Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 21, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Agriculture and Food · Source

Agreement 0.15 on a 0–1 scale; the average for State House Republicans is 0.53. Ranks 503rd of 504, where 1st is the closest match.
How closely the mix of policy areas in Ostlie’s statements matches the mix in the bills Ostlie sponsors and cosponsors: 1 means the same areas in the same proportions, 0 means no overlap. Ranked among State House Republicans.
5 measures against State House Republicans. Ostlie voted against the majority of North Dakota House Republicans 91 times; party unity 63%, in the bottom 5% of the North Dakota House (average 79%). Ostlie sits at +0.13 on the CSIP scale, more liberal than 84% of State House Republicans.
The measures on which Ostlie sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Talk-to-bills agreement
State House Republicans average 0.53 · ranks 503rd of 504
Party unity
North Dakota House average 79% · ranks 86th of 88 · 91 votes against the majority of North Dakota House Republicans
CSIP ideology
More liberal than 84% of State House Republicans · ± 0.03
Attendance
North Dakota House average 96.7% · ranks 66th of 88 · 1,171 roll calls
Itemized, 2024
State House Republicans’ median $10.7K · ranks 158th of 240
Statements
55 posts on X
Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Ostlie, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Ostlie is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
Ostlie claims credit less than 96% of State House Republicans. Credit claiming in 0% of 55 statements, against 13% for the average State House Republican; 764th of 791.
An AI model reads each of Ostlie’s 55 statements in the ND 2025–26 session (55 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Republicans and ranked among them.
Share of statements carrying each label, the ND 2025–26 session
| Row | Ostlie | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Policy discussion | 60% | 32% |
| Personal attacks | 0% | 3% |
| Policy criticism | 0% | 9% |
| Bipartisanship | 0% | 2% |
| Credit claiming | 0% | 13% |
statements classified
55 posts on X.
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 55 |
The thick bar is Ostlie; the thin grey bar is the average State House Republicans. A longer thick bar means Ostlie does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Ostlie used no extreme labels in 55 statements. The peer average is 1.4%.
No extreme labels in this window.
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
No targets recorded.
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Share of statements per month, the ND 2025–26 session
No month in this window has 10 or more statements, too few to chart month by month.
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the ND 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 22 months are hatched here; 7 of them have no statements.
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 21, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Agriculture and Food · Source
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
No statements in this category in this window.
Newest first, the ND 2025–26 session
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 55 posts on X.
Agriculture and Food is what Ostlie talks about most: 100% of policy statements, 22.7 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.15 on a 0–1 scale (State House Republicans average 0.53; 503rd of 504).
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Ostlie talks about. The bills Ostlie sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
Share of policy statements by area, the ND 2025–26 session
| Row | Ostlie | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Agriculture and Food | 100% | 4% |
| Commerce | 3% | 4% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 0% | 5% |
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 0% | 6% |
| Crime and Law Enforcement | 0% | 11% |
The thick bar is the share of Ostlie’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 100%. Grey ticks are the State House Republicans averages.
| Area | Talks about | State House Republicans, talks about | Legislates on | State House Republicans, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture and Food | 100% | 4% | 12% | 3% |
| Commerce | 3% | 4% | 0% | 3% |
| Crime and Law Enforcement | 0% | 11% | 18% | 11% |
| Emergency Management | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| Families | 0% | 4% | 6% | 2% |
talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1
State House Republicans average 0.53. Ranks 503rd of 504.
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Ostlie legislates on exactly the areas Ostlie talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Ostlie sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ostlie sits at +0.13 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more liberal than 84% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.10 to +0.15, which understates the uncertainty; from 5 donors and 571 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range +0.10 to +0.15. From 5 donors and 571 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Ostlie, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Ostlie’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Ostlie |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Republicans | 2917 | +0.4 | 16% |
| North Dakota House | 91 | 0.0 | 77% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 53% |
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Ostlie in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Ostlie.
Ostlie reported $5,075 in the 2024 cycle, below the State House Republicans’ median of $10.7K. State filings report no small-donation total.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
itemized in the 2024 cycle
From 0 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $10.7K.
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2024 cycle.
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| PACs and other committees | $4,575 | 90.1% |
| Party committees | $500 | 9.9% |
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2024. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2024.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2020 cycle | $12.8K |
| 2024 cycle | $5,075 |
Itemized contributions by donor state.
No itemized donors with an address.
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| California | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
No itemized individual money.
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is North Dakota. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Itemized, 2024 cycle.
No occupations reported.
PAC and committee contributions, 2024 cycle.
Itemized, 2024 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Ostlie voted with the majority of North Dakota House Republicans on 63% of party-line votes and missed 4.4% of 1,171 roll calls. North Dakota House on average: 79% party unity, 96.7% attendance. Across all roll calls, Ostlie voted against the majority of North Dakota House Republicans 91 times.
1,171 roll calls Ostlie could vote on in the ND 2025–26 session, compared with North Dakota House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Ostlie voted with the majority of North Dakota House Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
votes against the majority of North Dakota House Republicans
Party unity 63%, North Dakota House average 79%, ranks 86th of 88. 1,171 roll calls in the ND 2025–26 session.
The thick bar is Ostlie, the thin grey bar the North Dakota House average. The scale runs from 60% to 100% to show the gap.
| Row | Ostlie | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 95.6% | 96.7% |
| Party unity | 63% | 79% |
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the ND 2025–26 session
| Party split (yea–nay) | Why it’s key | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | HB 1628 AN ACT to create and enact a new subdivision to subsection 2 of section 12-60-24, subdivision lll of subsection 3 of section 19-03.1-05, and chapter 51-38 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to criminal history record checks, the scheduling of kratom alkaloid derivatives as a schedule I contr Motion for Final Passage on HB 1628 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 10–1 · R 81–0Democrats 10 yea, 1 nay; Republicans 81 yea, 0 nay | became law |
| Sep 4, 2026 | SB 2408 A BILL for an Act to create and enact subdivision lll of subsection 3 of section 19-03.1-05 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to the scheduling of kratom alkaloids and kratom alkaloid derivatives as a schedule I controlled substance; to amend and reenact section 19-03.1-22.3 and subsection Motion for Final Passage on SB 2408 | Yea | Against majority | fail | D 7–4 · R 39–42Democrats 7 yea, 4 nay; Republicans 39 yea, 42 nay | close vote · party crossover |
| Sep 4, 2026 | SB 2407 AN ACT to provide an appropriation to the state historical society for the North Dakota military museum project; to amend and reenact section 55-01-02.1 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to jurisdiction of the heritage center; to repeal subsection 3 of section 6 of chapter 17 of the 2025 Se Motion for Final Passage on SB 2407 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 3–8 · R 68–13Democrats 3 yea, 8 nay; Republicans 68 yea, 13 nay | became law · party crossover |
| Sep 3, 2026 | HB 1628 AN ACT to create and enact a new subdivision to subsection 2 of section 12-60-24, subdivision lll of subsection 3 of section 19-03.1-05, and chapter 51-38 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to criminal history record checks, the scheduling of kratom alkaloid derivatives as a schedule I contr Motion for Final Passage on HB 1628 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 8–3 · R 78–2Democrats 8 yea, 3 nay; Republicans 78 yea, 2 nay | became law · party crossover |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SB 2402 AN ACT to create and enact two new sections to chapter 43-15 and a new subsection to section 43-48-03 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to the prescriptive authority of pharmacists and therapeutic substitution; to amend and reenact subsection 1 of section 26.1-36.11-01 and section 43-15-01 Motion for Final Passage on SB 2402 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 10–0 · R 81–1Democrats 10 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 81 yea, 1 nay | became law |
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
The colleagues who voted the same way as Ostlie most often
The colleagues who voted the same way as Ostlie least often
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
ND 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Ostlie sponsored 2 bills in the ND 2025–26 session; 1 became law. Cosponsored 25 others.
The bills Ostlie sponsored and cosponsored in the ND 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Counts for the ND 2025–26 session
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Cosponsored | 25 | 24 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
Ink blocks are bills Ostlie sponsored, ochre blocks bills Ostlie cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
No effectiveness score.Too few sponsored bills to score (at least 5 are needed).
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Ostlie, by number of shared bills in the ND 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Ostlie’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HCR 3030 | A concurrent resolution to strengthen the sister-state relations between the State of North Dakota and Taiwan and to reaffirm support for Taiwan's international participation. | Cosponsor | Feb 19, 2025 | Passed one chamber | International Affairs(model) | Filed with Secretary Of State 04/03 Apr 1, 2025 |
| SB 2375 | AN ACT to create and enact a new section to chapter 43-28 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to joint negotiations by dental providers with dental insurers. | Cosponsor | Jan 27, 2025 | Became law | Health(model) | Filed with Secretary Of State 04/22 Apr 24, 2025 |
| HB 1556 | AN ACT to amend and reenact subsection 5 of section 27-20.3-01, and sections 27-20.3-15 and 27-20.3-21 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to a child in need of protection and termination of parental rights; to create a workgroup under the children's cabinet to study out-of-home placement or | Cosponsor | Jan 20, 2025 | Became law | Families(model) | Filed with Secretary Of State 04/23 Apr 25, 2025 |
| HB 1559 | A BILL for an Act to create and enact a new section to chapter 57-02 of the North Dakota Century Code, relating to limitations on taxable valuation of residential property; and to provide an effective date. | Cosponsor | Jan 20, 2025 | In committee | Taxation(model) | Second reading, failed to pass, yeas 31 nays 58 Feb 11, 2025 |
| HB 1591 | AN ACT to provide an appropriation to the agriculture commissioner for a county fair resiliency grant program; and to declare an emergency. | Sponsor | Jan 20, 2025 | Became law | Agriculture and Food(model) | Filed with Secretary Of State 04/21 Apr 22, 2025 |
A site that changed 2 times in 90 days. Ostlie’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Ostlie’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Ostlie posts with a vision model.
pages crawled
changes in 90 days
pages crawled
changes in 90 days
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
No images from Ostlie’s posts have been described.
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
71 turns, Jan 11, 2021 to May 1, 2025
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline is the measure on which Ostlie is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab