2026 midterms · Candidate
Democrat · Candidate · U.S. House, Texas’s 33rd District · Open seat
In the top 5% of Democratic House challengers and open-seat candidates (their average is 14%; Johnson ranks 7th of 139, where 1st is the highest rate), from 912 statements.
An AI model reads each of Johnson’s posts on X and marks whether each criticizes a specific policy, law or ruling; the rate is the share marked.
What Johnson says
32% of Johnson’s statements criticize a policy, in the top 5% of Democratic House challengers and open-seat candidates. Their average is 14%.
An AI model reads Johnson’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. The thin grey bar is the average of the 139 Democratic House challengers and open-seat candidates with 50 or more statements, and the rank places Johnson among them (1st is the highest rate). A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How often does Johnson make each kind of statement?
Share of statements: Johnson (thick bar) against the Democratic House challengers and open-seat candidates average (thin grey bar)
Show the data
| Row | Johnson | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Personal attacks | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Policy criticism | 32% | 14% |
| Policy discussion | 61% | 40% |
| Bipartisanship | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Credit claiming | 21% | 9.4% |
statements classified
From their posts on X.
Awards
- Policy Criticism LeaderTop 3% in policy criticism among all ranked candidates, the lab’s rule.
This compares Johnson with other candidates. Johnson’s official profile compares Johnson with fellow office-holders and has every statement, vote and bill.
The five kinds of statement
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
Money
Johnson reports $0 raised and $0 cash on hand. By money raised, 2nd of the two candidates on this race’s list with FEC figures.
Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Where has Johnson’s money come from?
Receipts by source, as reported to the FEC
No breakdown by source is on file.
Notes
Online
Johnson’s posts on X from Oct 1, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026. Followers and the average likes and views per post, from the posts the lab has collected.
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
Followers
Likes per post
Views per post
The race
Texas 33rd District: Johnson advanced from the primary. Primary Mar 3, 2026, runoff Apr 7, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Colin AllredDOpen seat · advanced
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Texas
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. FEC candidate id H4TX32089 (FEC record). Bioguide id J000310. First FEC filing Jun 15, 2023.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected, the latest from Oct 23, 2026.