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Republican · Connecticut House, district 52

Serving since Jan 7, 2015CT 2025–26 session

Portrait of Kurt Vail, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
0%
of statements claim credit, in the bottom 5% of State House Republicans

0% of 264 statements claim credit (0 statements); the average for State House Republicans is 13%. Ranks 764th of 791, where 1st is the highest rate.

An AI model reads each of Vail’s posts on X and marks whether it claims credit for an accomplishment. The rate is the share of statements marked; it is compared with the average among State House Republicans and ranked against the same group.

At a glance

6 measures against State House Republicans. 5.7% of Vail’s statements discuss policy, in the bottom tenth of State House Republicans (average 32%). 9.1% of Vail’s statements contain a personal attack, 3.2 times the State House Republican average of 2.9%.

The measures on which Vail sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Credit claiming

0%

State House Republicans average 13% · ranks 764th of 791

Policy discussion

5.7%

State House Republicans average 32% · ranks 732nd of 791

Personal attacks

9.1%

State House Republicans average 2.9% · ranks 72nd of 791

CSIP ideology

+0.65

More conservative than 89% of State House Republicans · ± 0.05

Attendance

100%

Connecticut House average 96.7% · ranks 19th of 151 · 754 roll calls

Itemized, 2026

$6,955

State House Republicans’ median $33.7K · ranks 2079th of 2,521

Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Vail, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Vail is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Vail says

Vail claims credit less than 96% of State House Republicans. Credit claiming in 0% of 264 statements, against 13% for the average State House Republican; 764th of 791.

An AI model reads each of Vail’s 264 statements in the CT 2025–26 session (264 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Republicans and ranked among them.

Kinds of statement

Share of statements carrying each label, the CT 2025–26 session

0%80%
Vail
Peers
Rank
Personal attacks24 statements
9%
3%
72nd of 791
Policy discussion15 statements
6%
32%
732nd of 791
Policy criticism4 statements
2%
9%
621st of 791
Bipartisanship1 statements
0%
2%
520th of 791
Credit claiming0 statements
0%
13%
764th of 791
Show the data
Vail's share of statements in each category against the State House Republicans average.
RowVailPeers
Personal attacks9%3%
Policy discussion6%32%
Policy criticism2%9%
Bipartisanship0%2%
Credit claiming0%13%
264

statements classified

264 posts on X.

posts on X: 264 (100.0%)posts on X 264
Show the data
Vail's statements by source
PartValue
posts on X264
How to read the bars

The thick bar is Vail; the thin grey bar is the average State House Republicans. A longer thick bar means Vail does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.

Extreme labels

Vail used no extreme labels in 264 statements. The peer average is 1.4%.

No extreme labels in this window.

Who gets the labels

Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements

No targets recorded.

What an extreme label is

Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.

Month by month

Share of statements per month, the CT 2025–26 session

Statements2025-01: 262025-02: 62025-03: 182025-04: 192025-05: 52025-06: 162025-07: 32025-08: 102025-09: 12025-10: 52025-11: 352025-12: 112026-01: 442026-02: 42026-03: 112026-04: 282026-05: 32026-06: 22026-07: 02026-08: 02026-09: 02026-10: 17peak 44 · Jan ’26Personal attackspeak 18.2% · Mar ’26 · latest 0.0%Personal attacks, 2025-01: 3.9% of 26Personal attacks, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-03: 11.1% of 18Personal attacks, 2025-04: 15.8% of 19Personal attacks, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-06: 0.0% of 16Personal attacks, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-08: 10.0% of 10Personal attacks, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2025-11: 11.4% of 35Personal attacks, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Personal attacks, 2026-01: 13.6% of 44Personal attacks, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-03: 18.2% of 11Personal attacks, 2026-04: 14.3% of 28Personal attacks, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Personal attacks, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Policy criticismpeak 5.7% · Nov ’25 · latest 0.0%Policy criticism, 2025-01: 0.0% of 26Policy criticism, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-03: 0.0% of 18Policy criticism, 2025-04: 0.0% of 19Policy criticism, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-06: 0.0% of 16Policy criticism, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-08: 0.0% of 10Policy criticism, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2025-11: 5.7% of 35Policy criticism, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Policy criticism, 2026-01: 0.0% of 44Policy criticism, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-03: 0.0% of 11Policy criticism, 2026-04: 0.0% of 28Policy criticism, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy criticism, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Policy discussionpeak 14.3% · Apr ’26 · latest 0.0%Policy discussion, 2025-01: 3.9% of 26Policy discussion, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-03: 11.1% of 18Policy discussion, 2025-04: 0.0% of 19Policy discussion, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-06: 6.3% of 16Policy discussion, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-08: 0.0% of 10Policy discussion, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2025-11: 2.9% of 35Policy discussion, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Policy discussion, 2026-01: 4.5% of 44Policy discussion, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-03: 0.0% of 11Policy discussion, 2026-04: 14.3% of 28Policy discussion, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Policy discussion, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Bipartisanshippeak 2.9% · Nov ’25 · latest 0.0%Bipartisanship, 2025-01: 0.0% of 26Bipartisanship, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-03: 0.0% of 18Bipartisanship, 2025-04: 0.0% of 19Bipartisanship, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-06: 0.0% of 16Bipartisanship, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-08: 0.0% of 10Bipartisanship, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2025-11: 2.9% of 35Bipartisanship, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Bipartisanship, 2026-01: 0.0% of 44Bipartisanship, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-03: 0.0% of 11Bipartisanship, 2026-04: 0.0% of 28Bipartisanship, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Bipartisanship, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Credit claimingpeak 0.0% · Jan ’25 · latest 0.0%Credit claiming, 2025-01: 0.0% of 26Credit claiming, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-03: 0.0% of 18Credit claiming, 2025-04: 0.0% of 19Credit claiming, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-06: 0.0% of 16Credit claiming, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-08: 0.0% of 10Credit claiming, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2025-11: 0.0% of 35Credit claiming, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Credit claiming, 2026-01: 0.0% of 44Credit claiming, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-03: 0.0% of 11Credit claiming, 2026-04: 0.0% of 28Credit claiming, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Credit claiming, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Extreme labelspeak 0.0% · Jan ’25 · latest 0.0%Extreme labels, 2025-01: 0.0% of 26Extreme labels, 2025-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-03: 0.0% of 18Extreme labels, 2025-04: 0.0% of 19Extreme labels, 2025-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-06: 0.0% of 16Extreme labels, 2025-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-08: 0.0% of 10Extreme labels, 2025-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-10: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2025-11: 0.0% of 35Extreme labels, 2025-12: 0.0% of 11Extreme labels, 2026-01: 0.0% of 44Extreme labels, 2026-02: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-03: 0.0% of 11Extreme labels, 2026-04: 0.0% of 28Extreme labels, 2026-05: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-06: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-07: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-08: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-09: not plotted (fewer than 10 statements)Extreme labels, 2026-10: 0.0% of 17Jan ’25Jul ’25Jan ’26Jul ’26Oct ’26
Show the data
Monthly rates for Vail, each row shaded against its own peak, with statement volume. Months with fewer than 10 statements are left blank.
ColumnStatementsPersonal attacksPolicy criticismPolicy discussionBipartisanshipCredit claimingExtreme labels
Jan ’25263.9%0.0%3.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Feb ’256— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Mar ’251811.1%0.0%11.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Apr ’251915.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
May ’255— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jun ’25160.0%0.0%6.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jul ’253— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Aug ’251010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Sep ’251— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Oct ’255— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Nov ’253511.4%5.7%2.9%2.9%0.0%0.0%
Dec ’25110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Jan ’264413.6%0.0%4.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Feb ’264— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Mar ’261118.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Apr ’262814.3%0.0%14.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
May ’263— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jun ’262— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Jul ’260— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Aug ’260— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Sep ’260— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)— (fewer than 10 statements)
Oct ’26170.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
How to read the strips

Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the CT 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 11 months are hatched here; 3 of them have no statements.

In Vail’s words

Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned

Bipartisanship

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Nov 28, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy criticism; bipartisanship · Source

Policy discussion

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Apr 21, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Government Operations and Politics · Source

Policy criticism

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

Feb 4, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy criticism; policy discussion; Taxation · Source

Examples by category

Up to five recent statements in each category

Category

Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

  1. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Ricky Espanish, Ryan FazioSource

  2. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: Stansbury, RaskinSource

  3. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: CTDemsSource

  4. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: unknownSource

  5. Posts on X (state legislators)

    The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

    personal attacks · target: GovPritzkerSource

All 264 statements

Newest first, the CT 2025–26 session

The full feed

Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 264 posts on X.

Back to topNext: Policy

Policy

Government Operations and Politics is what Vail talks about most: 29% of policy statements, above the peer share. Peers give it 18%. Agreement with legislation needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Vail talks about. The bills Vail sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.

What Vail talks about

Share of policy statements by area, the CT 2025–26 session

0%35%
Vail
Peers
Government Operations and Politics4 statements
29%
18%
Crime and Law Enforcement2 statements
14%
11%
Immigration2 statements
14%
5%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues1 statements
7%
6%
Economics and Public Finance1 statements
7%
12%
Show the data
Policy areas Vail talks about, as a share of policy statements, against the State House Republicans average.
RowVailPeers
Government Operations and Politics29%18%
Crime and Law Enforcement14%11%
Immigration14%5%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues7%6%
Economics and Public Finance7%12%
How to read the bars

The thick bar is the share of Vail’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

Talks about · legislates on

Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State House Republicans averages.

Talks aboutLegislates onGovernment Operations andPoliticsGovernment Operations and Politics, talks about: 29% (State House Republicans 18%)29%Government Operations and Politics, legislates on: 20% (State House Republicans 12%)20%Crime and Law EnforcementCrime and Law Enforcement, talks about: 14% (State House Republicans 11%)14%Crime and Law Enforcement, legislates on: 16% (State House Republicans 11%)16%ImmigrationImmigration, talks about: 14% (State House Republicans 5%)14%Immigration, legislates on: 0% (State House Republicans 1%)0%Civil Rights and Liberties,Minority IssuesCivil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, talks about: 7% (State House Republicans 6%)7%Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues, legislates on: 8% (State House Republicans 4%)8%Economics and Public FinanceEconomics and Public Finance, talks about: 7% (State House Republicans 12%)7%Economics and Public Finance, legislates on: 4% (State House Republicans 2%)4%
Show the data
Vail's share of statements against share of bills in each policy area.
AreaTalks aboutState House Republicans, talks aboutLegislates onState House Republicans, legislates on
Government Operations and Politics29%18%20%12%
Crime and Law Enforcement14%11%16%11%
Immigration14%5%0%1%
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues7%6%8%4%
Economics and Public Finance7%12%4%2%

No agreement score.Needs at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills in the window.

What agreement means, and what it doesn’t

Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Vail legislates on exactly the areas Vail talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Vail sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.

Back to topNext: Ideology

Ideology

Vail sits at +0.65 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more conservative than 89% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.61 to +0.70, which understates the uncertainty; from 521 donors and 403 roll calls.

CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

+0.65

CSIP ideal point

Approximate range +0.61 to +0.70. From 521 donors and 403 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

← More liberalMore conservative →0Vail +0.7State House Republicans +0.4Connecticut House −0.7All State House +0.1

The outlined dot is Vail, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Vail’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

Where Vail sits

Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

−2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State House Republicansmedian +0.4Vail +0.7Connecticut Housemedian −0.7All State Housemedian +0.1
Show the data
Vail's CSIP score of +0.65 placed against State House Republicans, Connecticut House, All State House.
GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Vail
State House Republicans2917+0.489%
Connecticut House151−0.788%
All State House5324+0.194%
How to read the strips

Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Vail in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Vail.

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Vail reported $6,955 in the 2026 cycle, 21% of the State House Republicans’ median of $33.7K. State filings report no small-donation total. 98% of itemized individual money came from Connecticut.

Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

Election cycle
$6,955

itemized in the 2026 cycle

From 178 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $33.7K.

Where the money came from

Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)Individuals (itemized): $6,955 (100.0%)
  • Individuals (itemized)100 squares$6,955
Show the data
Sources of Vail's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
SourceAmountShare
Individuals (itemized)$6,955100.0%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

Receipts by cycle

Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2026.

2020 cycle: $5,687$5,68720202022 cycle: $6,220$6,22020222024 cycle: $6,500$6,50020242026 cycle: $6,955$6,9552026State House Republicans median $33.7K
Show the data
Vail's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State House Republicans median.
ItemValue
2020 cycle$5,687
2022 cycle$6,220
2024 cycle$6,500
2026 cycle$6,955

Top donor states, 2026

Itemized contributions by donor state. 98% came from Connecticut.

  1. Connecticut$6,805
  2. Florida$100
  3. Massachusetts$50

Small donations

State filings report no total for small gifts.

Not reported in state filings.

Where itemized donors live

Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

Alaska: no dataAKMaine: no dataMEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: no dataWAIdaho: no dataIDMontana: no dataMTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: no dataMNIllinois: no dataILWisconsin: no dataWIMichigan: no dataMINew York: no dataNYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: $50MAOregon: no dataORNevada: no dataNVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: no dataIAIndiana: no dataINOhio: no dataOHPennsylvania: no dataPANew Jersey: no dataNJConnecticut: $6,805CTCalifornia: no dataCAUtah: no dataUTColorado: no dataCONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: no dataMOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: no dataVAMaryland: no dataMDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: no dataAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: no dataTNNorth Carolina: no dataNCSouth Carolina: no dataSCDistrict of Columbia: no dataDCOklahoma: no dataOKLouisiana: no dataLAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: no dataALGeorgia: no dataGAHawaii: no dataHITexas: no dataTXFlorida: $100FL
Show the data
Vail's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
StateValue
Connecticut$6,805
Florida$100
Massachusetts$50
AlaskaNo data
MaineNo data
VermontNo data
New HampshireNo data
WashingtonNo data
IdahoNo data
MontanaNo data
North DakotaNo data
MinnesotaNo data
IllinoisNo data
WisconsinNo data
MichiganNo data
New YorkNo data
Rhode IslandNo data
OregonNo data
NevadaNo data
WyomingNo data
South DakotaNo data
IowaNo data
IndianaNo data
OhioNo data
PennsylvaniaNo data
New JerseyNo data
CaliforniaNo data
UtahNo data
ColoradoNo data
NebraskaNo data
MissouriNo data
KentuckyNo data
West VirginiaNo data
VirginiaNo data
MarylandNo data
DelawareNo data
ArizonaNo data
New MexicoNo data
KansasNo data
ArkansasNo data
TennesseeNo data
North CarolinaNo data
South CarolinaNo data
District of ColumbiaNo data
OklahomaNo data
LouisianaNo data
MississippiNo data
AlabamaNo data
GeorgiaNo data
HawaiiNo data
TexasNo data
178

itemized donors

People who gave more than $200

98%

from Connecticut

Of itemized individual dollars

How to read the map

Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Connecticut. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

Top donor occupations

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. RETIRED$1,195 24 donors
  2. FARMER$205 3 donors
  3. ATTORNEY$175 3 donors
  4. STUDENT$125 10 donors
  5. TEACHER$75 4 donors

Top committees

PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

No committee contributions this cycle.

Top employers

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. STATE OF CONNECTICUT$155 6 donors
  2. STUDENT$95 7 donors
  3. TOWN OF UNION$55 3 donors

Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

Back to topNext: Votes

Votes

Vail voted with the majority of Connecticut House Republicans on 93.6% of party-line votes and missed none of 754 roll calls. Connecticut House on average: 95.0% party unity, 96.7% attendance. Across all roll calls, Vail voted against the majority of Connecticut House Republicans 58 times.

754 roll calls Vail could vote on in the CT 2025–26 session, compared with Connecticut House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Vail voted with the majority of Connecticut House Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

58

votes against the majority of Connecticut House Republicans

Party unity 93.6%, Connecticut House average 95.0%, ranks 111th of 151. 754 roll calls in the CT 2025–26 session.

Attendance and party unity

The thick bar is Vail, the thin grey bar the Connecticut House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

80%100%
Vail
Peers
Rank
Attendance
100%
96.7%
19th of 151
Party unity
93.6%
95.0%
111th of 151
Show the data
Vail's attendance and party unity against Connecticut House.
RowVailPeers
Attendance100%96.7%
Party unity93.6%95.0%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

Key votes

25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the CT 2025–26 session

Key votes
Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
May 6, 2026
SB 391
AN ACT CONCERNING THE AVAILABILITY OF BREAST CANCER SCREENING, DIAGNOSIS AND TREATMENT SERVICES FOR WOMEN COMMITTED TO THE CUSTODY OF THE DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTION.
House Roll Call Vote
YeaWith majoritypassD 101–0 · R 49–0Democrats 101 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 49 yea, 0 naybecame law
May 6, 2026
HB 5563
AN ACT CONCERNING VARIOUS CRIMINAL LAW AND CRIMINAL JUSTICE PROPOSALS, CERTIFICATES OF APPROVAL FOR AIRPORTS, HELIPORTS, VERTIPORTS, RESTRICTED LANDING AREAS AND OTHER AIR NAVIGATION FACILITIES, POLICE COLLABORATION WITH SOCIAL WORKERS, SURVEILLANCE PRICING, EDUCATION COST SHARING AND WITHHOLDING OF
House Roll Call Vote
YeaWith majoritypassD 101–0 · R 49–0Democrats 101 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 49 yea, 0 naybecame law
May 6, 2026
SB 307
AN ACT CONCERNING THE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT'S RECOMMENDATIONS FOR REVISIONS TO THE COMMERCE STATUTES AND PROHIBITING SCHOLARSHIP DISPLACEMENT FOR CERTAIN STUDENTS AT PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS OF HIGHER EDUCATION.
House Roll Call Vote
YeaWith majoritypassD 100–0 · R 49–0Democrats 100 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 49 yea, 0 naybecame law
May 6, 2026
SB 306
AN ACT CONCERNING ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY STRATEGY.
House Roll Call Vote
YeaWith majoritypassD 101–0 · R 47–2Democrats 101 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 47 yea, 2 naybecame law
May 6, 2026
SB 220
AN ACT CONCERNING STUDENT LITERACY, ASPIRING EDUCATORS, AMERICAN SIGN LANGUAGE AS PART OF THE WORLD LANGUAGES CURRICULUM AND THE PARAEDUCATOR HEALTH BENEFIT PLAN SUBSIDY PROGRAM.
House Roll Call Vote
YeaWith majoritypassD 100–1 · R 49–0Democrats 100 yea, 1 nay; Republicans 49 yea, 0 naybecame law
How key votes are chosen

Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

Votes most often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Vail most often

  1. Karen Reddington-HughesR754 shared votes93%
  2. Donna VeachR572 shared votes93%
  3. Amy RomanoR660 shared votes93%
  4. Brian LanoueR708 shared votes93%
  5. Chris StewartR429 shared votes93%

Votes least often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Vail least often

  1. Christopher RosarioD648 shared votes68%
  2. Kevin RyanD346 shared votes68%
  3. Bobby SanchezD374 shared votes68%
  4. Toni WalkerD666 shared votes69%
  5. Corey ParisD664 shared votes69%
How to read the agreement lists

The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

Full voting record

CT 2025–26 session, loads in batches

Back to topNext: Legislation

Legislation

Vail sponsored 26 bills in the CT 2025–26 session; 4 became law. Cosponsored 0 others. 23% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Connecticut House average 35%; 117th of 150).

The bills Vail sponsored and cosponsored in the CT 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

Bills by stage

Counts for the CT 2025–26 session

Sponsored26 billsSponsored, Introduced: 2626Sponsored, In committee: 2626Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 66Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 44Sponsored, Became law: 44Cosponsored0 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 00Cosponsored, In committee: 00Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 00Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 00Cosponsored, Became law: 00IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
Show the data
Bills Vail sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
Sponsored2626644
Cosponsored00000
How to read the blocks

Ink blocks are bills Vail sponsored, ochre blocks bills Vail cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

23%

of sponsored bills got out of committee

Connecticut House average 35%. Ranks 117th of 150.

Cosponsorship partners

Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Vail, by number of shared bills in the CT 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

  1. Craig Fishbein8
  2. Mark Anderson6
  3. Anne Dauphinais5
  4. Joe Hoxha5
  5. Doug Dubitsky4
What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Vail’s bills; the toggle shows more.

Bill list

Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

Bills sponsored and cosponsored
HB 5577AN ACT AMENDING A CONVEYANCE OF A PARCEL OF LAND TO THE TOWN OF SOMERS.SponsorApr 7, 2026Became lawPublic Lands and Natural Resources(model)SIGNED BY GOVERNOR Jun 4, 2026
SB 259AN ACT CONCERNING FEMALE GENITAL MUTILATION.SponsorMar 25, 2026Became lawCrime and Law Enforcement(model)SIGNED BY GOVERNOR May 7, 2026
SB 478AN ACT CONCERNING CONSUMER SAFEGUARDS FOR LONG-TERM CARE POLICIES.SponsorMar 20, 2026Became lawFinance and Financial Sector(model)SIGNED BY GOVERNOR Jun 2, 2026
SB 425AN ACT REQUIRING ANNUAL STATE AGENCY PERFORMANCE PLANS.SponsorMar 17, 2026Passed one chamberGovernment Operations and Politics(model)HOUSE CALENDAR NUMBER 577 May 6, 2026
HB 5221AN ACT REESTABLISHING THE LEGISLATIVE PROGRAM REVIEW AND INVESTIGATIONS COMMITTEE.SponsorMar 12, 2026In committeeGovernment Operations and Politics(model)REF. BY HOUSE TO COMMITTEE ON Appropriations Apr 7, 2026

Back to topNext: Online

Online

A site that has not changed in 90 days. Vail’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

The lab crawls Vail’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Vail posts with a vision model.

Websites

How to read the counts

“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

Images Vail posted

No images from Vail’s posts have been described.

About the descriptions

Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

State floor speeches

275 turns, Apr 19, 2021 to May 5, 2026

Floor speeches

Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

The headline

The headline is the measure on which Vail is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

Identifiers

Profile id
ffa361d0-7471-450e-aee8-cb0c32ee2742
Open States
ocd-person/ffa361d0-7471-450e-aee8-cb0c32ee2742

Bulk files with the same data for every official:

Freshness of this profile’s data

  • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
  • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
  • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
  • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
  • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
  • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
  • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

How the measures work

What politicians say
Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
Extreme labels
A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
Policy areas and agreement
Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology (CSIP)
Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
Campaign money
Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
Votes and key votes
Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
Peers and ranks
Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

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