Policy discussion
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Nov 12, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Energy · Source

0% of the itemized money from individuals in the 2026 cycle came from donors with an address in Illinois. Ranks 1943rd of 1,983, where 1st is the highest share. 1 itemized donors.
Only donors who give more than $200 are reported with an address, so this is the share of that itemized money from donors living in Illinois, ranked among State House Democrats. Small gifts are not counted either way. Candidates running statewide or for federal office often draw more money from out of state.
6 measures against State House Democrats. 63% of the 16 bills Smith sponsored got out of committee, in the top quarter of the Illinois House. Smith reported $203.4K in the 2026 cycle, in the top quarter of State House Democrats (median $40.4K).
The measures on which Smith sits furthest from the middle of State House Democrats, each against the same group, with the CSIP score when there is one. Every number is explained in its own section below.
From Illinois, 2026
Of itemized individual dollars · ranks 1943rd of 1,983 State House Democrats
Attendance
Illinois House average 92.6% · ranks 11th of 116 · 1,468 roll calls
Out of committee
Illinois House average 44% · ranks 16th of 116
Itemized, 2026
State House Democrats’ median $40.4K · ranks 274th of 2,082
Party unity
Illinois House average 96.7% · ranks 20th of 116 · 0 votes against the majority of Illinois House Democrats
CSIP ideology
Left of 0, the centre of the scale · ± 0.07
Peer group: State House Democrats. Rank 1 is the highest value in the group; the thick bar is Smith, the thin grey bar the peer average. The headline is the measure on which Smith is most unusual among peers (Methods, §08).
Smith criticizes policies less than 93% of State House Democrats. Policy criticism in 0% of 124 statements, against 10% for the average State House Democrat; 717th of 764.
An AI model reads each of Smith’s 124 statements in the IL 2025–26 session (124 posts on X) and marks the kinds of statement it contains: a personal attack, criticism of a policy, discussion of policy, bipartisanship, credit claiming, and extreme labels. A statement can carry several. Every rate is compared with the average for State House Democrats and ranked among them.
Share of statements carrying each label, the IL 2025–26 session
| Row | Smith | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Policy discussion | 40% | 39% |
| Credit claiming | 4% | 14% |
| Bipartisanship | 2% | 3% |
| Personal attacks | 0% | 3% |
| Policy criticism | 0% | 10% |
statements classified
124 posts on X.
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| posts on X | 124 |
The thick bar is Smith; the thin grey bar is the average State House Democrats. A longer thick bar means Smith does this more than peers. Rank 1 is the highest rate in the group.
Smith used no extreme labels in 124 statements. The peer average is 1.0%.
No extreme labels in this window.
Targets named alongside an extreme label, by number of statements
No targets recorded.
Calls a politician, a party or a policy “far left”, “far right”, “MAGA”, “extreme”, “radical”, “woke”, “fascist” or “communist”. The target is who or what the label was aimed at. The lists show the five most used labels and targets; the toggle shows the rest.
Share of statements per month, the IL 2025–26 session
| Column | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming | Extreme labels |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan ’25 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 53.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Feb ’25 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mar ’25 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Apr ’25 | 17 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 47.1% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| May ’25 | 9 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jun ’25 | 17 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 41.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jul ’25 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aug ’25 | 16 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sep ’25 | 4 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Oct ’25 | 8 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Nov ’25 | 5 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Dec ’25 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jan ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Feb ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Mar ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Apr ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| May ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jun ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Jul ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Aug ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Sep ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
| Oct ’26 | 0 | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) | — (fewer than 10 statements) |
Each row is one kind of statement; each cell is a month, shaded against that row’s own peak (darker = closer to the peak), with the peak and the latest value written at the right. The top row counts statements. The strip covers every month of the IL 2025–26 session, the same span as the rates above, including months with no statements. A month with fewer than 10 statements is hatched, not shaded: one or two posts would swing its rate to 0% or 100%. 15 months are hatched here; 11 of them have no statements.
Real statements from the classifier’s example set, with the labels it assigned
Policy discussion
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Nov 12, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; Energy · Source
Bipartisanship
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Jun 2, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · bipartisanship · Source
Credit claiming
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
Nov 20, 2025 · Posts on X (state legislators) · policy discussion; credit claiming; Agriculture and Food · Source
Up to five recent statements in each category
Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
No statements in this category in this window.
Newest first, the IL 2025–26 session
Five statements at a time, newest first; filters apply to the statements loaded so far. Export saves the statements that match. Sources: 124 posts on X.
Education is what Smith talks about most: 18% of policy statements, above the peer share. Talk and legislation agree at 0.59 on a 0–1 scale (State House Democrats average 0.54; 180th of 503).
Each policy statement is tagged by the AI model with one or more of 25 policy areas from the Congressional Research Service list, so the shares say what Smith talks about. The bills Smith sponsors and cosponsors carry the same areas, so the two can be compared.
Share of policy statements by area, the IL 2025–26 session
| Row | Smith | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Education | 18% | 15% |
| Health | 16% | 15% |
| Energy | 10% | 4% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 8% | 3% |
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 8% | 10% |
The thick bar is the share of Smith’s policy statements in an area; the thin grey bar is the average share for State House Democrats. A statement counts once in each of its areas, so shares can add to more than 100%. The five largest areas are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
Left: share of statements by policy area. Right: share of bills. Areas in order of their share of statements; both sides run from 0 to 35%. Grey ticks are the State House Democrats averages.
| Area | Talks about | State House Democrats, talks about | Legislates on | State House Democrats, legislates on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education | 18% | 15% | 13% | 10% |
| Health | 16% | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Energy | 10% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Armed Forces and National Security | 8% | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| Civil Rights and Liberties, Minority Issues | 8% | 10% | 3% | 4% |
talk-to-bills agreement, 0 to 1
State House Democrats average 0.54. Ranks 180th of 503.
Agreement is 1 minus the distance between the two distributions (Jensen–Shannon): 1 means Smith legislates on exactly the areas Smith talks about, in the same proportions; 0 means no overlap. It does not say whether the bills match the positions in the statements, only the subjects. Bills Smith sponsored count fully, cosponsored bills a quarter. Shown with at least 20 policy statements and 5 bills.
Smith sits at −0.67 on the CSIP scale, left of 0, more liberal than 56% of State House Democrats. Approximate range −0.74 to −0.59, which understates the uncertainty; from 18 donors and 1,323 roll calls.
CSIP, the lab’s Common-Space Ideal Point, places every official, federal and state, on one left–right scale, estimated from roll-call votes, who gives money to whom, and the text of statements. Negative is left of 0, positive right of it; 0 is the centre of the scale, not a definition of “moderate”.
CSIP ideal point
Approximate range −0.74 to −0.59. From 18 donors and 1,323 roll calls. Run 2026-10-25T215945. Blue is left of 0, red right of 0.
The outlined dot is Smith, coloured by its side of 0 (blue left, red right, deeper further out); the bar through it is the approximate range (±1.96 standard errors), which understates the uncertainty; the grey ticks below are the medians of Smith’s groups. 0 is the centre of the scale, not “moderate” by definition.
The score summarises how an official votes, who funds them and how they talk, relative to everyone else. It does not grade positions as good or bad, and two officials with the same score can differ on any single issue. The ± range is 1.96 standard errors, which understates the uncertainty: scores whose ranges overlap may not differ at all, and even scores whose ranges do not overlap may not differ.
Every official in each group, on the CSIP scale
| Group | Officials | Median | Share left of Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| State House Democrats | 2392 | −0.6 | 44% |
| Illinois House | 118 | −0.5 | 27% |
| All State House | 5324 | +0.1 | 20% |
Every small dot is one official on the same scale, coloured by its own score (blue left of 0, red right of 0, grey at 0, deeper further out) and spread up and down only to keep dots apart; where a group is crowded the dots overlap, and darker patches mean more officials. The large outlined dot is Smith in every row; the rule is each group’s median. The table under the figure gives the share of each group to the left of Smith.
Smith reported $203.4K in the 2026 cycle, 5.0 times the State House Democrats’ median of $40.4K. State filings report no small-donation total. 0% of itemized individual money came from Illinois.
Campaign money from state campaign-finance filings, as aggregates only; the lab never shows an individual donor. Campaigns must report by name every person who gives them more than $200 in a cycle (“itemized”); smaller gifts are reported only as one total (“unitemized”), so donor counts, donor states, employers and occupations describe itemized donors only. State filings report no small-gift total, so these figures add up itemized contributions only.
itemized in the 2026 cycle
From 1 itemized donors. State House Democrats’ median $40.4K.
Each square is one percent of itemized contributions in the 2026 cycle.
| Source | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Individuals (itemized) | $400 | 0.2% |
| PACs and other committees | $203.0K | 99.8% |
Totals say how much a campaign took in, not how it was spent, and they rise sharply when a seat is up for election; compare cycles with that in mind.
Itemized contributions, 2020 to 2026. The grey line is the State House Democrats’ median for 2026.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| 2020 cycle | $78.2K |
| 2022 cycle | $229.9K |
| 2024 cycle | $559.2K |
| 2026 cycle | $203.4K |
Itemized contributions by donor state. 0% came from Illinois.
State filings report no total for small gifts.
Not reported in state filings.
Individuals who gave more than $200, by donor state
| State | Value |
|---|---|
| New Jersey | $400 |
| Alaska | No data |
| Maine | No data |
| Vermont | No data |
| New Hampshire | No data |
| Washington | No data |
| Idaho | No data |
| Montana | No data |
| North Dakota | No data |
| Minnesota | No data |
| Illinois | No data |
| Wisconsin | No data |
| Michigan | No data |
| New York | No data |
| Rhode Island | No data |
| Massachusetts | No data |
| Oregon | No data |
| Nevada | No data |
| Wyoming | No data |
| South Dakota | No data |
| Iowa | No data |
| Indiana | No data |
| Ohio | No data |
| Pennsylvania | No data |
| Connecticut | No data |
| California | No data |
| Utah | No data |
| Colorado | No data |
| Nebraska | No data |
| Missouri | No data |
| Kentucky | No data |
| West Virginia | No data |
| Virginia | No data |
| Maryland | No data |
| Delaware | No data |
| Arizona | No data |
| New Mexico | No data |
| Kansas | No data |
| Arkansas | No data |
| Tennessee | No data |
| North Carolina | No data |
| South Carolina | No data |
| District of Columbia | No data |
| Oklahoma | No data |
| Louisiana | No data |
| Mississippi | No data |
| Alabama | No data |
| Georgia | No data |
| Hawaii | No data |
| Texas | No data |
| Florida | No data |
itemized donors
People who gave more than $200
from Illinois
Of itemized individual dollars
Every state the same size. Darker states gave more itemized money; hatched states had no itemized donors; the outlined state is Illinois. Gifts of $200 or less carry no address and are left out.
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No occupations reported.
PAC and committee contributions, 2026 cycle.
Itemized, 2026 cycle.
No employers reported.
Aggregates only. Individual donors are never named.
Smith voted with the majority of Illinois House Democrats on 100% of party-line votes and missed 0.4% of 1,468 roll calls. Illinois House on average: 96.7% party unity, 92.6% attendance. Across all roll calls, Smith never voted against the majority of Illinois House Democrats.
1,468 roll calls Smith could vote on in the IL 2025–26 session, compared with Illinois House. Attendance is the share with a vote recorded. Party unity counts only party-line roll calls, where most Democrats and most Republicans voted on opposite sides, and is the share of those where Smith voted with the majority of Illinois House Democrats. The count of votes against that majority covers every roll call where the majority took a side.
votes against the majority of Illinois House Democrats
Party unity 100%, Illinois House average 96.7%, ranks 20th of 116. 1,468 roll calls in the IL 2025–26 session.
The thick bar is Smith, the thin grey bar the Illinois House average. The scale runs from 80% to 100% to show the gap.
| Row | Smith | Peers |
|---|---|---|
| Attendance | 99.5% | 92.6% |
| Party unity | 100% | 96.7% |
A missed roll call has many causes, from illness to campaigning, so attendance says how often, not why. A vote against the majority can be on procedure as well as substance, and many fall on roll calls where both parties split; the key votes below show the ones that decided something.
Roll calls the lab flags as key
No votes in this window met the key-vote rules.
Automatically: a final-passage or override vote where the measure became law, the margin was under 10%, at least 10% of either party voted against its majority, or the bill was among the 25 most mentioned in officials’ own statements. Up to 25 per window, most recent first; five are shown. Bars show yea on the left, nay on the right, per party.
The colleagues who voted the same way as Smith most often
The colleagues who voted the same way as Smith least often
The share of roll calls both members voted on where they voted the same way, among colleagues sharing at least 50 such votes. High agreement with members of the other party is common on routine votes.
IL 2025–26 session, loads in batches
Smith sponsored 16 bills in the IL 2025–26 session; 2 became law. Cosponsored 81 others. 63% of sponsored bills got out of committee (Illinois House average 44%; 16th of 116).
The bills Smith sponsored and cosponsored in the IL 2025–26 session, from the official bill records, and how far each got: introduced, referred to or acted on in committee, passed one chamber, passed both, became law. A bill counts at every stage it has reached, so the blocks only shrink to the right.
Counts for the IL 2025–26 session
| Role | Introduced | In committee | Passed one chamber | Passed both chambers | Became law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sponsored | 16 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 |
| Cosponsored | 81 | 80 | 42 | 23 | 21 |
Ink blocks are bills Smith sponsored, ochre blocks bills Smith cosponsored; the figure above each block is the count. Most bills in any legislature never leave committee, so a short staircase is the norm.
of sponsored bills got out of committee
Illinois House average 44%. Ranks 16th of 116.
Colleagues who most often cosponsor with Smith, by number of shared bills in the IL 2025–26 session; the square shows their party.
The score is the share of sponsored bills that a committee reported out or a chamber passed, with at least 5 sponsored bills, ranked within the peer group. Members of the majority party and committee chairs move more bills, so the rank reflects position in the chamber as well as effort. Cosponsorship partners are the five colleagues who share the most of Smith’s bills; the toggle shows more.
Sponsored and cosponsored, with status and policy area; five are shown, the toggle shows the rest
| HR 995 | CONGRATS-ALFONSO QUIROZ | Sponsor | Jul 14, 2026 | Introduced | Unassigned | Filed with the Clerk by Rep. Nicholas K. Smith Jul 14, 2026 |
| HR 972 | MEMORIAL-SPENCER LEAK JR. | Cosponsor | May 31, 2026 | Introduced | Unassigned | Added Co-Sponsor Rep. Marcus C. Evans, Jr. Jun 1, 2026 |
| HR 928 | CONGRATS-RICHARD KWASNESKI | Cosponsor | May 22, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Unassigned | Added Co-Sponsor Rep. Matt Hanson May 26, 2026 |
| HR 696 | CONDEMNS-PRESIDENT TRUMP POST | Cosponsor | Feb 25, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Government Operations and Politics(model) | Added Co-Sponsor Rep. Curtis J. Tarver, II Feb 25, 2026 |
| HR 679 | MARQUETTE PARK MARCH 60TH | Cosponsor | Feb 18, 2026 | Passed one chamber | Unassigned | Added Co-Sponsor Rep. Maurice A. West, II May 14, 2026 |
A site that has not changed in 90 days. Smith’s official site had 0 pages when last crawled.
The lab crawls Smith’s official and campaign websites (weekly for Congress, monthly for the states) and keeps every page’s text, so changes can be read later; it also records social accounts and describes the images Smith posts with a vision model.
pages crawled
changes in 90 days
pages crawled
changes in 90 days
“Pages crawled” is the size of the site at the last crawl; “changes in 90 days” counts pages whose text differed from the previous crawl. Sites change for many routine reasons, such as new press releases, so a high count is not by itself notable.
No images from Smith’s posts have been described.
Written by a vision model and may be wrong. Open the post to see the original. Five are shown; the toggle shows the rest.
662 turns, Jan 12, 2021 to Jan 20, 2026
Transcribed from chamber video or captions by the lab. They are not classified for kinds of statement.
How this page was made. Profile built Oct 28, 2026; site last built Oct 28, 2026. Every number on the page is computed from the sources listed here, by the same rules for every official; nothing is written by hand.
The headline is the measure on which Smith is most unusual among State House Democrats, chosen by one rule for every official of every party. The candidates are the rate of each kind of statement and of extreme labels, party unity, attendance, the small-donor share, the in-state share and total receipts of the latest cycle, the share of sponsored bills that got out of committee, talk-to-bills agreement, and the CSIP score’s place within the party group.
The builder ranks every measure within the same peer group the page compares it with, and writes each official’s percentile: the share of the group below the value, ties counting half, so 0.5 is the median and a value shared by many never ranks first. A measure’s score is how far that percentile sits from the median (0 in the middle, 0.5 at either end), and the highest score leads if it is above 0.25, outside the middle half of the group. Scores within 0.03 of each other are a tie, broken in this order: votes against the party majority, kinds of statement, ideology, roll calls missed, small donations, in-state money, legislation, agreement, extreme labels, receipts.
A measure counts only with at least 200 statements, 100 roll calls or 5 sponsored bills behind it and a peer group of at least 10. Two things never lead: high party unity or attendance, where most members sit, and a high rate of a kind of statement backed by fewer than 10 statements. When nothing qualifies, the headline is a neutral fact instead: statements classified, or years in office. The wording always names the direction (“in the bottom 5% of …”, “votes against the majority of …”).
Bulk files with the same data for every official:
America’s Political Pulse · Polarization Research Lab