Skip to content

Democrat · Arizona House, district 11

Serving since Apr 17, 2024AZ 2025–26 session

Portrait of Junelle Cavero, rendered as a two-tone print
Official portrait
0%
of sponsored bills got out of committee, in the bottom tenth of the Arizona House

0% of 18 sponsored bills got out of committee; the average for the Arizona House is 34%. Ranks 53rd of 56, where 1st is the highest share.

The share of bills Cavero sponsored that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, ranked within the Arizona House. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position as well as effort.

At a glance

6 measures against the Arizona House. 75% of Cavero’s itemized money in the 2026 cycle came from Arizona, in the bottom quarter of State House Democrats. Cavero missed 13% of 1,672 roll calls, attendance in the bottom quarter of the Arizona House (average 93.0%).

The measures on which Cavero sits furthest from the middle of the Arizona House, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.

Out of committee

0%

Arizona House average 34% · ranks 53rd of 56

From Arizona, 2026

75%

Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 1609th of 1,983 State House Democrats

Attendance

87%

Arizona House average 93.0% · ranks 48th of 60 · 1,672 roll calls

Party unity

92.9%

Arizona House average 93.3% · ranks 40th of 60 · 74 votes against the majority of Arizona House Democrats

Itemized, 2026

$26.2K

State House Democrats’ median $40.4K · ranks 1246th of 2,082

CSIP ideology

−0.62

More conservative than 51% of State House Democrats · ± 0.05

Peer group: Arizona House. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Cavero, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Cavero is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).

Back to topNext: What politicians say

What Cavero says

No statements for the AZ 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.

Back to topNext: Policy

Policy

No policy statements for the AZ 2025–26 session.No classified statements (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) in this time window.

Back to topNext: Ideology

Ideology

Cavero sits at −0.62 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more conservative than 51% of State House Democrats. Approximate range −0.67 to −0.57, which understates the uncertainty; from 448 donors and 289 roll calls.

CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.

−0.62

CSIP ideal point

Approximate range −0.67 to −0.57. From 448 donors and 289 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.

← More liberalMore conservative →0Cavero −0.6State House Democrats −0.6Arizona House +0.2All State House +0.1

The outlined dot is Cavero, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Cavero’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.

What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.

Where Cavero sits

Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale

−2.0−1.00.0+1.0+2.0← More liberalMore conservative →State House Democratsmedian −0.6Cavero −0.6Arizona Housemedian +0.2All State Housemedian +0.1
Show the data
Cavero's CSIP score of −0.62 placed against State House Democrats, Arizona House, All State House.
GroupOfficialsMedianShare left of Cavero
State House Democrats2392−0.651%
Arizona House60+0.230%
All State House5324+0.123%
How to read the strips

Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Cavero in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Cavero.

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Cavero reported $26.2K in the 2026 cycle, below the State House Democrats’ median of $40.4K. State filings report no small-donation total. 75% of itemized individual money came from Arizona.

Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.

Election cycle
$26.2K

itemized in the 2026 cycle

From 58 itemized donors. State House Democrats’ median $40.4K.

Where the money came from

Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.

Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)Individuals (itemized): $13.7K (52.1%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)PACs and other committees: $12.6K (47.9%)
  • Individuals (itemized)52 squares$13.7K
  • PACs and other committees48 squares$12.6K
Show the data
Sources of Cavero's money, 2026 cycle, one square per percent
SourceAmountShare
Individuals (itemized)$13.7K52.1%
PACs and other committees$12.6K47.9%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.

Receipts by cycle

Itemized contributions, 2022 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Democrats’ median for 2026.

2022 cycle: $113.9K$113.9K20222024 cycle: $63.3K$63.3K20242026 cycle: $26.2K$26.2K2026State House Democrats median $40.4K
Show the data
Cavero's receipts by cycle against the 2026 State House Democrats median.
ItemValue
2022 cycle$113.9K
2024 cycle$63.3K
2026 cycle$26.2K

Top donor states, 2026

Itemized contributions by donor state. 75% came from Arizona.

  1. Arizona$10.3K
  2. District of Columbia$1,750
  3. Maryland$800
  4. New York$500
  5. California$120

Small donations

State filings report no total for small gifts.

Not reported in state filings.

Where itemized donors live

Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state

Alaska: no dataAKMaine: no dataMEVermont: no dataVTNew Hampshire: no dataNHWashington: no dataWAIdaho: no dataIDMontana: no dataMTNorth Dakota: no dataNDMinnesota: no dataMNIllinois: no dataILWisconsin: no dataWIMichigan: no dataMINew York: $500NYRhode Island: no dataRIMassachusetts: no dataMAOregon: no dataORNevada: no dataNVWyoming: no dataWYSouth Dakota: no dataSDIowa: no dataIAIndiana: no dataINOhio: no dataOHPennsylvania: no dataPANew Jersey: no dataNJConnecticut: no dataCTCalifornia: $120CAUtah: no dataUTColorado: $100CONebraska: no dataNEMissouri: no dataMOKentucky: no dataKYWest Virginia: no dataWVVirginia: $111VAMaryland: $800MDDelaware: no dataDEArizona: $10.3KAZNew Mexico: no dataNMKansas: no dataKSArkansas: no dataARTennessee: no dataTNNorth Carolina: no dataNCSouth Carolina: no dataSCDistrict of Columbia: $1,750DCOklahoma: no dataOKLouisiana: no dataLAMississippi: no dataMSAlabama: no dataALGeorgia: no dataGAHawaii: no dataHITexas: no dataTXFlorida: no dataFL
Show the data
Cavero's itemized individual contributions by donor state, 2026 cycle
StateValue
Arizona$10.3K
District of Columbia$1,750
Maryland$800
New York$500
California$120
Virginia$111
Colorado$100
AlaskaNo data
MaineNo data
VermontNo data
New HampshireNo data
WashingtonNo data
IdahoNo data
MontanaNo data
North DakotaNo data
MinnesotaNo data
IllinoisNo data
WisconsinNo data
MichiganNo data
Rhode IslandNo data
MassachusettsNo data
OregonNo data
NevadaNo data
WyomingNo data
South DakotaNo data
IowaNo data
IndianaNo data
OhioNo data
PennsylvaniaNo data
New JerseyNo data
ConnecticutNo data
UtahNo data
NebraskaNo data
MissouriNo data
KentuckyNo data
West VirginiaNo data
DelawareNo data
New MexicoNo data
KansasNo data
ArkansasNo data
TennesseeNo data
North CarolinaNo data
South CarolinaNo data
OklahomaNo data
LouisianaNo data
MississippiNo data
AlabamaNo data
GeorgiaNo data
HawaiiNo data
TexasNo data
FloridaNo data
58

itemized donors

People who gave more than $200

75%

from Arizona

Of itemized individual dollars

How to read the map

Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Arizona. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.

Top donor occupations

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. CEO$1,250 4 donors
  2. ATTORNEY$950 5 donors
  3. CONSULTANT$900 4 donors
  4. PARTNER$650 3 donors
  5. LOBBYIST$350 4 donors

Top committees

PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.

  1. PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION PAC$1,500
  2. ARIZONANS FOR A BETTER FUTURE$1,000
  3. HBI INTERNATIONAL$1,000
  4. INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL AIR RAIL TRANSPORTATION WORKERS LOCAL PAC-201600241$1,000
  5. PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION PAC - FEC C00015933$1,000

Top employers

Itemized, 2026 cycle.

  1. VERIDUS$750 5 donors
  2. LOBBYIST$350 3 donors

Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.

Back to topNext: Votes

Votes

Cavero voted with the majority of Arizona House Democrats on 92.9% of party-line votes and missed 13% of 1,672 roll calls. Arizona House on average: 93.3% party unity, 93.0% attendance. Across all roll calls, Cavero voted against the majority of Arizona House Democrats 74 times.

1,672 roll calls Cavero could vote on in the AZ 2025–26 session, compared with Arizona House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Cavero voted with the majority of Arizona House Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.

74

votes against the majority of Arizona House Democrats

Party unity 92.9%, Arizona House average 93.3%, ranks 40th of 60. 1,672 roll calls in the AZ 2025–26 session.

Attendance and party unity

The thick bar is Cavero, the thin grey bar the Arizona House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.

80%100%
Cavero
Peers
Rank
Attendance
87%
93.0%
48th of 60
Party unity
92.9%
93.3%
40th of 60
Show the data
Cavero's attendance and party unity against Arizona House.
RowCaveroPeers
Attendance87%93.0%
Party unity92.9%93.3%
What this means, and what it doesn’t

A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.

Key votes

25 roll calls the lab flagged as key in the AZ 2025–26 session

Key votes
Party split (yea–nay)Why it’s key
Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2040
minimum wage; exception; homeless
Passed
NayWith majoritypassD 0–22 · R 31–0Democrats 0 yea, 22 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naymuch discussed
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2397
homeowners' associations; property covenants; disclosures
Passed
YeaWith majoritypassD 17–5 · R 30–0Democrats 17 yea, 5 nay; Republicans 30 yea, 0 naybecame law · party crossover
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2321
DCS; credit freeze; consumer reporting
Passed
NayWith majoritypassD 2–20 · R 31–0Democrats 2 yea, 20 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naybecame law
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2398
watercraft; insurance requirements; penalties
failed to pass
NayWith majorityfailD 2–20 · R 19–12Democrats 2 yea, 20 nay; Republicans 19 yea, 12 nayparty crossover
Jun 13, 2026
HB 2406
department of veterans' services; study
Passed
NayWith majoritypassD 5–17 · R 31–0Democrats 5 yea, 17 nay; Republicans 31 yea, 0 naybecame law · party crossover
How key votes are chosen

Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.

Votes most often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Cavero most often

  1. Lupe ContrerasD1,365 shared votes96%
  2. Janeen ConnollyD1,358 shared votes94%
  3. Patty ContrerasD1,423 shared votes93%
  4. Stephanie Stahl HamiltonD1,378 shared votes93%
  5. Oscar De Los SantosD1,148 shared votes93%

Votes least often with

The colleagues who voted the same way as Cavero least often

  1. Joseph ChaplikR723 shared votes34%
  2. Rachel KeshelR1,385 shared votes36%
  3. Alex KolodinR1,442 shared votes37%
  4. Justin OlsonR1,460 shared votes37%
  5. Michael WayR1,393 shared votes38%
How to read the agreement lists

The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.

Full voting record

AZ 2025–26 session, loads in batches

Back to topNext: Legislation

Legislation

Cavero sponsored 18 bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; none became law. Cosponsored 216 others. 0% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Arizona House average 34%; 53rd of 56).

The bills Cavero sponsored and cosponsored in the AZ 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.

Bills by stage

Counts for the AZ 2025–26 session

Sponsored18 billsSponsored, Introduced: 1818Sponsored, In committee: 00Sponsored, Passed one chamber: 00Sponsored, Passed both chambers: 00Sponsored, Became law: 00Cosponsored216 billsCosponsored, Introduced: 216216Cosponsored, In committee: 1818Cosponsored, Passed one chamber: 1414Cosponsored, Passed both chambers: 77Cosponsored, Became law: 55IntroducedIncommitteePassed onechamberPassed bothchambersBecamelaw
Show the data
Bills Cavero sponsored and cosponsored, by furthest stage reached
RoleIntroducedIn committeePassed one chamberPassed both chambersBecame law
Sponsored180000
Cosponsored216181475
How to read the blocks

Ink blocks are bills Cavero sponsored, ochre blocks bills Cavero cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.

0%

of sponsored bills got out of committee

Arizona House average 34%. Ranks 53rd of 56.

Cosponsorship partners

Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Cavero, by number of shared bills in the AZ 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.

  1. Betty Villegas164
  2. Sarah Liguori147
  3. Brian Garcia139
  4. Stephanie Simacek138
  5. Lorena Austin137
What this means, and what it doesn’t

The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Cavero’s bills; the toggle shows more.

Bill list

Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest

Bills sponsored and cosponsored
HB 4125marriage; minimum ageCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedFamilies(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HR 2005gun violence; public health crisisCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedHealth(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HB 4132ESAs; expenditures; enrollment; limitations.CosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedEducation(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HCR 2029marijuana; unincorporated areas; reservations; prohibitionCosponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedCrime and Law Enforcement(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026
HB 2816HOV lanes; degradation; technical correctionSponsorJun 13, 2026IntroducedTransportation and Public Works(model)House First Reading. Jun 13, 2026

Back to topNext: Online

Online

A site that changed 1 time in 90 days. Cavero’s official site had 1 page when last crawled on Oct 1, 2026.

The lab crawls Cavero’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Cavero posts with a vision model.

Websites

How to read the counts

“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.

Images Cavero posted

No images from Cavero’s posts have been described.

About the descriptions

Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.

State floor speeches

3 turns, Feb 24, 2026 to Apr 21, 2026

Floor speeches

Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.

The headline

The headline is the measure on which Cavero is most unusual among Arizona House, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.

The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.

A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).

Identifiers

Profile id
94895484-6eda-42d7-823b-a4eab17071e8
Open States
ocd-person/94895484-6eda-42d7-823b-a4eab17071e8

Bulk files with the same data for every official:

Freshness of this profile’s data

  • What politicians sayOct 27, 20261 days agoMembers of Congress: tweets since 2017; press releases, newsletters and floor speeches since 2022. State legislators: tweets since May 2024. Governors: tweets since January 2025. Labels from an LLM classifier.
  • Roll calls (state)Oct 21, 20267 days agoOpen States floor roll calls, 2019 on (none for AK and MO).
  • Bills (state)Oct 28, 2026todayOpen States bills and sponsors, 2019 on; stages from roll calls.
  • Campaign money (state)no dateState campaign-finance agencies, 2019 on; aggregates only.
  • Ideology (CSIP)Oct 25, 20263 days agoCommon-Space Ideal Points (CSIP), current validated run.
  • WebsitesOct 25, 20263 days agoWeekly crawls of federal sites since April 2026; monthly state crawls since June 2026.
  • State floor speechesOct 21, 20267 days agoState floor speech turns (published transcripts and captions), 2020 on; not LLM-classified.

How the measures work

What politicians say
Every post, press release, newsletter and congressional floor speech is read by a language model and marked for personal attacks, policy criticism, policy discussion, bipartisanship and credit claiming. A statement can be in several. Rates are shares of statements in the window. The methods paper.
Extreme labels
A statement has an extreme label when it calls a politician, party or policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who the label is aimed at.
Policy areas and agreement
Statements and bills share 25 Congressional Research Service policy areas (state bills are assigned by a language model). Agreement is 1 − Jensen–Shannon distance between the two distributions, shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Ideology (CSIP)
Common-Space Ideal Points place federal and state officials on one left–right scale, estimated jointly from roll calls, campaign contributions and the text of statements, with standard errors. Only a validated run is shown. The methods paper.
Campaign money
Campaigns report by name only donors who give more than $200 in a cycle; smaller gifts are reported as one total. Federal totals and the small-donor share come from the FEC’s financial summaries of each campaign committee. Donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations cover itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift totals, so state figures are itemized only. The lab never publishes donor names.
Votes and key votes
Attendance, party unity and the count of votes against the majority of an official’s own party come from roll calls (Voteview for Congress, chamber records for the states). Key votes are final-passage or override votes that became law, were decided by under 10%, saw at least 10% of a party vote against its majority, or concerned one of the 25 bills most mentioned in officials’ statements.
Peers and ranks
Comparisons are with the same party, chamber and level (for example House Democrats); state legislators are compared within their state and chamber for votes. Every comparison names its group. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; tied values share the average of their ranks, and the percentile is the share of the group below the value, ties counting half.

America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab

Back to top