2026 midterms · State
North Carolina
Primary Mar 3, 2026 · runoff Apr 14, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026
- races
- 15
- candidates listed
- 15
- statements classified
- 95,895
North Carolina Senate
The closest rating in North Carolina: an open seat, now held by Republicans. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab. One other race is rated toss-up or lean.
Statewide races
A Senate race is on the 2026 ballot. Once a primary is called, only the candidates recorded as advancing are listed; before that, everyone running.
Each race links to its own page: the candidates, what they say and the money they report. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.
Senate
Toss-upPrimary called
Democrats
- Roy CooperDOpen seat · advanced
Republicans
- Michael WhatleyROpen seat · advanced
House races
14 House races, all with a recorded primary result. Districts are in order, 5 at a time; choose any district to go straight to it.
House districts follow the candidates’ FEC filings. Where a state redrew its map for 2026, a few candidates may still appear under their old district number.
1st District
Lean RPrimary called
Democrats
None recorded as advancing
Republicans
- Laurie BuckhoutRChallenger · advanced
2nd District
Primary called
Democrats
None recorded as advancing
Republicans
- Eugene DouglassRChallenger · advanced
3rd District
Primary called
Democrats
- Raymond Smith Jr.DChallenger · advanced
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
4th District
Primary called
Democrats
- Nida AllamDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
5th District
Primary called
Democrats
- Chuck HubbardDChallenger · advanced
Republicans
None recorded as advancing
What the candidates say
27 of North Carolina’s 29 candidates have 10 or more classified statements. 26 have 50 or more and are ranked against candidates nationwide.
An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; a candidate’s rate is the share of their statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.
How do North Carolina’s candidates compare?
Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; sort by any column
| Roy Cooper | D | Senate | Open seat | 604 | 4.6% | 20% | 45% | 4.3% | 10% |
| Thom Tillis | R | Senate | Incumbent | 11,094 | 3.3% | 14% | 61% | 11% | 19% |
| Michael Whatley | R | Senate | Open seat | 592 | 12% | 10% | 56% | 0.5% | 14% |
| Don Davis | D | 1st District | Incumbent | 6,645 | 0% | 4.4% | 52% | 7.5% | 20% |
| Laurie Buckhout | R | 1st District | Challenger | 553 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 41% | 0.4% | 12% |