2026 midterms · Illinois
Illinois Governor
Governor · primary Mar 17, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026 · rated solid democratic
- candidates
- 2
- Democrats
- 1
- Republicans
- 1
candidates advanced
J.B. Pritzker (D) and Darren Bailey (R) advanced from the primary held on Mar 17, 2026. The general election is on Nov 3, 2026.
The candidates
Two candidates recorded as advancing from the primary. One incumbent and one challenger.
Status is the FEC’s: an incumbent holds the seat, a challenger runs against one, and an open seat has no incumbent running. The lab records a primary’s result once it is official; candidates who did not advance are no longer listed.
Democrats
Incumbent · advanced from the primary · 1,162 statements classified · official profile
Republicans
Challenger · advanced from the primary · 1,875 statements classified
Notes
Rated solid d. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
What they say
The candidates’ statements differ most on credit claiming: from 4.3% to 17%. Both candidates have 10 or more classified statements.
An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; each bar is the share of a candidate’s statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How do the candidates’ statements compare?
Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; grey tick: median of ranked governor candidates
Personal attacks
Median 2.1% · axis 0–60%
- Pritzker D13%
- Bailey R16%
Policy criticism
Median 12% · axis 0–60%
- Pritzker D18%
- Bailey R31%
Policy discussion
Median 47% · axis 0–60%
- Pritzker D48%
- Bailey R55%
Bipartisanship
Median 2.0% · axis 0–60%
- Pritzker D0.4%
- Bailey R1.3%
Credit claiming
Median 16% · axis 0–60%
- Pritzker D17%
- Bailey R4.3%
Show the data
| Candidate | Party | Statements | Personal attacks | Policy criticism | Policy discussion | Bipartisanship | Credit claiming |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.B. Pritzker | D | 1,162 | 13% | 18% | 48% | 0.4% | 17% |
| Darren Bailey | R | 1,875 | 16% | 31% | 55% | 1.3% | 4.3% |
| Median, ranked governor candidates | 2.1% | 12% | 47% | 2.0% | 16% |
The five kinds of statement
Personal attacks. Overtly questions a named person’s character, integrity or loyalty, or calls them names. Criticising a record or a policy does not count.
Policy criticism. Objects to a specific policy, law or court ruling with fact-based arguments, without personal attacks or emotional appeals.
Policy discussion. Discusses a specific public policy or policy area (health care, taxes, defense, …).
Bipartisanship. Emphasises working across the aisle, compromise or common ground between the parties.
Credit claiming. Claims credit for passing legislation, securing funding or grants, or other accomplishments in office.
Candidates with fewer than 10 classified statements are left out. The grey tick is the median of the ranked governor candidates (50 or more statements), for scale.
Money
Candidates for governor report to their state, not to the Federal Election Commission; no figures for them are on file here.
How much has each candidate raised?
Total receipts reported to the FEC, with cash on hand
No campaign-finance figures are on file for this race’s candidates.