2026 midterms · Arizona
Arizona Governor
Governor · primary Aug 4, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026 · rated toss-up
- candidates
- 2
- Democrats
- 1
- Republicans
- 1
candidates advanced
Katie Hobbs (D) and Andy Biggs (R) advanced from the primary held on Aug 4, 2026. The general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
The candidates
Two candidates recorded as advancing from the primary. One incumbent and one challenger.
Status is the FEC’s: an incumbent holds the seat, a challenger runs against one, and an open seat has no incumbent running. The lab records a primary’s result once it is official; candidates who did not advance are no longer listed.
Democrats
Incumbent · advanced from the primary · 503 statements classified · official profile
Republicans
Challenger · advanced from the primary · 1,452 statements classified
Notes
Rated toss-up. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
What they say
The candidates’ statements differ most on credit claiming: from 16% to 38%. Both candidates have 10 or more classified statements.
An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; each bar is the share of a candidate’s statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How do the candidates’ statements compare?
Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; grey tick: median of ranked governor candidates
Personal attacks
Median 2.1% · axis 0–60%
- Hobbs D1.0%
- Biggs R8.3%
Policy criticism
Median 12% · axis 0–60%
- Hobbs D9.2%
- Biggs R14%
Policy discussion
Median 47% · axis 0–60%
- Hobbs D51%
- Biggs R41%
Bipartisanship
Median 2.0% · axis 0–60%
- Hobbs D7.0%
- Biggs R1.8%
Credit claiming
Median 16% · axis 0–60%
- Hobbs D38%
- Biggs R16%
Show the data
| Candidate | Party | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs | D | 503 | 1.0% | 9.2% | 51% | 7.0% | 38% |
| Andy Biggs | R | 1,452 | 8.3% | 14% | 41% | 1.8% | 16% |
| Median, ranked governor candidates | 2.1% | 12% | 47% | 2.0% | 16% |
The five kinds of statement
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
Candidates with fewer than 10 classified statements are left out. The grey tick is the median of the ranked governor candidates (50 or more statements), for scale.
Money
Candidates for governor report to their state, not to the Federal Election Commission; no figures for them are on file here.
How much has each candidate raised?
Total receipts reported to the FEC, with cash on hand
No campaign-finance figures are on file for this race’s candidates.