Bipartisanship
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Aug 28, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; bipartisanship; Housing and Community Development; Public Lands and Natural Resources · Source
4.3%
of roll calls missed, attendance in the bottom quarter of the New Hampshire Senate
Attendance 95.6%; the average within the New Hampshire Senate is 98.4%. Ranks 22nd of 24, where 1st has the highest attendance. 208 roll calls in the NH 2025–26 session.
Attendance is the share of the roll calls Watters could vote on where a yea, nay or present was recorded, ranked within the New Hampshire Senate. A missed vote has many causes, from illness to campaigning; the number says how often, not why.
At a glance
6 measures against State Senate Democrats. The policy areas Watters talks about and legislates on agree at 0.66 on a 0–1 scale, in the top quarter of State Senate Democrats. Watters sits at −0.46 on the CSIP scale, more conservative than 77% of State Senate Democrats.
The measures on which Watters sits furthest from the middle of State Senate Democrats, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Attendance
95.6%
New Hampshire Senate average 98.4% · ranks 22nd of 24 · 208 roll calls
Talk-to-bills agreement
0.66
State Senate Democrats average 0.56 · ranks 30th of 228
CSIP ideology
−0.46
More conservative than 77% of State Senate Democrats · ± 0.05
Personal attacks
0%
State Senate Democrats average 2.4% · ranks 248th of 329
From New Hampshire, 2026
85%
Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 517th of 714 State Senate Democrats
Party unity
98.2%
New Hampshire Senate average 98.4% · ranks 17th of 24 · 4 votes against the majority of New Hampshire Senate Democrats
Peer group: State Senate Democrats. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Watters, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Watters is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Watters says
Watters attacks opponents personally less than 75% of State Senate Democrats. Personal attacks in 0% of 488 statements, against 2.4% for the average State Senate Democrat; 248th of 329.
An AI model reads each of Watters’s 488 statements in the NH 2025–26 session (488 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State Senate Democrats and ranked among them.
Kinds of statement
Share of statements carrying each label, the NH 2025–26 session
0%80%
Watters
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion183 statements
38%
43%
201st of 329
Credit claiming71 statements
15%
16%
163rd of 329
Policy criticism15 statements
3%
10%
233rd of 329
Bipartisanship14 statements
3%
3%
149th of 329
Personal attacks0 statements
0%
2%
248th of 329
Show the data
| Row | Watters | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Policy discussion | 38% | 43% |
| Credit claiming | 15% | 16% |
| Policy criticism | 3% | 10% |
| Bipartisanship | 3% | 3% |
| Personal attacks | 0% | 2% |
488
statements classified
488 posts on X.
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 488 |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is Watters; the thin grey bar is the average State Senate Democrats. A longer thick bar means Watters does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Extreme labels
Watters used extreme labels in 0.4% of statements, below the peer average. 2 statements, most often aimed at MAGA coalition; peers 0.8%.
- “MAGA”1
Who gets the labels
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
- MAGA coalition1
- Republicans1
What an extreme label is
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Month by month
Share of statements per month, the NH 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Column | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming | Extreme labels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan ’25 | 7 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Feb ’25 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Mar ’25 | 8 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Apr ’25 | 26 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| May ’25 | 8 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jun ’25 | 13 | 0.0% | 7.7% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’25 | 6 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Aug ’25 | 19 | 0.0% | 15.8% | 47.4% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Sep ’25 | 37 | 0.0% | 8.1% | 54.0% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Oct ’25 | 36 | 0.0% | 2.8% | 33.3% | 2.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Nov ’25 | 27 | 0.0% | 3.7% | 51.8% | 3.7% | 22.2% | 7.4% |
| Dec ’25 | 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan ’26 | 8 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Feb ’26 | 23 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mar ’26 | 29 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.0% | 3.5% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Apr ’26 | 19 | 0.0% | 5.3% | 52.6% | 5.3% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| May ’26 | 23 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Jun ’26 | 26 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 3.9% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’26 | 39 | 0.0% | 5.1% | 66.7% | 10.3% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Aug ’26 | 27 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 7.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Sep ’26 | 49 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 46.9% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Oct ’26 | 28 | 0.0% | 3.6% | 32.1% | 0.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
How to read the strips
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the NH 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 5 months are hatched here.
In Watters’s words
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Policy criticism
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 6, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy criticism; policy discussion; Economics and Public Finance; Foreign Trade and International Finance; Health; Energy · Source
Extreme label
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Nov 21, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · extreme label “MAGA” aimed at MAGA coalition · Source
Examples by category
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
No statements in this category in this window.
All 488 statements
Newest first, the NH 2025–26 session
The full feed
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 488 posts on X.
Policy
Energy is what Watters talks about most: 18% of policy statements, 4.3 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.66 on a 0–1 scale (State Senate Democrats average 0.56; 30th of 228).
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Watters talks about. The bills Watters sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
What Watters talks about
Share of policy statements by area, the NH 2025–26 session
0%35%
Watters
Peers
Energy32 statements
18%
4%
Economics and Public Finance25 statements
14%
10%
Education24 statements
13%
15%
Health21 statements
12%
17%
Families19 statements
10%
5%
Show the data
| Row | Watters | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 18% | 4% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 14% | 10% |
| Education | 13% | 15% |
| Health | 12% | 17% |
| Families | 10% | 5% |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is the share of Watters’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State Senate Democrats. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Talks about · legislates on
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State Senate Democrats averages.
Show the data
| Area | Talks about | State Senate Democrats, talks about | Legislates on | State Senate Democrats, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 18% | 4% | 18% | 3% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 14% | 10% | 1% | 3% |
| Education | 13% | 15% | 13% | 9% |
| Health | 12% | 17% | 9% | 15% |
| Families | 10% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
0.66
talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1
State Senate Democrats average 0.56. Ranks 30th of 228.
What agreement means, and what it doesn’t
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Watters legislates on exactly the areas Watters talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Watters sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology
Watters sits at −0.46 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more conservative than 77% of State Senate Democrats. Approximate range −0.50 to −0.41, which understates the uncertainty; from 18 donors and 959 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
−0.46
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range −0.50 to −0.41. From 18 donors and 959 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Watters, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Watters’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Watters sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
State Senate Democrats825 · median −0.7
New Hampshire Senate24 · median +0.2
All State Senate1,909 · median +0.1
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Watters |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Senate Democrats | 825 | −0.7 | 77% |
| New Hampshire Senate | 24 | +0.2 | 21% |
| All State Senate | 1909 | +0.1 | 34% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Watters in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Watters.
Money
Watters reported $33.5K in the 2026 cycle, below the State Senate Democrats’ median of $55.5K. State filings report no small-donation total. 85% of itemized individual money came from New Hampshire.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
$33.5K
itemized in the 2026 cycle
From 18 itemized donors. State Senate Democrats’ median $55.5K.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)67 squares$22.5K
- PACs and other committees33 squares$11.0K
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $22.5K | 67.2% |
| PACs and other committees | $11.0K | 32.8% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2026 to 2026. The grey line is the State Senate Democrats’ median for 2026.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026 cycle | $33.5K |
Top donor states, 2026
Itemized contributions by donor state. 85% came from New Hampshire.
- New Hampshire$19.2K
- California$3,000
- Colorado$300
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| New Hampshire | $19.2K |
| California | $3,000 |
| Colorado | $300 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
18
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
85%
from New Hampshire
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is New Hampshire. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No occupations reported.
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.
- NH REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$3,500
- MOTOR VEHICLE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$1,750
- AGC OF NH PAC$1,500
- GRANITE STATE TEAMSTERS DRIVE$1,500
- NHSEA PAC$1,000
Top employers
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
Watters voted with the majority of New Hampshire Senate Democrats on 98.2% of party-line votes and missed 4.3% of 208 roll calls. New Hampshire Senate on average: 98.4% party unity, 98.4% attendance. Across all roll calls, Watters voted against the majority of New Hampshire Senate Democrats 4 times.
208 roll calls Watters could vote on in the NH 2025–26 session, compared with New Hampshire Senate. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Watters voted with the majority of New Hampshire Senate Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
4
votes against the majority of New Hampshire Senate Democrats
Party unity 98.2%, New Hampshire Senate average 98.4%, ranks 17th of 24. 208 roll calls in the NH 2025–26 session.
Attendance and party unity
The thick bar is Watters, the thin grey bar the New Hampshire Senate average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.
80%100%
Watters
Peers
Rank
Attendance
95.6%
98.4%
22nd of 24
Party unity
98.2%
98.4%
17th of 24
Show the data
| Row | Watters | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 95.6% | 98.4% |
| Party unity | 98.2% | 98.4% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
Key votes
25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the NH 2025–26 session
| Party split (yea–nay) | Why it’s key | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nay | With majority | fail | D 0–8 · R 11–5Democrats 0 yea, 8 nay; Republicans 11 yea, 5 nay | close vote · party crossover | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SB 535 defining residential breeder and imported animal for the purposes of animal transfers and removing references to commercial kennels. VETO MESSAGE - Roll Call Required | Nay | With majority | fail | D 0–8 · R 5–11Democrats 0 yea, 8 nay; Republicans 5 yea, 11 nay | party crossover |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SB 475 relative to pet vendor foster homes, defining pet vendor foster facility, and relative to cruelty to livestock. VETO MESSAGE - Roll Call Required | Nay | With majority | fail | D 0–8 · R 8–8Democrats 0 yea, 8 nay; Republicans 8 yea, 8 nay | party crossover |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 8–0 · R 10–6Democrats 8 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 10 yea, 6 nay | party crossover | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | SB 468 relative to enabling alternative treatment centers to operate a greenhouse cultivation location. VETO MESSAGE - Roll Call Required | Yea | With majority | pass | D 8–0 · R 8–8Democrats 8 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 8 yea, 8 nay | party crossover |
How key votes are chosen
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
Votes most often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Watters most often
- Pat LongD199 shared votes98%
- Rebecca Perkins KwokaD199 shared votes98%
- Tara ReardonD199 shared votes98%
- Cindy RosenwaldD199 shared votes98%
- Sue PrentissD198 shared votes98%
Votes least often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Watters least often
- James GrayR199 shared votes15%
- Ruth WardR199 shared votes15%
- Kevin AvardR169 shared votes15%
- Howard PearlR199 shared votes16%
- David RochefortR199 shared votes16%
How to read the agreement lists
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
Full voting record
NH 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Legislation
Watters sponsored 45 bills in the NH 2025–26 session; 21 became law. Cosponsored 282 others. 78% of sponsored bills got out of committee (New Hampshire Senate average 79%; 16th of 24).
The bills Watters sponsored and cosponsored in the NH 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the NH 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 45 | 45 | 35 | 24 | 21 |
| Cosponsored | 282 | 282 | 195 | 109 | 73 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Watters sponsored, ochre blocks bills Watters cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
78%
of sponsored bills got out of committee
New Hampshire Senate average 79%. Ranks 16th of 24.
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Watters, by number of shared bills in the NH 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Donovan Fenton124
- Cindy Rosenwald121
- Rebecca Perkins Kwoka121
- Howard Pearl106
- Debra Altschiller95
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Watters’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| SB 669 | relative to on-premises licenses for licensed barbershops and salons. | Cosponsor | Feb 5, 2026 | Passed both chambers | Commerce(model) | Interim Study Report: Recommended for Future Legislation 10/22/2026 (Vote 11-2;) Oct 23, 2026 |
| SB 663 | creating a Medicaid methodology working group within the department of health and human services. | Cosponsor | Feb 4, 2026 | Became law | Health(model) | Signed by the Governor on 07/02/2026; Chapter 276; Effective 07/02/2026 Jul 9, 2026 |
| SB 658 | authorizing the department of education to establish a safe and resilient schools advisory council. | Sponsor | Feb 4, 2026 | In committee | Education(model) | Refer to Interim Study, MA, VV; 03/12/2026; SJ 6 Mar 12, 2026 |
| SB 668 | authorizing a historic marker on a highway for the purpose of acknowledging the abuse of former residents of the youth development center. | Sponsor | Feb 4, 2026 | In committee | Unassigned | Inexpedient to Legislate, MA, VV === BILL KILLED ===; 03/12/2026; SJ 6 Mar 12, 2026 |
| SB 656 | establishing a web-based occupational license application portal for veterans and military spouses. | Cosponsor | Feb 4, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Labor and Employment(model) | Inexpedient to Legislate: MA VV 04/23/2026 HJ 11 P. 10 Apr 23, 2026 |
Online
A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Watters’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Watters’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Watters posts with a vision model.
Websites
Official site
www.gencourt.state.nh.us/Senate/members/webpages/district04.aspxLast crawled Oct 1, 2026
1pages crawled
1changes in 90 days
- 18
pages crawled
5changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
Images Watters posted
No images from Watters’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
No transcribed state floor speeches are matched to this legislator yet.
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Watters is most unusual among State Senate Democrats, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- cf24defe-6df3-49f3-88ca-c6774b144f19
- Open States
- ocd-person/cf24defe-6df3-49f3-88ca-c6774b144f19
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab