2026 midterms · Candidate
Republican · Candidate · Governor of New Hampshire · Incumbent
No classified statements are on file for Kelly Ayotte, so there is nothing to measure yet.
Candidates are measured once 10 statements are classified and ranked from 50.
What Ayotte says
Too few statements to measure. No classified statements are on file for Kelly Ayotte, so there is nothing to measure yet.
An AI model reads Ayotte’s posts on X and marks five kinds of statement; the rate is the share of statements with each label. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
No classified statements are on file for Kelly Ayotte.
Ayotte’s official profile has the full record in office.
Money
Candidates for governor report to their state, not to the Federal Election Commission.
No campaign-finance figures are on file for candidates for governor.
Online
Engagement is what X reports for each collected post, averaged; it measures reach, not support.
No engagement figures are on file for this account.
The race
New Hampshire Governor: Ayotte advanced from the primary. Primary Sep 8, 2026. General election Nov 3, 2026.
Rated likely republican. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
Who else is on the list?
Candidates recorded as advancing from the primary
- Cinde WarmingtonDChallenger · advanced
The race page compares every candidate’s statements and money · every race in New Hampshire
Methods and sources
The headline. Each candidate’s headline is chosen by one rule for everyone. The peer group is the ranked candidates (50 or more statements) of the same party, for the same office and measured on the same record, widened to both parties when it has fewer than 10. Each kind of statement is scored by how far the candidate sits from the middle of the group (|percentile − 0.5|, ties counting half); the farthest leads if it is outside the middle half (above 0.25), scores within 0.03 tie and fall to a fixed order, and a high rate backed by fewer than 10 labelled statements cannot lead. Otherwise the headline is a plain count.
The statements. This candidate is measured on the posts on X the lab collects for the campaign. An AI model marks each statement for five kinds of statement; rates are shown from 10 statements and ranked from 50.
The race. Candidates come from FEC filings (House and Senate), the lab’s list of sitting members of Congress, and the lab’s list of candidates for governor. The lab records each primary’s result once it is official. House districts follow FEC filings; a sitting member is placed in the race for the seat they hold now.
Identifiers. The lab’s governor id NH-kelly-ayotte.
Money and reach. Campaign money is as reported to the FEC. Followers, likes and views are what X reports for the posts the lab collected.