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Republican · Arizona Senate, district 3

Serving since Jan 9, 2023AZ 2025–26 session

Portrait of John Kavanagh, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
72%
of itemized money from Arizona donors, in the bottom quarter of State Senate Republicans

72% of the itemized money from individuals in the 2026 cycle came from donors with an address in Arizona. Ranks 740th of 860, where 1st is the highest share. 78 itemized donors.

Only donors who give more than $200 are reported with an address, so this is the share of that itemized money from donors living in Arizona, ranked among State Senate Republicans. Small gifts are not counted either way. Candidates running statewide or for federal office often draw more money from out of state.

At a glance

6 measures against State Senate Republicans. The policy areas Kavanagh talks about and legislates on agree at 0.47 on a 0–1 scale, in the bottom half of State Senate Republicans. Kavanagh reported $95.7K in the 2026 cycle, in the top half of State Senate Republicans (median $46.2K).

The measures on which Kavanagh sits furthest from the middle of State Senate Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

From Arizona, 2026

72%

Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 740th of 860 State Senate Republicans

Party unity

99.0%

Arizona Senate average 95.6% · ranks 7th of 30 · 16 votes against the majority of Arizona Senate Republicans

Talk-to-bills agreement

0.47

State Senate Republicans average 0.52 · ranks 158th of 226

Itemized, 2026

$95.7K

State Senate Republicans’ median $46.2K · ranks 304th of 936

CSIP ideology

+0.28

More liberal than 62% of State Senate Republicans · ± 0.03

Attendance

97.3%

Arizona Senate average 94.2% · ranks 12th of 30 · 1,589 roll calls

Peer group: State Senate Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Kavanagh, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Kavanagh is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Kavanagh says

Kavanagh attacks opponents personally more than 94% of State Senate Republicans. Personal attacks in 8.8% of 102 statements, against 2.3% for the average State Senate Republican; 21st of 354.

An AI model reads each of Kavanagh’s 102 statements in the AZ 2025–26 session (102 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State Senate Republicans and ranked among them.

Kinds of statement

Share of statements carrying each label, the AZ 2025–26 session

0%80%
Kavanagh
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion47 statements
46%
37%
116th of 354
Credit claiming20 statements
20%
15%
117th of 354
Personal attacks9 statements
9%
2%
21st of 354
Policy criticism8 statements
8%
9%
155th of 354
Bipartisanship1 statements
1%
2%
209th of 354
Show the data
Kavanagh's share of statements in each category against the State Senate Republicans average.
RowKavanaghPeers
Policy discussion46%37%
Credit claiming20%15%
Personal attacks9%2%
Policy criticism8%9%
Bipartisanship1%2%
102

statements classified

102 posts on X.

posts on X: 102 (100.0%)posts on X 102
Show the data
Kavanagh's statements by source
PartValue
posts on X102
How to read the bars

The thick bar is Kavanagh; the thin grey bar is the average State Senate Republicans. A longer thick bar means Kavanagh does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.

Extreme labels

Kavanagh used extreme labels in 1.0% of statements, below the peer average. 1 statement, most often aimed at woke policies; peers 1.3%.

  1. “woke”1

Who gets the labels

Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements

  1. woke policies1
What an extreme label is

Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.

Month by month

Share of statements per month, the AZ 2025–26 session

Statements2025-01: 22025-02: 32025-03: 02025-04: 02025-05: 02025-06: 22025-07: 02025-08: 92025-09: 12025-10: 12025-11: 12025-12: 02026-01: 92026-02: 102026-03: 52026-04: 152026-05: 42026-06: 122026-07: 182026-08: 52026-09: 22026-10: 3peak 18 · Jul ’26Personal attackspeak 25.0% · Jun ’26 · latest 5.6%Personal attacks, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-02: 10.0% of 10Personal attacks, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-04: 13.3% of 15Personal attacks, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-06: 25.0% of 12Personal attacks, 2026-07: 5.6% of 18Personal attacks, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticismpeak 16.7% · Jul ’26 · latest 16.7%Policy criticism, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-02: 10.0% of 10Policy criticism, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-04: 6.7% of 15Policy criticism, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-06: 0.0% of 12Policy criticism, 2026-07: 16.7% of 18Policy criticism, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussionpeak 70.0% · Feb ’26 · latest 33.3%Policy discussion, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-02: 70.0% of 10Policy discussion, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-04: 40.0% of 15Policy discussion, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-06: 33.3% of 12Policy discussion, 2026-07: 33.3% of 18Policy discussion, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanshippeak 0.0% · Feb ’26 · latest 0.0%Bipartisanship, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-02: 0.0% of 10Bipartisanship, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-04: 0.0% of 15Bipartisanship, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-06: 0.0% of 12Bipartisanship, 2026-07: 0.0% of 18Bipartisanship, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claimingpeak 33.3% · Apr ’26 · latest 5.6%Credit claiming, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-02: 30.0% of 10Credit claiming, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-04: 33.3% of 15Credit claiming, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-06: 33.3% of 12Credit claiming, 2026-07: 5.6% of 18Credit claiming, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labelspeak 10.0% · Feb ’26 · latest 0.0%Extreme labels, 2025-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-04: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-11: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-12: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-01: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-02: 10.0% of 10Extreme labels, 2026-03: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-04: 0.0% of 15Extreme labels, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-06: 0.0% of 12Extreme labels, 2026-07: 0.0% of 18Extreme labels, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Jan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
Show the data
Monthly rates for Kavanagh, each row shaded against its own peak, with statement volume. Months with fewer than 10 statements are left blank.
ColumnStatementsPersonal attacksPolicy criticismPolicy discussionBipartisanshipCredit claimingExtreme labels
Jan ’252— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Feb ’253— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Mar ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Apr ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
May ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jun ’252— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jul ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Aug ’259— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Sep ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Oct ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Nov ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Dec ’250— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jan ’269— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Feb ’261010.0%10.0%70.0%0.0%30.0%10.0%
Mar ’265— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Apr ’261513.3%6.7%40.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%
May ’264— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jun ’261225.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%33.3%0.0%
Jul ’26185.6%16.7%33.3%0.0%5.6%0.0%
Aug ’265— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Sep ’262— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Oct ’263— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
How to read the strips

Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the AZ 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 18 months are hatched here; 5 of them have no statements.

In Kavanagh’s words

Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned

Bipartisanship

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Nov 20, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · bipartisanship · Source

Personal attacks

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Jul 10, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · personal attacks; target: Robert Wallace · Source

Extreme label

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Feb 24, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues; extreme label “woke” aimed at woke policies · Source

Examples by category

Up to five recent statements in each category

Category

Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

  1. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Robert WallaceSource

  2. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: primary opponentSource

  3. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Robert WallaceSource

  4. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Robert WallaceSource

  5. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Robert WallaceSource

All 102 statements

Newest first, the AZ 2025–26 session

The full feed

Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 102 posts on X.

Back to topNext: Policy

Policy

Immigration is what Kavanagh talks about most: 30% of policy statements, 7.2 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.47 on a 0–1 scale (State Senate Republicans average 0.52; 158th of 226).

Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Kavanagh talks about. The bills Kavanagh sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.

What Kavanagh talks about

Share of policy statements by area, the AZ 2025–26 session

0%35%
Kavanagh
Peers
Immigration14 statements
30%
4%
Crime and Law Enforcement9 statements
19%
12%
Government Operations and Politics6 statements
13%
17%
Economics and Public Finance5 statements
11%
12%
Education4 statements
9%
14%
Show the data
Policy areas Kavanagh talks about, as a share of policy statements, against the State Senate Republicans average.
RowKavanaghPeers
Immigration30%4%
Crime and Law Enforcement19%12%
Government Operations and Politics13%17%
Economics and Public Finance11%12%
Education9%14%
How to read the bars

The thick bar is the share of Kavanagh’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State Senate Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

Talks about · legislates on

Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State Senate Republicans averages.

Talks aboutLegislates onImmigrationImmigration, talks about: 30% (State Senate Republicans 4%)30%Immigration, legislates on: 0% (State Senate Republicans 1%)0%Crime and Law EnforcementCrime and Law Enforcement, talks about: 19% (State Senate Republicans 12%)19%Crime and Law Enforcement, legislates on: 12% (State Senate Republicans 10%)12%Government Operations andPoliticsGovernment Operations and Politics, talks about: 13% (State Senate Republicans 17%)13%Government Operations and Politics, legislates on: 21% (State Senate Republicans 12%)21%Economics and Public FinanceEconomics and Public Finance, talks about: 11% (State Senate Republicans 12%)11%Economics and Public Finance, legislates on: 8% (State Senate Republicans 3%)8%EducationEducation, talks about: 9% (State Senate Republicans 14%)9%Education, legislates on: 7% (State Senate Republicans 10%)7%
Show the data
Kavanagh's share of statements against share of bills in each policy area.
AreaTalks aboutState Senate Republicans, talks aboutLegislates onState Senate Republicans, legislates on
Immigration30%4%0%1%
Crime and Law Enforcement19%12%12%10%
Government Operations and Politics13%17%21%12%
Economics and Public Finance11%12%8%3%
Education9%14%7%10%
0.47

talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1

State Senate Republicans average 0.52. Ranks 158th of 226.

What agreement means, and what it doesn’t

Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Kavanagh legislates on exactly the areas Kavanagh talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Kavanagh sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

Back to topNext: Ideology

Ideology

Kavanagh sits at +0.28 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more liberal than 62% of State Senate Republicans. Approximate range +0.25 to +0.32, which understates the uncertainty; from 224 donors and 1,183 roll calls.

CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

+0.28

CSIP ideal point

Approximate range +0.25 to +0.32. From 224 donors and 1,183 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

← More liberalMore conservative →0Kavanagh +0.3State Senate Republicans +0.4Arizona Senate +0.2All State Senate +0.1

The outlined dot is Kavanagh, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Kavanagh’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

Where Kavanagh sits

Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

−2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State Senate Republicansmedian +0.4Kavanagh +0.3Arizona Senatemedian +0.2All State Senatemedian +0.1
Show the data
Kavanagh's CSIP score of +0.28 placed against State Senate Republicans, Arizona Senate, All State Senate.
GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Kavanagh
State Senate Republicans1083+0.438%
Arizona Senate30+0.257%
All State Senate1909+0.164%
How to read the strips

Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Kavanagh in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Kavanagh.

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Kavanagh reported $95.7K in the 2026 cycle, 2.1 times the State Senate Republicans’ median of $46.2K. State filings report no small-donation total. 72% of itemized individual money came from Arizona.

Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

Election cycle
$95.7K

itemized in the 2026 cycle

From 78 itemized donors. State Senate Republicans’ median $46.2K.

Where the money came from

Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $49.8K (52.1%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $45.9K (47.9%)
  • Individuals (itemized)52 squares$49.8K
  • PACs and other committees48 squares$45.9K
Show the data
Sources of Kavanagh's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
SourceAmountShare
Individuals (itemized)$49.8K52.1%
PACs and other committees$45.9K47.9%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

Receipts by cycle

Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2026. The grey line is the State Senate Republicans’ median for 2026.

2020 cycle: $48.7K$48.7K20202022 cycle: $97.3K$97.3K20222024 cycle: $66.9K$66.9K20242026 cycle: $95.7K$95.7K2026State Senate Republicans median $46.2K
Show the data
Kavanagh's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State Senate Republicans median.
ItemValue
2020 cycle$48.7K
2022 cycle$97.3K
2024 cycle$66.9K
2026 cycle$95.7K

Top donor states, 2026

Itemized contributions by donor state. 72% came from Arizona.

  1. Arizona$35.7K
  2. California$7,930
  3. Alabama$6,000
  4. Oregon$104
  5. Maine$104

Small donations

State filings report no total for small gifts.

Not reported in state filings.

Where itemized donors live

Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

Alaska: no dataAKMaine: $104MEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: no dataWAIdaho: no dataIDMontana: no dataMTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: no dataMNIllinois: no dataILWisconsin: no dataWIMichigan: no dataMINew York: no dataNYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: no dataMAOregon: $104ORNevada: no dataNVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: no dataIAIndiana: no dataINOhio: no dataOHPennsylvania: no dataPANew Jersey: no dataNJConnecticut: no dataCTCalifornia: $7,930CAUtah: no dataUTColorado: no dataCONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: no dataMOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: no dataVAMaryland: no dataMDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: $35.7KAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: no dataTNNorth Carolina: no dataNCSouth Carolina: no dataSCDistrict of Columbia: no dataDCOklahoma: no dataOKLouisiana: no dataLAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: $6,000ALGeorgia: no dataGAHawaii: no dataHITexas: no dataTXFlorida: no dataFL
Show the data
Kavanagh's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
StateValue
Arizona$35.7K
California$7,930
Alabama$6,000
Maine$104
Oregon$104
AlaskaNo data
VermontNo data
New HampshireNo data
WashingtonNo data
IdahoNo data
MontanaNo data
North DakotaNo data
MinnesotaNo data
IllinoisNo data
WisconsinNo data
MichiganNo data
New YorkNo data
Rhode IslandNo data
MassachusettsNo data
NevadaNo data
WyomingNo data
South DakotaNo data
IowaNo data
IndianaNo data
OhioNo data
PennsylvaniaNo data
New JerseyNo data
ConnecticutNo data
UtahNo data
ColoradoNo data
NebraskaNo data
MissouriNo data
KentuckyNo data
West VirginiaNo data
VirginiaNo data
MarylandNo data
DelawareNo data
New MexicoNo data
KansasNo data
ArkansasNo data
TennesseeNo data
North CarolinaNo data
South CarolinaNo data
District of ColumbiaNo data
OklahomaNo data
LouisianaNo data
MississippiNo data
GeorgiaNo data
HawaiiNo data
TexasNo data
FloridaNo data
78

itemized donors

People who gave more than $200

72%

from Arizona

Of itemized individual dollars

How to read the map

Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Arizona. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

Top donor occupations

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. OWNER$7,930 6 donors
  2. RETIRED$7,395 9 donors
  3. ATTORNEY$5,671 10 donors
  4. CEO$3,944 4 donors
  5. LOBBYIST$2,909 9 donors

Top committees

PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

  1. CVS HEALTH PAC$3,500
  2. CIGNA PAC$2,500
  3. ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ELEVANCE HEALTH PAC)$2,500
  4. EMPLOYEES OF RTX CORPORATION PAC$1,500
  5. PINNACLE WEST$1,500

Top employers

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. VERIDUS$1,172 3 donors

Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

Back to topNext: Votes

Votes

Kavanagh voted with the majority of Arizona Senate Republicans on 99.0% of party-line votes and missed 2.6% of 1,589 roll calls. Arizona Senate on average: 95.6% party unity, 94.2% attendance. Across all roll calls, Kavanagh voted against the majority of Arizona Senate Republicans 16 times.

1,589 roll calls Kavanagh could vote on in the AZ 2025–26 session, compared with Arizona Senate. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Kavanagh voted with the majority of Arizona Senate Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

16

votes against the majority of Arizona Senate Republicans

Party unity 99.0%, Arizona Senate average 95.6%, ranks 7th of 30. 1,589 roll calls in the AZ 2025–26 session.

Attendance and party unity

The thick bar is Kavanagh, the thin grey bar the Arizona Senate average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

80%100%
Kavanagh
Peers
Rank
Attendance
97.3%
94.2%
12th of 30
Party unity
99.0%
95.6%
7th of 30
Show the data
Kavanagh's attendance and party unity against Arizona Senate.
RowKavanaghPeers
Attendance97.3%94.2%
Party unity99.0%95.6%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

Key votes

25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the AZ 2025–26 session

Key votes
Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
Jun 13, 2026
SB 1290
agricultural property; inspections; notice.
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 12–0 · R 16–0Democrats 12 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 16 yea, 0 naybecame law
Jun 12, 2026
SB 1671
gaming; racing; boxing; conflict-of-interest continuation
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 13–0 · R 15–1Democrats 13 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 15 yea, 1 naybecame law
Jun 12, 2026
HB 2320
school districts; bonds; financial advisors
failed to pass
YeaWith majoritypassD 0–13 · R 15–1Democrats 0 yea, 13 nay; Republicans 15 yea, 1 nayclose vote
Jun 12, 2026
HB 2257
HOV lane; blood transport vehicles
failed to pass
YeaWith majoritypassD 0–13 · R 15–1Democrats 0 yea, 13 nay; Republicans 15 yea, 1 naybecame law · close vote
Jun 12, 2026
HCR 2001
citizenship; identification; contributions; early voting
failed to pass
NayWith majorityfailD 12–0 · R 0–16Democrats 12 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 0 yea, 16 naymuch discussed
How key votes are chosen

Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

Votes most often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Kavanagh most often

  1. T.J. ShopeR1,519 shared votes99%
  2. Tim DunnR1,547 shared votes99%
  3. Carine WernerR1,499 shared votes98%
  4. Wendy RogersR1,466 shared votes98%
  5. Mark FinchemR1,504 shared votes98%

Votes least often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Kavanagh least often

  1. Sally GonzalesD1,391 shared votes39%
  2. Mitzi EpsteinD1,496 shared votes39%
  3. Priya SundareshanD1,454 shared votes41%
  4. Analise OrtizD1,477 shared votes41%
  5. Theresa HatathlieD1,269 shared votes43%
How to read the agreement lists

The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

Full voting record

AZ 2025–26 session, loads in batches

Back to topNext: Legislation

Legislation

Kavanagh sponsored 125 bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; 31 became law. Cosponsored 60 others. 63% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Arizona Senate average 42%; 14th of 29).

The bills Kavanagh sponsored and cosponsored in the AZ 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

Bills by stage

Counts for the AZ 2025–26 session

Sponsored125 billsSponsored, Introduced: 125125Sponsored, In committee: 8383Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 7979Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 5353Sponsored, Became law: 3131Cosponsored60 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 6060Cosponsored, In committee: 4646Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 2929Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 1818Cosponsored, Became law: 66IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
Show the data
Bills Kavanagh sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
Sponsored12583795331
Cosponsored604629186
How to read the blocks

Ink blocks are bills Kavanagh sponsored, ochre blocks bills Kavanagh cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

63%

of sponsored bills got out of committee

Arizona Senate average 42%. Ranks 14th of 29.

Cosponsorship partners

Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Kavanagh, by number of shared bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

  1. Dave Farnsworth25
  2. David Gowan17
  3. Frank Carroll14
  4. Tim Dunn13
  5. Hildy Angius13
What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Kavanagh’s bills; the toggle shows more.

Bill list

Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

Bills sponsored and cosponsored
HCR 2063Yvonne Fedderson; death resolutionCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedUnassignedHouse First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
SCR 1055death resolution; Bill Van DykeCosponsorJun 1, 2026Passed one chamberUnassignedHouse First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2065Alfredo Gutierrez death resolutionCosponsorApr 29, 2026Passed one chamberUnassignedTransmit to Senate Apr 30, 2026
SB 18382026-2027; health careCosponsorApr 27, 2026In committeeHealth(model)DP May 4, 2026
SB 18462026-2027; transportationCosponsorApr 27, 2026In committeeTransportation and Public Works(model)DP May 4, 2026

Back to topNext: Online

Online

A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Kavanagh’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

The lab crawls Kavanagh’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Kavanagh posts with a vision model.

Websites

How to read the counts

“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

Images Kavanagh posted

No images from Kavanagh’s posts have been described.

About the descriptions

Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

State floor speeches

271 turns, Feb 11, 2020 to Jun 10, 2026

Floor speeches

Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

The headline

The headline is the measure on which Kavanagh is most unusual among State Senate Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

Identifiers

Profile id
b6144266-5383-491f-8c87-df8fd11805ea
Open States
ocd-person/b6144266-5383-491f-8c87-df8fd11805ea

Bulk files with the same data for every official:

Freshness of this profile’s data

  • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
  • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
  • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
  • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
  • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
  • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
  • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

How the measures work

What politicians say
Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
Extreme labels
A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
Policy areas and agreement
Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology (CSIP)
Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
Campaign money
Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
Votes and key votes
Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
Peers and ranks
Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

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