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The Inseparability of Race and Partisanship in the United States

Political Behavior, 2022

The paper

Sean J. Westwood and Erik Peterson (2022). The Inseparability of Race and Partisanship in the United States. Political Behavior 44(3), 1125–1147.

Main text

  1. p. 1125, Abstract

    Published

    We find support for this in three behavioral game experiments with 5496 respondents.

    Correction

    We find support for this in three behavioral game experiments with 5,194 respondents.

    Basis The analytic samples are 1,697 (Study 1), 1,975 (Study 2) and 1,522 (Study 3, white and Black respondents; see the correction to p. 1135).

  2. pp. 1133-1134

    Published

    However, in a dose-response pre-test discussed in the supporting materials, we found that this average value is perceived by participants as a “negative” result.

    Correction

    However, in a dose-response pre-test discussed in the supporting materials, which used whole-dollar amounts, participants rated $4, the amount closest to this average, below “probably yes” when asked whether Player 1 trusted them (mean 3.60 on a five-point scale).

    Basis With every response coded (see the correction to SI section 1), 57.5% of ratings at $4 say Player 1 probably or definitely trusted Player 2 and 9.2% say probably or definitely not. The choice of $7 and $8 for the positive condition is unaffected.

  3. p. 1135, description of Study 3

    Published

    (n = 1824; again recruited via Qualtrics Panels with the same criteria as the first two studies)

    Correction

    (n = 1,522 white and Black respondents; again recruited via Qualtrics Panels with the same criteria as the first two studies)

    Basis The text prints 1,824; the published Study 3 analysis used 1,814 respondents. That sample included 292 respondents who are neither white nor Black (172 Hispanic, 88 Asian, 32 other), whose out-race feeling thermometer the code set to 50. Footnote 1 limits the paper to white and African American respondents, and Study 1 applies that restriction. All Study 3 results below are re-estimated on the 1,522 white and Black respondents.

  4. p. 1136, Figure 3c

    Published

    Figure 3c, Study 3 (partisan treatment): out-partisan affect and parallel updating to out-racial affect.

    Correction

    Figure 3c re-estimated on white and Black respondents. Out-partisan affect: −18.68 [−21.30, −16.07]. Out-racial affect: −7.76 [−9.92, −5.61].

    Corrected figure for p. 1136, Figure 3c

    Basis Hollow points show the published estimates (N = 1,814).

  5. p. 1138

    Published

    The average out-party affect among those assigned to have a negative interaction with an out-partisan was 32.01 points. Meanwhile, in the positive interaction condition, mean out-party affect crossed the midpoint of the scale and reached 52.21 points, a mean difference of −20.20 points (95% confidence interval [−22.59, −17.81]). [...] and a smaller effect on the racial outcome measure (77% of the size of the effect from race to partisanship)

    Correction

    The average out-party affect among those assigned to have a negative interaction with an out-partisan was 33.19 points. Meanwhile, in the positive interaction condition, mean out-party affect crossed the midpoint of the scale and reached 51.87 points, a mean difference of −18.68 points (95% confidence interval [−21.30, −16.07]). [...] and a smaller effect on the racial outcome measure (90% of the size of the effect from race to partisanship)

    Basis Re-estimated on white and Black respondents. The partisan-outcome effect is 1.99 times the Study 1 effect of the racial treatment on racial affect, so “nearly twice as large” stands.

  6. pp. 1138-1139

    Published

    Mean out-race affect in the negative (partisan) treatment was 55.64 points, while mean out-race affect in the positive (partisan) treatment was 62.34 points, for a difference of −6.70 points (95% confidence interval [−8.54, −4.86]).

    Correction

    Mean out-race affect in the negative (partisan) treatment was 56.80 points, while mean out-race affect in the positive (partisan) treatment was 64.56 points, for a difference of −7.76 points (95% confidence interval [−9.92, −5.61]).

    Basis Re-estimated on white and Black respondents.

  7. p. 1140

    Published

    We also find no interaction between the treatment and the randomly assigned partisanship of Player 1 for out-race affect (β = − 1.51, 95% confidence interval [−6.36, 3.33]), or out-party affect (β = − 1.11, 95% confidence interval [−5.49, 3.28]).

    Correction

    We also find no interaction between the treatment and the randomly assigned partisanship of Player 1 for out-race affect (β = −1.11, 95% confidence interval [−5.49, 3.28]), or out-party affect (β = −1.51, 95% confidence interval [−6.36, 3.33]).

    Basis The text swapped the two estimates. In Table A7, −1.51 is the out-party interaction and −1.11 the out-race interaction.

  8. p. 1141

    Published

    (β = − − 0.06, 95% confidence interval [−0.71, $0.58)

    Correction

    (β = −$0.06, 95% confidence interval [−$0.71, $0.58])

  9. p. 1142

    Published

    the difference is not significant in an interaction model (mean difference = −4.62, 95% confidence interval [−9.39 0.14]). The positive treatment continued to increase out-race affect relative to the negative condition for those with sorted out-groups (mean difference = −8.94, 95% confidence interval [−11.92,−5.96]) and those with cross-cutting out-groups (mean difference = −4.57, 95% confidence interval [−6.77, −2.36]).

    Correction

    the difference is not significant in an interaction model (difference in mean differences = −2.76, 95% confidence interval [−7.10, 1.58]). The positive treatment continued to increase out-race affect relative to the negative condition for those with sorted out-groups (mean difference = −8.94, 95% confidence interval [−11.92, −5.96]) and those with cross-cutting out-groups (mean difference = −6.18, 95% confidence interval [−9.25, −3.12]).

    Basis The published −4.62 is the interaction from the out-party model. The corrected estimate comes from the out-race model, on white and Black respondents, written as the sorted mean difference minus the cross-cutting mean difference. The conclusion that the difference is not significant is unchanged (p = .21).

  10. p. 1143, Figure 4c

    Published

    Figure 4c, Study 3: parallel updating to out-racial affect for sorted and cross-cutting out-groups.

    Correction

    Figure 4c re-estimated on white and Black respondents. Sorted out-groups: −8.94 [−11.92, −5.96]. Cross-cutting out-groups: −6.18 [−9.25, −3.12].

    Corrected figure for p. 1143, Figure 4c

    Basis Hollow points show the published estimates.

  11. pp. 1146-1147, References

    Published

    Hainmueller, J, Mummolo, J, & Yiqing, X. (2019). How much should we trust estimates from multiplicative interaction models? Simple tools to improve empirical practice. Political Analysis, [...] Halpern, D., & Rodriguezm, P. (2018). Partisan representations: [...] Suhay, E., Bello-Pardo, E., & Maurer, B. (2017). The polarizing effects of online partisan criticism: Evidence from two experiments. International Journal of Press, 23(1), 95–115. Wyer, J., Robert, S., & Srull, T. K. (2014). Advances in social cognition: A dual process model of impression formation (Vol. I). Hove: Psychology Press.

    Correction

    Hainmueller, J., Mummolo, J., & Xu, Y. (2019). How much should we trust estimates from multiplicative interaction models? Simple tools to improve empirical practice. Political Analysis, 27(2), 163–192.

    Halpern, D., & Rodriguez, P. (2018). Partisan representations: [...]

    Suhay, E., Bello-Pardo, E., & Maurer, B. (2018). The polarizing effects of online partisan criticism: Evidence from two experiments. The International Journal of Press/Politics, 23(1), 95–115.

    Brewer, M. B. (1988). A dual process model of impression formation. In T. K. Srull & R. S. Wyer, Jr. (Eds.), Advances in social cognition (Vol. 1, pp. 1–36). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum. (Reissued 2014, Hove: Psychology Press.)

Supplementary information

  1. SI section 1, p. 3

    Published

    We determined, through pre-testing, that the mean allocation amount in trust games conducted in the US (approximately $4) is perceived as a negative result among those assigned to play as Player 2. [...] A sample of 2,229 users reviewed the same instructions [...] Participants completed the task four times (giving us a total of 9,196 observations).

    Correction

    We determined, through pre-testing, that the mean allocation amount in trust games conducted in the US (approximately $4) falls below “probably yes” on perceived trust among those assigned to play as Player 2 (mean 3.60 at $4). [...] A sample of 1,037 users reviewed the same instructions [...] Participants completed the task four times (giving us a total of 4,148 observations).

    Basis Counts are from the deposited pre-test file with the authors' filter (gc = 1). The published 2,229 and 9,196 are also inconsistent with each other: four ratings from 2,229 users would give 8,916 observations.

  2. SI p. 3, Figure A1

    Published

    Figure A1: Perceived Trust by Allocation Amount (From Player 1 to Player 2)

    Correction

    Corrected Figure A1. The published code recoded the response labels “Probably no” and “Definitely no”, but the data use “Probably not” and “Definitely not”, so all 726 ratings in the two lowest categories were dropped. With every response coded, mean trust at $0 is 2.05 (published curve: 3.61), and the curve crosses 4 at about $5.7 (published: $5.2). The selected positive values remain above 4 (4.14 at $7 and 4.26 at $8).

    Corrected figure for SI p. 3, Figure A1

    Basis Smoothed as in the published figure (a generalized additive model).

  3. SI Tables A1-A6 (Study 1 sample demographics)

    Published

    Tables A1-A6, including Table A6 (“Age”): mean 37.09.

    Correction

    Corrected Tables A1-A6, computed on the 1,697 respondents in the Study 1 analysis.

    Corrected Tables A1-A6: Study 1 analytic sample (N = 1,697).
    TableCategoryValue
    A1: GenderFemale0.39
    A1: GenderMale0.61
    A2: Race/EthnicityWhite/Caucasian0.86
    A2: Race/EthnicityAfrican American0.14
    A3: PartisanshipDemocrat0.49
    A3: PartisanshipRepublican0.51
    A4: IncomeLess than 30,0000.27
    A4: Income30,000-39,9990.14
    A4: Income40,000-49,9990.10
    A4: Income50,000-59,9990.11
    A4: Income60,000-69,9990.06
    A4: Income70,000-79,9990.07
    A4: Income80,000-89,9990.04
    A4: Income90,000-99,9990.04
    A4: Income100,000 or more0.16
    A5: EducationLess than High School0.02
    A5: EducationHigh School / GED0.21
    A5: EducationSome College0.28
    A5: Education2-year College Degree0.12
    A5: Education4-year College Degree0.24
    A5: EducationMasters Degree0.10
    A5: EducationDoctoral Degree0.01
    A5: EducationProfessional Degree (JD, MD)0.02
    A6: AgeMean49.91

    Basis The published tables describe 4,048 respondents before the analysis filters, and the published mean age uses Q13 + 2 although the authors' own recoding is Q13 + 16 (Q13 runs from 1 to 84).

  4. SI section 3.3, p. 11

    Published

    An index was created by generating a mean across the four items.

    Correction

    An index was created by generating a mean across the four items, coded so that higher values indicate more racial resentment (Cronbach's alpha = 0.81).

    Basis The published index (study1.R) counted one item twice, left out another and mixed item directions; its alpha is 0.03. Table A9 is re-estimated below.

  5. SI p. 12, Table A9

    Published

    Table A9, estimated with the published index; note: “p<0.1; *p<0.05; *p<0.01”.

    Correction

    Corrected Table A9. The interactions are −0.29 and −3.64 (joint p = .40), so racial resentment still does not moderate the treatment effect. Stars now use the cutoffs of the other tables.

    Corrected Table A9: four-item racial resentment index. Standard errors in parentheses; * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; * p<0.001.
    TermOut-Party Affect
    Positive Treatment10.283* (2.121)
    Racial Resentment Second Tercile9.426* (2.070)
    Racial Resentment Third Tercile3.039 (2.115)
    Positive Treatment X Racial Resentment Second Tercile−0.289 (3.002)
    Positive Treatment X Racial Resentment Third Tercile−3.640 (3.000)
    Constant30.758* (1.471)
    Observations1,693
  6. SI p. 14, Table A16 (Study 2 age)

    Published

    Table A16 (“Age”): mean 31.69.

    Correction

    Mean age 45.69.

    Basis Age is Q13 + 16, the recoding in the authors' demographic script. Tables A11-A15 are unchanged.

  7. SI pp. 16-17, Tables A18-A23 (Study 3 sample demographics)

    Published

    Tables A18-A23, including Table A19 (“Race/Ethnicity”): “African American” 0.10, “White/Caucasian” 0.90; Table A23 (“Age”): mean 34.83.

    Correction

    Corrected Tables A18-A23, computed on the 1,522 white and Black respondents in the corrected Study 3 analysis.

    Corrected Tables A18-A23: Study 3 analytic sample, white and Black respondents (N = 1,522).
    TableCategoryValue
    A18: GenderFemale0.43
    A18: GenderMale0.57
    A19: Race/EthnicityWhite/Caucasian0.89
    A19: Race/EthnicityAfrican American0.11
    A20: PartisanshipDemocrat0.52
    A20: PartisanshipRepublican0.48
    A21: IncomeLess than 30,0000.26
    A21: Income30,000-39,9990.12
    A21: Income40,000-49,9990.10
    A21: Income50,000-59,9990.13
    A21: Income60,000-69,9990.07
    A21: Income70,000-79,9990.07
    A21: Income80,000-89,9990.04
    A21: Income90,000-99,9990.04
    A21: Income100,000 or more0.18
    A22: EducationLess than High School0.02
    A22: EducationHigh School / GED0.23
    A22: EducationSome College0.26
    A22: Education2-year College Degree0.12
    A22: Education4-year College Degree0.23
    A22: EducationMasters Degree0.10
    A22: EducationDoctoral Degree0.01
    A22: EducationProfessional Degree (JD, MD)0.03
    A23: AgeMean49.55

    Basis The published tables describe 5,126 respondents before the analysis filters, and the published mean age uses Q13 + 2.

  8. SI p. 18, Table A24

    Published

    Table A24, estimated on 1,814 respondents (row “Positive Treatment X Player 1 and Participant Same Race”: −4.943 for out-race affect).

    Correction

    Corrected Table A24, white and Black respondents. The out-race interaction is −7.769.

    Corrected Table A24: white and Black respondents. Estimates with standard errors in parentheses.
    TermOut-Race AffectOut-Party Affect
    Positive Treatment11.484 (1.513)19.460 (1.842)
    Player 1 and Participant Same Race3.922 (1.558)0.253 (1.897)
    Participant Party - Republican2.679 (1.089)5.171 (1.325)
    Positive Treatment X Player 1 and Participant Same Race−7.769 (2.178)−1.734 (2.651)
    (intercept)53.611 (1.202)30.615 (1.463)
    Observations1,5221,522
    R20.0440.124
  9. SI p. 19, Table A25

    Published

    Table A25, columns 3 (“Democrats”, N = 1,002) and 4 (“Republicans”, N = 812).

    Correction

    Corrected columns 3 and 4, white and Black respondents. Columns 1 (Whites) and 2 (Blacks) are unchanged.

    Corrected Table A25, columns 3 and 4: white and Black respondents. 95% confidence intervals in parentheses.
    ColumnPositive TreatmentConstantObservations
    Democrats7.248 (4.290, 10.206)55.769 (53.662, 57.877)792
    Republicans8.267 (5.154, 11.379)57.932 (55.692, 60.171)730