2026 midterms · Candidate
Democrat · Candidate · U.S. House, Arizona’s 9th District · Challenger
No classified statements are on file for Danielle Sterbinsky, so there is nothing to measure yet.
Candidates are measured once 10 statements are classified and ranked from 50.
What Sterbinsky says
Too few statements to measure. No classified statements are on file for Danielle Sterbinsky, so there is nothing to measure yet.
An AI model reads Sterbinsky’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
No classified statements are on file for Danielle Sterbinsky.
Recent statements
No statements by Sterbinsky are on file.
Each statement is shown as written, with the labels the AI model gave it (or none). Five are shown; the rest are one click away. The lab keeps the latest 20 per candidate here.
No statements are on file.
Money
Sterbinsky reports $461.9K raised and $33.6K cash on hand. By money raised, 2nd of the two candidates on this race’s list with FEC figures.
Totals the campaign reports to the Federal Election Commission for the 2026 cycle, as filed.
Raised
Spent
Cash on hand
Where has Sterbinsky’s money come from?
Receipts by source, as reported to the FEC
Show the data
| Part | Value |
|---|---|
| Individuals | $461.6K |
| PACs | $0 |
| Party committees | $0 |
| Own money | $250 |
| Candidate loans | $0 |
Notes
Online
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
No account on X is on file for this candidate.
The race
Arizona 9th District: Sterbinsky advanced from the primary. Primary Aug 4, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
This race is not among the races the lab lists as rated toss-up or leaning.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Paul GosarRIncumbent · advanced · official profile
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in Arizona
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. FEC candidate id H6AZ09085 (FEC record). First FEC filing May 10, 2025.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected.

