Skip to content

Mississippi’s 3rd

U.S. House · 738,402 people

president 2024 (2024 lines)
R +29.2

The district

The same lines in 2024 and 2026. First used in 2022.

The district in the page colour, the districts around it in outline (each links to its page), and the counties it takes in by 2020 population.

Congressional District 3

As drawn for 2024; these lines were first used in 2022

In the state

Mississippi’s 1stMississippi’s 4thMississippi’s 2ndMississippi’s 3rd

Counties

Counties in the district by 2020 population
CountyOf the districtOf the county
Rankin County21%100%
Madison County11%77%
Lauderdale County9.9%100%
Oktibbeha County6.6%94%
Pike County5.5%100%

Boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files (2025; 2026 lines from TIGER/Line 2026).

Back to topNext: Who holds it

Who holds it

Michael Guest (R) holds the seat. 1,059 statements classified this term.

The member’s profile has what they say, how they vote, their ideology and the money they raise.

CSIP 1.08: the lab’s ideology score from roll calls, donations and text; 0 is the centre of the scale.

Back to topNext: Elections

Elections

2026: Michael Guest (R) is projected to win by 16.8 points. Unofficial, about 95% counted.

The 2026 count comes from Candidates in American General Elections (CAGE), entered from NYT and NBC reporting until the results are certified; earlier results from MIT Election Data and Science Lab, only for elections held on these lines. The 2026 race page has the candidates, what they say and their money.

2026

General election

2026 general election: candidates by votes
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Michael GuestcalledincumbentR143,57857.8%
Michael ChiaradioD101,88241.0%
Erik KiehleLbt3,1271.3%

Unofficial: about 95% of the expected vote counted; called by a network. Source: CAGE.

Earlier results

Since 2022

2024 general election

2024 general election: candidates by votes
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Michael GuestwonR265,159100.0%

Certified results. Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab.

2022 general election

2022 general election: candidates by votes
CandidatePartyVotesShare
Michael GuestwonR132,48170.7%
Shuwaski A YoungD54,80329.3%

Certified results. Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab.

How the district voted for president

Shares of all votes cast

Presidential vote in the district
Year, linesDemocraticRepublicanMargin
2024, 2024 lines34.9%64.1%R +29.2
2024, 2026 lines34.9%64.1%R +29.2
2020, 2024 lines37.2%61.5%R +24.3
2020, 2026 lines37.2%61.5%R +24.3

Presidential results by district: The Downballot. Shown here with its credit; its terms keep it out of the bulk files and the API.

Back to topNext: Who lives there

Who lives there

Who lives in Mississippi’s 3rd district, beside Mississippi.

From the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey; ± is the 90 percent margin of error.

The district at a glance

Congressional District 3 (119th Congress): the district as drawn for 2024

People

738,402

±2,833 (an estimate)

Median age

38.6

±0.2 · Mississippi 38.6

Median household income

$60,128

±$972 · Mississippi $56,447

Race and ethnicity

Share of everyone; Hispanic or Latino people may be of any race, the other groups are not Hispanic

Show the data
Race and ethnicity: district beside Mississippi
PartDistrictMississippi
White58.4%55.2%
Black33.4%36.3%
Hispanic or Latino3.0%3.7%
Asian1.2%1.0%
Another race or more than one4.0%3.7%

Age, schooling, income and place

District over Mississippi; ± is the 90 percent margin of error

0%
District
Mississippi
±
Aged 65 and over
17.4%
17.2%
±0.3
Bachelor’s degree or moreadults 25 and over
28.9%
25.1%
±0.6
Below the poverty line
18.0%
18.9%
±0.7
Born outside the U.S.
2.4%
2.4%
±0.1
Veteranscivilian adults
6.1%
6.8%
±0.3
Living in rural areas2020 Census
58.5%
53.7%
Show the data
Shares of people: district beside Mississippi
RowDistrictMississippi
Aged 65 and over17.4%17.2%
Bachelor’s degree or more (adults 25+)28.9%25.1%
Below the poverty line18.0%18.9%
Born outside the U.S.2.4%2.4%
Veterans (adults)6.1%6.8%
Living in rural areas (2020 Census)58.5%53.7%

Source: ACS 2020–2024 5-year estimates (Census Bureau); rural share from the 2020 Census.

About these figures

The figures from the American Community Survey are estimates from a sample, not a count. The ± beside each is its 90 percent margin of error: nine times in ten the true value lies within that range. In small districts the margins are wide, so a gap of a few points from Mississippi may be noise. Shares are of everyone in the district, except education (adults 25 and over), poverty (people whose poverty status is known) and veterans (civilian adults).

These are the Census Bureau’s own estimates for the district; margins on shares are approximated from the counts’ margins.

The rural share counts the people living outside the urban areas the Census Bureau drew from the 2020 Census; it is a count, with no margin of error.

Back to topNext: Threats

Threats

No federal prosecution for threatening the district’s member has been announced.

Prosecutions the Justice Department announced in a press release, tied to the member by name and office: not every threat. See Political Violence.

Back to topNext: Files and sources

Files and sources

Everything here is in the House districts file and the data API.

The House districts file has one row per district and map with its boundaries; the API serves this district at /v1/districts/MS/cd/3. Sources: the Census Bureau and Geocorr (people, boundaries, counties), CAGE and MIT Election Data and Science Lab (results), the Justice Department (threats), The Downballot (the presidential vote, on this page only). Credits and terms are on Open data.

Back to top