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2026 midterms · Candidate

Republican · Candidate · U.S. House, Alabama’s 1st District · Open seat

No portrait on file
49
statements classified

Fewer than 50, too few to rank against other candidates; the rates are shown below.

An AI model reads each of Carl’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement.

Jerry Carl Jr R · ALAlabama 1st District · FEC H0AL01055

What Carl says

49 of Carl’s statements are classified. Fewer than 50, too few to rank against other candidates; the rates are shown below.

An AI model reads Carl’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. The thin grey bar is the average of the 117 Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates with 50 or more statements, and the rank places Carl among them (1st is the highest rate). A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.

How often does Carl make each kind of statement?

Share of statements: Carl (thick bar) against the Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates average (thin grey bar)

0%40%
Carl
Average
Rank
Personal attacks
0%
4.8%
112th of 118
Policy criticism
4.1%
8.0%
80th of 118
Policy discussion
27%
31%
73rd of 118
Bipartisanship
2.0%
1.5%
37th of 118
Credit claiming
22%
11%
12th of 118
Show the data
Carl’s share of statements of each kind, against the Republican House challengers and open-seat candidates average: Personal attacks 0%, Policy criticism 4.1%, Policy discussion 27%, Bipartisanship 2.0%, Credit claiming 22%.
RowCarlAverage
Personal attacks0%4.8%
Policy criticism4.1%8.0%
Policy discussion27%31%
Bipartisanship2.0%1.5%
Credit claiming22%11%
49

statements classified

From their posts on X.

The five kinds of statement

Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.

Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.

Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).

Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.

Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.

Back to topNext: Recent statements

Recent statements

Carl’s 20 latest statements on file, newest first. The latest is from Oct 23, 2026.

Each statement is shown as written, with the labels the AI model gave it (or none). Five are shown; the rest are one click away. The lab keeps the latest 20 per candidate here.

Posts on X

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

no labelSource

Posts on X

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

policy discussionSource

Posts on X

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

no labelSource

Posts on X

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

no labelSource

Posts on X

The text of this post is on X; follow the source link to read it.

credit claiming · policy discussionSource

Back to topNext: Money

Money

Carl reports $1.5M raised and $168.1K cash on hand. By money raised, 1st of the two candidates on this race’s list with FEC figures.

Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.

Raised

$1.5M

Spent

$1.4M

Cash on hand

$168.1K

Where has Carl’s money come from?

Receipts by source, as reported to the FEC

Individuals: $739.2K (58.4%)Individuals $739.2KPACs: $527.6K (41.6%)PACs $527.6K
Show the data
Carl’s receipts by source: Individuals $739.2K, PACs $527.6K, Party committees $0, Own money $0, Candidate loans $0.
PartValue
Individuals$739.2K
PACs$527.6K
Party committees$0
Own money$0
Candidate loans$0
Notes
Sources are the FEC’s categories; what is left (transfers, refunds, other receipts) is not drawn. The race page compares every candidate in the race.

Back to topNext: Online

Online

Carl’s posts on X from Oct 6, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026. Followers and the average likes and views per post, from the posts the lab has collected.

Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.

Followers

3.4K

Likes per post

9

Views per post

963

Back to topNext: The race

The race

Alabama 1st District: Carl advanced from the primary. Primary Jun 2, 2026, runoff Jul 14, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.

This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.

Who else is on the list?

Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary

The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Alabama

Back to topNext: Methods and sources

Methods and sources

The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.

The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.

The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.

Identifiers. FEC candidate id H0AL01055 (FEC record). First FEC filing Feb 26, 2019.

Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected, the latest from Oct 23, 2026.

About the data →

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