2026 midterms · Candidate
Republican · Candidate · U.S. House, Texas’s 23rd District · Incumbent
No classified statements are on file for Ernest Gonzales II, so there is nothing to measure yet.
Candidates are measured once 10 statements are classified and ranked from 50.
What Gonzales says
Too few statements to measure. No classified statements are on file for Ernest Gonzales II, so there is nothing to measure yet.
An AI model reads everything Gonzales publishes in office and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
No classified statements are on file for Ernest Gonzales II.
Gonzales’s official profile has the full record in office.
Money
Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.
No FEC figures are on file for this candidate.
Online
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
No engagement figures are on file for this account.
The race
Texas 23rd District: Gonzales is not among the candidates recorded as advancing from this primary. Primary Mar 3, 2026, runoff Apr 7, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Katy StoutDChallenger · advanced
- Brandon HerreraRChallenger · advanced
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Texas
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. As an incumbent member of Congress, this candidate is measured on everything the lab collects from them in office: posts on X, press releases, newsletters and floor speeches. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. FEC candidate id H0TX35015 (FEC record). Bioguide id G000594. First FEC filing May 15, 2019.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected.