Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Aug 23, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Transportation and Public Works · Source
84%
of State House Republicans score to the right of Long on the CSIP scale
CSIP score +0.13 (approximate range +0.07 to +0.19, which understates the uncertainty); negative is left of the scale’s centre, positive right. From 51 donors and 283 roll calls.
CSIP places every official on one left–right scale estimated from roll-call votes, campaign donations and the text of statements; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of moderate. The share says where Long sits among State House Republicans, not how far from the centre.
At a glance
4 measures against State House Republicans. 30% of the 27 bills Long sponsored got out of committee, in the bottom quarter of the Arkansas House. 91% of Long’s itemized money in the 2026 cycle came from Arkansas, in the bottom half of State House Republicans.
The measures on which Long sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
CSIP ideology
+0.13
More liberal than 84% of State House Republicans · ± 0.06
Out of committee
30%
Arkansas House average 56% · ranks 70th of 81
From Arkansas, 2026
91%
Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 1602nd of 2,335 State House Republicans
Itemized, 2026
$48.5K
State House Republicans’ median $33.7K · ranks 997th of 2,521
Statements
2
2 posts on X
Bills sponsored
27
and 40 cosponsored
Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Long, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Long is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Long says
Long claims credit less than 96% of State House Republicans. Credit claiming in 0% of 2 statements, against 13% for the average State House Republican; 764th of 792.
An AI model reads each of Long’s 2 statements in the AR 2025–26 session (2 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Republicans and ranked among them.
Kinds of statement
Share of statements carrying each label, the AR 2025–26 session
0%80%
Long
Peers
Rank
Policy discussion1 statements
50%
32%
130th of 792
Personal attacks0 statements
0%
3%
643rd of 792
Policy criticism0 statements
0%
9%
736th of 792
Bipartisanship0 statements
0%
2%
678th of 792
Credit claiming0 statements
0%
13%
764th of 792
Show the data
| Row | Long | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Policy discussion | 50% | 32% |
| Personal attacks | 0% | 3% |
| Policy criticism | 0% | 9% |
| Bipartisanship | 0% | 2% |
| Credit claiming | 0% | 13% |
2
statements classified
2 posts on X.
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 2 |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is Long; the thin grey bar is the average State House Republicans. A longer thick bar means Long does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Extreme labels
Long used no extreme labels in 2 statements. The peer average is 1.4%.
No extreme labels in this window.
Who gets the labels
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
No targets recorded.
What an extreme label is
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Month by month
Share of statements per month, the AR 2025–26 session
No month in this window has 10 or more statements, too few to chart month by month.
How to read the strips
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the AR 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 22 months are hatched here; 21 of them have no statements.
In Long’s words
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Examples by category
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
No statements in this category in this window.
All 2 statements
Newest first, the AR 2025–26 session
The full feed
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 2 posts on X.
Policy
Transportation and Public Works is what Long talks about most: 100% of policy statements, 22.8 times the peer share. Peers give it 4.4%. Agreement with legislation needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Long talks about. The bills Long sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
What Long talks about
Share of policy statements by area, the AR 2025–26 session
0%100%
Long
Peers
Transportation and Public Works1 statements
100%
4%
Agriculture and Food0 statements
0%
4%
Armed Forces and National Security0 statements
0%
5%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues0 statements
0%
6%
Commerce0 statements
0%
4%
Show the data
| Row | Long | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation and Public Works | 100% | 4% |
| Agriculture and Food | 0% | 4% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 0% | 5% |
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 0% | 6% |
| Commerce | 0% | 4% |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is the share of Long’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Talks about · legislates on
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 100%. Grey ticks are the State House Republicans averages.
Show the data
| Area | Talks about | State House Republicans, talks about | Legislates on | State House Republicans, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transportation and Public Works | 100% | 4% | 6% | 6% |
| Agriculture and Food | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 0% | 6% | 8% | 4% |
| Commerce | 0% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Crime and Law Enforcement | 0% | 11% | 6% | 11% |
No agreement score.Needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills in the window.
What agreement means, and what it doesn’t
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Long legislates on exactly the areas Long talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Long sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology
Long sits at +0.13 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more liberal than 84% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.07 to +0.19, which understates the uncertainty; from 51 donors and 283 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
+0.13
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range +0.07 to +0.19. From 51 donors and 283 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Long, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Long’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Long sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
State House Republicans2,917 · median +0.4
Arkansas House97 · median +0.1
All State House5,324 · median +0.1
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Long |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Republicans | 2917 | +0.4 | 16% |
| Arkansas House | 97 | +0.1 | 60% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 54% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Long in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Long.
Money
Long reported $48.5K in the 2026 cycle, above the State House Republicans’ median of $33.7K. State filings report no small-donation total. 91% of itemized individual money came from Arkansas.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
$48.5K
itemized in the 2026 cycle
From 29 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $33.7K.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)58 squares$28.1K
- PACs and other committees42 squares$20.3K
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $28.1K | 58.1% |
| PACs and other committees | $20.3K | 41.9% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2026.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2022 cycle | $19.3K |
| 2024 cycle | $13.1K |
| 2026 cycle | $48.5K |
Top donor states, 2026
Itemized contributions by donor state. 91% came from Arkansas.
- Arkansas$25.6K
- Missouri$1,000
- California$1,000
- Pennsylvania$500
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| Arkansas | $25.6K |
| California | $1,000 |
| Missouri | $1,000 |
| Pennsylvania | $500 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
29
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
91%
from Arkansas
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Arkansas. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
- RETIRED$3,125 12 donors
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.
- HOUSE LEADERSHIP PAC$3,500
- KOCH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (KOCHPAC)$2,500
- AGC BETTER ROADS PAC$1,000
- ARKANSAS REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$1,000
- BUILD STRENGTHEN & EMPOWER PAC$1,000
Top employers
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
No roll-call votes for the AR 2025–26 session.No roll-call votes are recorded for this official in this time window.
Legislation
Long sponsored 27 bills in the AR 2025–26 session; 4 became law. Cosponsored 40 others. 30% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Arkansas House average 56%; 70th of 81).
The bills Long sponsored and cosponsored in the AR 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the AR 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 27 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Cosponsored | 40 | 40 | 28 | 23 | 22 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Long sponsored, ochre blocks bills Long cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
30%
of sponsored bills got out of committee
Arkansas House average 56%. Ranks 70th of 81.
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Long, by number of shared bills in the AR 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Clint Penzo8
- Alyssa Brown7
- Mary Bentley6
- Jim Dotson5
- Ryan Rose5
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Long’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HB 1001 | TO REDUCE THE INCOME TAX RATES FOR INDIVIDUALS, TRUSTS, ESTATES, AND CORPORATIONS. | Cosponsor | May 1, 2026 | Became law | Taxation(model) | Notification that HB1001 is now Act 1 May 6, 2026 |
| HB 1103 | TO INCREASE THE HOMESTEAD PROPERTY TAX CREDIT. | Cosponsor | Apr 21, 2026 | Passed both chambers | Taxation(model) | Correctly enrolled and ordered transmitted to the Governor's Office. Apr 28, 2026 |
| HB 1974 | TO PROHIBIT STATE ENTITIES FROM EMPLOYING UNAUTHORIZED ALIENS; TO ESTABLISH THE E-VERIFY REQUIREMENT ACT; AND TO REQUIRE STATE ENTITIES TO USE E-VERIFY TO CONFIRM EMPLOYMENT ELIGIBILITY. | Sponsor | Apr 2, 2025 | Became law | Immigration(model) | Notification that HB1974 is now Act 948 Apr 21, 2025 |
| HB 1909 | TO CREATE THE PUBLIC SERVICES ONLY FOR CITIZENS ACT; AND TO REQUIRE VERIFICATION OF CITIZENSHIP AND RESIDENCY IN ORDER TO RECEIVE PUBLIC ASSISTANCE. | Sponsor | Mar 31, 2025 | In committee | Immigration(model) | Died in House Committee at Sine Die adjournment. May 5, 2025 |
| HB 1908 | TO CREATE THE PROOF OF RESIDENCY FOR PUBLIC ASSISTANCE ACT; TO AMEND THE LAW REGARDING PUBLIC ASSISTANCE; AND TO REQUIRE PROOF OF RESIDENCY FOR ADULT APPLICANTS. | Sponsor | Mar 31, 2025 | In committee | Economics and Public Finance(model) | Died in House Committee at Sine Die adjournment. May 5, 2025 |
Online
A site that changed 3 times in 90 days. Long’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Long’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Long posts with a vision model.
Websites
- 1
pages crawled
3changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
Images Long posted
No images from Long’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
30 turns, Feb 6, 2023 to Apr 15, 2026
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Long is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- e8865ad0-46d2-49a0-8273-da14fe929f3e
- Open States
- ocd-person/e8865ad0-46d2-49a0-8273-da14fe929f3e
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab