Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Oct 19, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues · Source
3.3%
of statements discuss policy, in the bottom 5% of State House Republicans
3.3% of 2,610 statements discuss policy (86 statements); the average for State House Republicans is 32%. Ranks 752nd of 791, where 1st is the highest rate.
An AI model reads each of Carbaugh’s posts on X and marks whether it discusses a specific policy. The rate is the share of statements marked; it is compared with the average among State House Republicans and ranked against the same group.
At a glance
6 measures against State House Republicans. 1.1% of Carbaugh’s statements claim credit, in the bottom quarter of State House Republicans (average 13%). 1.1% of Carbaugh’s statements criticize a policy, in the bottom quarter of State House Republicans (average 9.3%).
The measures on which Carbaugh sits furthest from the middle of State House Republicans, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Policy discussion
3.3%
State House Republicans average 32% · ranks 752nd of 791
Credit claiming
1.1%
State House Republicans average 13% · ranks 707th of 791
Policy criticism
1.1%
State House Republicans average 9.3% · ranks 649th of 791
Out of committee
72%
Indiana House average 46% · ranks 18th of 99
Itemized, 2026
$106.0K
State House Republicans’ median $33.7K · ranks 495th of 2,521
CSIP ideology
+0.48
Right of 0, the centre of the scale · ± 0.06
Peer group: State House Republicans. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Carbaugh, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Carbaugh is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Carbaugh says
Carbaugh claims credit less than 89% of State House Republicans. Credit claiming in 1.1% of 2,610 statements, against 13% for the average State House Republican; 707th of 791.
An AI model reads each of Carbaugh’s 2,610 statements in the IN 2025–26 session (2,610 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Republicans and ranked among them.
Kinds of statement
Share of statements carrying each label, the IN 2025–26 session
0%80%
Carbaugh
Peers
Rank
Personal attacks104 statements
4%
3%
195th of 791
Policy discussion86 statements
3%
32%
752nd of 791
Policy criticism29 statements
1%
9%
649th of 791
Credit claiming28 statements
1%
13%
707th of 791
Bipartisanship6 statements
0%
2%
537th of 791
Show the data
| Row | Carbaugh | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Personal attacks | 4% | 3% |
| Policy discussion | 3% | 32% |
| Policy criticism | 1% | 9% |
| Credit claiming | 1% | 13% |
| Bipartisanship | 0% | 2% |
2,610
statements classified
2,610 posts on X.
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 2,610 |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is Carbaugh; the thin grey bar is the average State House Republicans. A longer thick bar means Carbaugh does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Extreme labels
Carbaugh used extreme labels in 0.5% of statements, 38% of the peer average. 14 statements, most often aimed at far left; peers 1.4%.
- “communist”3
- “MAGA”2
- “far left”2
- “woke”2
- “radical”1
Who gets the labels
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
- far left2
- Democratic Socialism1
- Democratic Socialist1
- MAGA1
- MAGAScotty1
What an extreme label is
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Month by month
Share of statements per month, the IN 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Column | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming | Extreme labels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan ’25 | 32 | 15.6% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Feb ’25 | 97 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Mar ’25 | 29 | 3.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Apr ’25 | 48 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| May ’25 | 147 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Jun ’25 | 255 | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’25 | 90 | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Aug ’25 | 220 | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sep ’25 | 232 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 1.3% |
| Oct ’25 | 167 | 3.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nov ’25 | 207 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| Dec ’25 | 102 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan ’26 | 86 | 1.2% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Feb ’26 | 45 | 0.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Mar ’26 | 98 | 4.1% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Apr ’26 | 50 | 0.0% | 4.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| May ’26 | 105 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jun ’26 | 113 | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’26 | 112 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.8% |
| Aug ’26 | 167 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% |
| Sep ’26 | 176 | 16.5% | 0.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| Oct ’26 | 32 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
How to read the strips
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the IN 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%.
In Carbaugh’s words
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Credit claiming
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Aug 23, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; credit claiming; Emergency Management; Energy · Source
Extreme label
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Sep 20, 2026 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Health; Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues; extreme label “far left” aimed at far left, Talarico · Source
Examples by category
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: Greg WalkerSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: TuckSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: Matt LaFleurSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: TuckerSource
Posts on X (state legislators)
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
personal attacks · target: MattSource
All 2,610 statements
Newest first, the IN 2025–26 session
The full feed
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 2,610 posts on X.
Policy
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues is what Carbaugh talks about most: 27% of policy statements, 4.4 times the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.48 on a 0–1 scale (State House Republicans average 0.53; 344th of 504).
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Carbaugh talks about. The bills Carbaugh sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
What Carbaugh talks about
Share of policy statements by area, the IN 2025–26 session
0%40%
Carbaugh
Peers
Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues23 statements
27%
6%
Government Operations and Politics21 statements
25%
18%
Health15 statements
18%
10%
Economics and Public Finance8 statements
10%
12%
Education8 statements
10%
15%
Show the data
| Row | Carbaugh | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 27% | 6% |
| Government Operations and Politics | 25% | 18% |
| Health | 18% | 10% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 10% | 12% |
| Education | 10% | 15% |
How to read the bars
The thick bar is the share of Carbaugh’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Republicans. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Talks about · legislates on
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 40%. Grey ticks are the State House Republicans averages.
Show the data
| Area | Talks about | State House Republicans, talks about | Legislates on | State House Republicans, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 27% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Government Operations and Politics | 25% | 18% | 6% | 12% |
| Health | 18% | 10% | 37% | 10% |
| Economics and Public Finance | 10% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Education | 10% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
0.48
talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1
State House Republicans average 0.53. Ranks 344th of 504.
What agreement means, and what it doesn’t
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Carbaugh legislates on exactly the areas Carbaugh talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Carbaugh sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology
Carbaugh sits at +0.48 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more conservative than 71% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.42 to +0.54, which understates the uncertainty; from 83 donors and 571 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
+0.48
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range +0.42 to +0.54. From 83 donors and 571 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Carbaugh, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Carbaugh’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Carbaugh sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
State House Republicans2,917 · median +0.4
Indiana House100 · median +0.4
All State House5,324 · median +0.1
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Carbaugh |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Republicans | 2917 | +0.4 | 71% |
| Indiana House | 100 | +0.4 | 73% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 84% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Carbaugh in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Carbaugh.
Money
Carbaugh reported $106.0K in the 2026 cycle, 3.1 times the State House Republicans’ median of $33.7K. State filings report no small-donation total. 97% of itemized individual money came from Indiana.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
$106.0K
itemized in the 2026 cycle
From 33 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $33.7K.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)6 squares$6,650
- PACs and other committees94 squares$99.4K
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $6,650 | 6.3% |
| PACs and other committees | $99.4K | 93.7% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2026.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2020 cycle | $363.6K |
| 2022 cycle | $310.7K |
| 2024 cycle | $144.8K |
| 2026 cycle | $106.0K |
Top donor states, 2026
Itemized contributions by donor state. 97% came from Indiana.
- Indiana$6,450
- Illinois$200
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| Indiana | $6,450 |
| Illinois | $200 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| California | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
33
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
97%
from Indiana
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Indiana. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No occupations reported.
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.
- INDIANA REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$18.5K
- INSURANCE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$5,000
- CVS HEALTH PAC$4,300
- INDIANA MERIT CONSTRUCTION PAC OF ABC$3,000
- INDIANA MLH TI FARM Y HOUSING PAC$3,000
Top employers
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
Carbaugh voted with the majority of Indiana House Republicans on 99.0% of party-line votes and missed 7.9% of 908 roll calls. Indiana House on average: 95.2% party unity, 91.6% attendance. Across all roll calls, Carbaugh voted against the majority of Indiana House Republicans 19 times.
908 roll calls Carbaugh could vote on in the IN 2025–26 session, compared with Indiana House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Carbaugh voted with the majority of Indiana House Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
19
votes against the majority of Indiana House Republicans
Party unity 99.0%, Indiana House average 95.2%, ranks 24th of 100. 908 roll calls in the IN 2025–26 session.
Attendance and party unity
The thick bar is Carbaugh, the thin grey bar the Indiana House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.
80%100%
Carbaugh
Peers
Rank
Attendance
92.0%
91.6%
67th of 100
Party unity
99.0%
95.2%
24th of 100
Show the data
| Row | Carbaugh | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 92.0% | 91.6% |
| Party unity | 99.0% | 95.2% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
Key votes
25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the IN 2025–26 session
| Party split (yea–nay) | Why it’s key | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 0–29 · R 62–2 · I 0–1Democrats 0 yea, 29 nay; Republicans 62 yea, 2 nay; Independents 0 yea, 1 nay | became law | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 29–0 · R 65–0 · I 1–0Democrats 29 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 65 yea, 0 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | became law | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 30–0 · R 65–0 · I 1–0Democrats 30 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 65 yea, 0 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | became law | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 26–3 · R 65–0 · I 1–0Democrats 26 yea, 3 nay; Republicans 65 yea, 0 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | became law · party crossover | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 30–0 · R 65–0 · I 1–0Democrats 30 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 65 yea, 0 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | became law |
How key votes are chosen
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
Votes most often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Carbaugh most often
- Dale DeVonR820 shared votes98%
- Joanna KingR728 shared votes98%
- David AbbottR799 shared votes98%
- Julie McGuireR793 shared votes98%
- Jeff ThompsonR786 shared votes98%
Votes least often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Carbaugh least often
- Ryan DvorakD741 shared votes55%
- Ragen HatcherD656 shared votes55%
- John BartlettD806 shared votes56%
- Reneé PackD390 shared votes56%
- Gregory PorterD789 shared votes57%
How to read the agreement lists
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
Full voting record
IN 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Legislation
Carbaugh sponsored 18 bills in the IN 2025–26 session; 8 became law. Cosponsored 40 others. 72% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Indiana House average 46%; 18th of 99).
The bills Carbaugh sponsored and cosponsored in the IN 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the IN 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 18 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| Cosponsored | 40 | 40 | 31 | 23 | 16 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Carbaugh sponsored, ochre blocks bills Carbaugh cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
72%
of sponsored bills got out of committee
Indiana House average 46%. Ranks 18th of 99.
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Carbaugh, by number of shared bills in the IN 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Julie McGuire13
- Lonnie Randolph10
- Brad Barrett8
- Ed Charbonneau7
- Liz Brown7
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Carbaugh’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HR 51 | Honoring Officer Brian Elliott | Cosponsor | Feb 25, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Unassigned | First reading: adopted Feb 25, 2026 |
| HR 50 | Reaffirming the commitment of sister ties between Indiana and Taiwan. | Cosponsor | Feb 23, 2026 | Passed one chamber | International Affairs(model) | Authored by Representative Lauer Feb 23, 2026 |
| HCR 23 | Congratulating Michelin North America, Inc., upon the occasion of the 65th anniversary of its BFGoodrich tire production facility in Fort Wayne, Indiana. | Cosponsor | Feb 18, 2026 | Passed both chambers | Unassigned | Returned to the House Feb 24, 2026 |
| HR 28 | Recognizing the seriousness of the U.S. national debt and its threat to national security. | Cosponsor | Feb 5, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Economics and Public Finance(model) | Representative Borders added as coauthor Feb 18, 2026 |
| SCR 8 | Recognizing the Indiana horse racing industry. | Cosponsor | Jan 22, 2026 | Passed both chambers | Unassigned | Representatives Pierce K, Criswell, Culp, May, McNamara, King, Dant Chesser, Wesco, Isa, Harris, Bartlett, Novak R, Lucas, Lawson, Morris, VanNatter, Jackson C, Moed, Davis, Mayfield, Miller D, Pryor, Zimmerman, Judy, Bartels, Aylesworth, Genda, GiaQuinta, Carbaugh added as cosponsors Feb 9, 2026 |
Online
A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Carbaugh’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Carbaugh’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Carbaugh posts with a vision model.
Websites
Official site
iga.in.gov/legislative/2024/legislators/legislator_martin_carbaugh_1125Last crawled Oct 1, 2026
1pages crawled
1changes in 90 days
- 1
pages crawled
0changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
Images Carbaugh posted
No images from Carbaugh’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
86 turns, Jan 28, 2020 to Feb 24, 2026
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Carbaugh is most unusual among State House Republicans, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- 1b9ddafb-fca9-4924-b565-d651c2ca133b
- Open States
- ocd-person/1b9ddafb-fca9-4924-b565-d651c2ca133b
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab