2026 midterms · Candidate
Republican · Candidate · U.S. House, Arizona’s 2nd District · Incumbent
In the bottom 5% of Republican House incumbents (their average is 61%; Crane ranks 214th of 221, where 1st is the highest rate), from 7,524 statements.
An AI model reads everything Crane publishes in office (posts, press releases, newsletters, floor speeches) and marks whether each discusses a specific policy; the rate is the share marked.
What Crane says
44% of Crane’s statements discuss policy, in the bottom 5% of Republican House incumbents. Their average is 61%.
An AI model reads everything Crane publishes in office and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. The thin grey bar is the average of the 221 Republican House incumbents with 50 or more statements, and the rank places Crane among them (1st is the highest rate). A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How often does Crane make each kind of statement?
Share of statements: Crane (thick bar) against the Republican House incumbents average (thin grey bar)
Show the data
| Row | Crane | Average |
|---|---|---|
| Personal attacks | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Policy criticism | 20% | 18% |
| Policy discussion | 44% | 61% |
| Bipartisanship | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Credit claiming | 18% | 22% |
statements classified
From everything they publish in office: posts, press releases, newsletters and floor speeches.
This compares Crane with other candidates. Crane’s official profile compares Crane with fellow office-holders and has every statement, vote and bill.
The five kinds of statement
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
Money
Crane reports $11.9M raised and $1.3M cash on hand. By money raised, 1st of the two candidates on this race’s list with FEC figures.
Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Where has Crane’s money come from?
Receipts by source, as reported to the FEC
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| Individuals | $10.9M |
| PACs | $126.5K |
| Party committees | $1,000 |
| Own money | $0 |
| Candidate loans | $0 |
Notes
Online
Crane’s posts on X from Mar 12, 2026 to Oct 26, 2026. Followers and the average likes and views per post, from the posts the lab has collected.
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
Followers
Likes per post
Views per post
The race
Arizona 2nd District: Crane advanced from the primary. Primary Aug 4, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Jonathan NezDChallenger · advanced
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Arizona
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. As an incumbent member of Congress, this candidate is measured on everything the lab collects from them in office: posts on X, press releases, newsletters and floor speeches. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. FEC candidate id H2AZ01354 (FEC record). Bioguide id C001132. First FEC filing Jul 20, 2021.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected, the latest from Oct 26, 2026.