Skip to content
America’s
Political Pulse

2026 midterms · State

Hawaii

Primary Aug 8, 2026 · general election Nov 3, 2026

races
3
candidates listed
5
statements classified
9,886
3

races tracked

2 House, 0 Senate and 1 governor; none is rated a toss-up or leaning to a party (Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab).

Statewide races

A governor’s race is on the 2026 ballot. Once a primary is called, only the candidates recorded as advancing are listed; before that, everyone running.

Each race links to its own page: the candidates, what they say and the money they report. Cook Political Report ratings, entered by the lab (last updated by the lab on Jun 24, 2026); a forecaster’s judgement about the general election, not the lab’s.

Back to topNext: House races

House races

Two House races, all with a recorded primary result.

House districts follow the candidates’ FEC filings. Where a state redrew its map for 2026, a few candidates may still appear under their old district number.

Back to topNext: What the candidates say

What the candidates say

Three of Hawaii’s five candidates have 10 or more classified statements. Three have 50 or more and are ranked against candidates nationwide.

An AI model reads each statement and marks the kinds of statement it contains; a candidate’s rate is the share of their statements with that label. Incumbent members of Congress are measured on everything they publish in office, everyone else on posts on X. A rate describes what was said, not whether it was right.

How do Hawaii’s candidates compare?

Share of each candidate’s statements with each label; sort by any column

Candidates in Hawaii: rates of each kind of statement
Josh GreenDGovernorIncumbent760%5.3%86%1.3%39%
Edward CaseD1st DistrictIncumbent6,8910.1%11%67%8.1%27%
Jill TokudaD2nd DistrictIncumbent2,9140.9%15%58%9.2%21%
Notes
Only candidates with 10 or more classified statements are in the table. Each candidate’s page compares them with similar candidates nationwide.

Back to top