Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
2026 midterms · Candidate
Republican · Candidate · U.S. House, New Jersey’s 3rd District · Challenger
MM
48%
of statements discuss policy
In the top tenth of Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates (their average is 31%; Mcguire ranks 12th of 117, where 1st is the highest rate), from 362 statements.
An AI model reads each of Mcguire’s posts on X and marks whether each discusses a specific policy; the rate is the share marked.
What Mcguire says
48% of Mcguire’s statements discuss policy, in the top tenth of Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates. Their average is 31%.
An AI model reads Mcguire’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. The thin grey bar is the average of the 117 Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates with 50 or more statements, and the rank places Mcguire among them (1st is the highest rate). A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How often does Mcguire make each kind of statement?
Share of statements: Mcguire (thick bar) against the Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates average (thin grey bar)
0%50%
Mcguire
Average
Rank
Personal attacks
6.9%
4.8%
26th of 117
Policy criticism
14%
8.0%
19th of 117
Policy discussion
48%
31%
12th of 117
Bipartisanship
0.3%
1.6%
85th of 117
Credit claiming
13%
11%
45th of 117
Show the data
| Row | Mcguire | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Personal attacks | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Policy criticism | 14% | 8.0% |
| Policy discussion | 48% | 31% |
| Bipartisanship | 0.3% | 1.6% |
| Credit claiming | 13% | 11% |
362
statements classified
From their posts on X.
The five kinds of statement
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
Recent statements
Mcguire’s 20 latest statements on file, newest first. The latest is from Oct 26, 2026.
Each statement is shown as written, with the labels the AI model gave it (or none). Five are shown; the rest are one click away. The lab keeps the latest 20 per candidate here.
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
policy discussionSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
policy discussionSource
Posts on X
The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.
no labelSource
Money
Mcguire reports $221.3K raised and $16.6K cash on hand. By money raised, 2nd of the two candidates on this race’s list with FEC figures.
Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.
Raised
$221.3K
Spent
$204.7K
Cash on hand
$16.6K
Where has Mcguire’s money come from?
Receipts by source, as reported to the FEC
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| Individuals | $191.1K |
| PACs | $9,250 |
| Party committees | $0 |
| Own money | $0 |
| Candidate loans | $21.0K |
Notes
Sources are the FEC’s categories; what is left (transfers, refunds, other receipts) is not drawn. The race page compares every candidate in the race.
Online
Mcguire’s posts on X from Jan 13, 2026 to Oct 26, 2026. Followers and the average likes and views per post, from the posts the lab has collected.
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
Followers
Not on file
Likes per post
15
Views per post
445
The race
New Jersey 3rd District: Mcguire advanced from the primary. Primary Jun 2, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Herb ConawayDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in New Jersey
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. FEC candidate id H6NJ03184 (FEC record). First FEC filing Dec 20, 2025.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected, the latest from Oct 26, 2026.