyl SubstancesCosponsorJan 5, 2026Became lawEnvironmental Protection(model)Chapter No. 2026-158 Jun 17, 2026

    Back to topNext: Online

    Online

    A site that changed 2 times in 90 days. Rayner’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

    The lab crawls Rayner’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Rayner posts with a vision model.

    Websites

    How to read the counts

    “Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

    Images Rayner posted

    No images from Rayner’s posts have been described.

    About the descriptions

    Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

    State floor speeches

    266 turns, Mar 16, 2023 to May 29, 2026

    Floor speeches

    Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

    Back to topNext: Methods and sources

    Methods and sources

    How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

    The headline

    The headline is the measure on which Rayner is most unusual among Florida House, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

    The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

    A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

    Identifiers

    Profile id
    9b6f17f5-ec19-4302-8a45-2b40175bb39b
    Open States
    ocd-person/9b6f17f5-ec19-4302-8a45-2b40175bb39b

    Bulk files with the same data for every official:

    Freshness of this profile’s data

    • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
    • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
    • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
    • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
    • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
    • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
    • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

    How the measures work

    What politicians say
    Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
    Extreme labels
    A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
    Policy areas and agreement
    Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
    Ideology (CSIP)
    Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
    Campaign money
    Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
    Votes and key votes
    Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
    Peers and ranks
    Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

    America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

    Back to top