Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
2026 midterms · Candidate
Republican · Candidate · Governor of Alaska · Challenger
In the bottom tenth of Republican candidates for governor (their average is 3.4%; McGuire ranks 37th of 39, where 1st is the highest rate), from 64 statements.
An AI model reads each of McGuire’s posts on X and marks whether each attacks a person’s character, integrity or loyalty; the rate is the share marked.
0% of McGuire’s statements contain a personal attack, in the bottom tenth of Republican candidates for governor. Their average is 3.4%.
An AI model reads McGuire’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. The thin grey bar is the average of the 39 Republican candidates for governor with 50 or more statements, and the rank places McGuire among them (1st is the highest rate). A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
Share of statements: McGuire (thick bar) against the Republican candidates for governor average (thin grey bar)
| Row | McGuire | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Personal attacks | 0% | 3.4% |
| Policy criticism | 1.6% | 12% |
| Policy discussion | 30% | 44% |
| Bipartisanship | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| Credit claiming | 13% | 19% |
statements classified
From their posts on X.
Awards
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
McGuire’s 20 latest statements on file, newest first. The latest is from Aug 19, 2026.
Each statement is shown as written, with the labels the AI model gave it (or none). Five are shown; the rest are one click away. The lab keeps the latest 20 per candidate here.
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
policy discussionSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
policy discussionSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
Candidates for governor report to their state, not to the Federal Election Commission.
No campaign-finance figures are on file for candidates for governor.
McGuire’s posts on X from Jun 6, 2026 to Aug 19, 2026. Followers and the average likes and views per post, from the posts the lab has collected.
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
Followers
Likes per post
Views per post
Alaska Governor: No result is recorded for this primary yet. Primary Aug 18, 2026 (top-four primary; ranked-choice general election). General election Nov 3, 2026.
Rated likely republican. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
Everyone listed for this primary
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Alaska
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. The lab’s governor id AK-lesil-mcguire.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected, the latest from Aug 19, 2026.