2026 midterms · State
Arizona
Primary Aug 4, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026
- races
- 11
- candidates listed
- 21
- statements classified
- 146,835
Arizona Governor
The closest rating in Arizona: held by Democrats (Hobbs). Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab. Two other races are rated toss-up or lean.
Statewide races
A governor’s race is on the 2026 ballot. No Senate seat is up here in 2026; the Senate listing below comes from FEC filings for a later election. Once a primary is called, only the candidates recorded as advancing are listed; before that, everyone running.
Each race links to its own page: the candidates, what they say and the money they report. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
Senate
No Senate election in 2026
Democrats
- Ruben GallegoDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
- Mark KellyDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
Governor
Toss-upPrimary called
Democrats
- Katie HobbsDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
Republicans
- Andy BiggsRChallenger · advanced
House races
Nine House races, all with a recorded primary result. Districts are in order, 5 at a time; choose any district to go straight to it.
House districts follow the candidates’ FEC filings. Where a state redrew its map for 2026, a few candidates may still appear under their old district number.
1st District
Toss-upPrimary called
Democrats
- Amish ShahDOpen seat · advanced
Republicans
- Thomas FeelyROpen seat · advanced
2nd District
Primary called
Democrats
- Jonathan NezDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
- Eli CraneRIncumbent · advanced · official profile
3rd District
Primary called
Democrats
- Yassamin AnsariDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
4th District
Primary called
Democrats
- Greg StantonDIncumbent · advanced · official profile
Republicans
- Zuhdi JasserRChallenger · advanced
5th District
Primary called
Democrats
- Elizabeth LeeDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
- Mark LambRChallenger · advanced
What the candidates say
21 of Arizona’s 24 candidates have 10 or more classified statements. 21 have 50 or more and are ranked against candidates nationwide.
An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; a candidate’s rate is the share of their statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How do Arizona’s candidates compare?
Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; sort by any column
| Ruben Gallego | D | Senate | Incumbent | 19,026 | 8.4% | 17% | 57% | 4.0% | 11% |
| Mark Kelly | D | Senate | Incumbent | 8,006 | 2.8% | 18% | 72% | 16% | 29% |
| Katie Hobbs | D | Governor | Incumbent | 503 | 1.0% | 9.2% | 51% | 7.0% | 38% |
| Andy Biggs | R | Governor | Challenger | 1,452 | 8.3% | 14% | 41% | 1.8% | 16% |
| Amish Shah | D | 1st District | Open seat | 206 | 1.0% | 7.8% | 50% | 6.3% | 15% |

