Party unity 94.1%, in the bottom quarter of the New Hampshire House (average 95.3%). 557 roll calls in the NH 2025–26 session.
Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Bailey voted with the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans; it is ranked within the New Hampshire House. The count covers every roll call where Bailey voted opposite that majority.
At a glance
4 measures against the New Hampshire House. Bailey sits at +0.19 on the CSIP scale, more liberal than 76% of State House Republicans. Bailey reported $1,126 in the 2020 cycle, in the bottom half of State House Republicans (median $1,350).
The measures on which Bailey sits furthest from the middle of the New Hampshire House, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
Attendance
New Hampshire House average 89% · ranks 23rd of 382 · 557 roll calls
Party unity
New Hampshire House average 95.3% · ranks 314th of 381 · 42 votes against the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans
CSIP ideology
More liberal than 76% of State House Republicans · ± 0.03
Itemized, 2020
State House Republicans’ median $1,350 · ranks 6th of 10
Statements
Roll calls
Compared with New Hampshire House
Peer group: New Hampshire House. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Bailey, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Bailey is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
What Bailey says
No statements for the NH 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.
Policy
No policy statements for the NH 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.
Ideology
Bailey sits at +0.19 on the CSIP scale, right of 0, more liberal than 76% of State House Republicans. Approximate range +0.16 to +0.22, which understates the uncertainty; from 1 donors and 900 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range +0.16 to +0.22. From 1 donors and 900 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Bailey, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Bailey’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Where Bailey sits
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
Show the data
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Bailey |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Republicans | 2917 | +0.4 | 24% |
| New Hampshire House | 382 | 0.0 | 92% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 58% |
How to read the strips
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Bailey in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Bailey.
Money
Bailey reported $1,126 in the 2020 cycle, below the State House Republicans’ median of $1,350. State filings report no small-donation total. 100% of itemized individual money came from New Hampshire.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
itemized in the 2020 cycle
From 1 itemized donors. State House Republicans’ median $1,350.
Where the money came from
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2020 cycle.
- Individuals (itemized)64 squares$726
- PACs and other committees36 squares$400
Show the data
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $726 | 64.5% |
| PACs and other committees | $400 | 35.5% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Receipts by cycle
Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2020. The grey line is the State House Republicans’ median for 2020.
Show the data
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2020 cycle | $1,126 |
Top donor states, 2020
Itemized contributions by donor state. 100% came from New Hampshire.
- New Hampshire$726
Small donations
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Where itemized donors live
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
Show the data
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| New Hampshire | $726 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| New Jersey | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| California | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
from New Hampshire
Of itemized individual dollars
How to read the map
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is New Hampshire. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Top donor occupations
Itemized, 2020 cycle.
No occupations reported.
Top committees
PAC and committee contributions, 2020 cycle.
- GET INVOLVED PAC$200
- MIKE SYLVIA$100
- NHLA$100
Top employers
Itemized, 2020 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Votes
Bailey voted with the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans on 94.1% of party-line votes and missed none of 557 roll calls. New Hampshire House on average: 95.3% party unity, 89% attendance. Across all roll calls, Bailey voted against the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans 42 times.
557 roll calls Bailey could vote on in the NH 2025–26 session, compared with New Hampshire House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Bailey voted with the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
votes against the majority of New Hampshire House Republicans
Party unity 94.1%, New Hampshire House average 95.3%, ranks 314th of 381. 557 roll calls in the NH 2025–26 session.
Attendance and party unity
The thick bar is Bailey, the thin grey bar the New Hampshire House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.
Show the data
| Row | Bailey | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 100% | 89% |
| Party unity | 94.1% | 95.3% |
What this means, and what it doesn’t
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
Key votes
25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the NH 2025–26 session
| Party split (yea–nay) | Why it’s key | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | HB 2026 relative to the state 10-year transportation improvement plan; relative to toll rate adjustments and periodic toll reviews for the New Hampshire turnpike system to support the 2027-2036 ten-year transportation plan; and relative to reconstruction of the Gregg Mill Road Bridge in the town of New Bost Veto Override | Nay | Against majority | pass | D 143–0 · R 148–25 · I 1–0Democrats 143 yea, 0 nay; Republicans 148 yea, 25 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | party crossover |
| Aug 19, 2026 | HB 1358 establishing a commission to study transitioning all public schools to public charter schools. Veto Override | Yea | With majority | fail | D 0–143 · R 149–23 · I 1–0Democrats 0 yea, 143 nay; Republicans 149 yea, 23 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | close vote · party crossover |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 0–139 · R 161–9 · I 1–0Democrats 0 yea, 139 nay; Republicans 161 yea, 9 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | close vote | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Yea | With majority | pass | D 0–142 · R 158–13 · I 1–0Democrats 0 yea, 142 nay; Republicans 158 yea, 13 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | close vote | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | HB 1726 relative to the sale of surplus state-owned land and establishing a commission to study the sale of state-owned property. Veto Override | Nay | Against majority | fail | D 2–135 · R 98–71 · I 1–0Democrats 2 yea, 135 nay; Republicans 98 yea, 71 nay; Independents 1 yea, 0 nay | party crossover |
How key votes are chosen
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
Votes most often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Bailey most often
- Tom MannionR557 shared votes96%
- Julius SotiR551 shared votes96%
- Mark WardenR442 shared votes96%
- Sam FarringtonR557 shared votes95%
- Calvin BeaulierR556 shared votes95%
Votes least often with
The colleagues who voted the same way as Bailey least often
- Loren SeligD441 shared votes7.7%
- Catherine SofikitisD314 shared votes8.0%
- Erica de VriesD498 shared votes8.8%
- Thomas OppelD520 shared votes9.0%
- Linda Harriott-GathrightD491 shared votes9.6%
How to read the agreement lists
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
Full voting record
NH 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Legislation
Bailey sponsored 2 bills in the NH 2025–26 session; none became law. Cosponsored 20 others.
The bills Bailey sponsored and cosponsored in the NH 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Bills by stage
Counts for the NH 2025–26 session
Show the data
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cosponsored | 20 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
How to read the blocks
Ink blocks are bills Bailey sponsored, ochre blocks bills Bailey cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
No effectiveness score.Too few sponsored bills to score (at least 5 are needed).
Cosponsorship partners
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Bailey, by number of shared bills in the NH 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
- Susan DeRoy13
- Claudine Burnham12
- Kelley Potenza11
- Matt Sabourin dit Choinière8
- Diane Kelley8
What this means, and what it doesn’t
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Bailey’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Bill list
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HB 1825 | relative to the regulation of the practice of law, establishing an independent legal licensing board, and making an appropriation therefor. | Cosponsor | Dec 18, 2025 | In committee | Law(model) | Inexpedient to Legislate: MA VV 02/19/2026 HJ 5 P. 27 Feb 19, 2026 |
| HB 1746 | subjecting taxpayer funded investigations to the right-to-know law. | Cosponsor | Dec 17, 2025 | In committee | Government Operations and Politics(model) | Interim Study Report: Not Recommended for Future Legislation 10/05/2026 (Vote 12-1; ) Oct 6, 2026 |
| HB 1670 | relative to organized retail crime. | Cosponsor | Dec 12, 2025 | In committee | Crime and Law Enforcement(model) | Executive Session: 09/16/2026 10:00 am GP 232 Oct 14, 2026 |
| HB 1501 | limiting judicial immunity. | Cosponsor | Dec 10, 2025 | In committee | Law(model) | Inexpedient to Legislate: MA DV 261-94 02/12/2026 HJ 4 P. 41 Feb 12, 2026 |
| HB 1615 | permitting consenting adults to enter into contract-based marriage agreements as an alternative to the requirement of a marriage license. | Cosponsor | Dec 10, 2025 | In committee | Families(model) | Inexpedient to Legislate: MA VV 02/05/2026 HJ 3 P. 12 Feb 5, 2026 |
Online
A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Bailey’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.
The lab crawls Bailey’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Bailey posts with a vision model.
Websites
Official site
www.gencourt.state.nh.us/house/members/member.aspx?member=409046Last crawled Oct 1, 2026
1pages crawled
1changes in 90 days
How to read the counts
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
Social accounts
Images Bailey posted
No images from Bailey’s posts have been described.
About the descriptions
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
State floor speeches
No transcribed state floor speeches are matched to this legislator yet.
Floor speeches
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
Methods and sources
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline
The headline is the measure on which Bailey is most unusual among New Hampshire House, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Identifiers
- Profile id
- 56f58b74-b3b6-4f73-ad18-15af5119c4bc
- Open States
- ocd-person/56f58b74-b3b6-4f73-ad18-15af5119c4bc
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
Freshness of this profile’s data
- What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
- Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
- Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
- Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
- Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
- WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
- State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.
How the measures work
- What politicians say
- Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
- Extreme labels
- A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
- Policy areas and agreement
- Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
- Ideology (CSIP)
- Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
- Campaign money
- Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
- Votes and key votes
- Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
- Peers and ranks
- Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab