2026 midterms · State
Montana
Primary Jun 2, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026
- races
- 3
- candidates listed
- 4
- statements classified
- 14,694
races tracked
2 House, 1 Senate and 0 governor; none is rated a toss-up or leaning to a party (Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab).
Statewide races
A Senate race is on the 2026 ballot. Once a primary is called, only the candidates recorded as advancing are listed; before that, everyone running.
Each race links to its own page: the candidates, what they say and the money they report. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
Senate
Primary called
Democrats
- Alani BankheadDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
House races
Two House races, all with a recorded primary result.
House districts follow the candidates’ FEC filings. Where a state redrew its map for 2026, a few candidates may still appear under their old district number.
1st District
Primary called
Democrats
- Samuel ForstagDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
2nd District
Primary called
Democrats
- Brian MillerDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
- Troy DowningRIncumbent · advanced · official profile
What the candidates say
Four of Montana’s six candidates have 10 or more classified statements. Four have 50 or more and are ranked against candidates nationwide.
An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; a candidate’s rate is the share of their statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How do Montana’s candidates compare?
Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; sort by any column
| Steve Daines | R | Senate | Incumbent | 11,391 | 1.6% | 21% | 63% | 6.9% | 20% |
| Samuel Forstag | D | 1st District | Challenger | 390 | 4.4% | 12% | 46% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Zinke | R | 1st District | Incumbent | 2,571 | 1.1% | 20% | 63% | 8.4% | 30% |
| Troy Downing | R | 2nd District | Incumbent | 342 | 0.3% | 17% | 62% | 7.3% | 26% |